Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[nobble]

Snowed most the way from pelsall to no mans Heath this morning 

roads are really flooded

[MattStoke]

Much of the snow has survived the night here. Just a bit bare on some of the roads and pavements.

Continual risk of wintry showers the next few days, particularly across the north and west of the region but maybe more widespread at times.

Some models (e.g. ECM and Netweather’s in-house model) bring a trough across the Midlands over the weekend, giving snow widely across the region. Other models have it south of the U.K.

Images - Early next week, frontal systems look to push in from the Atlantic. Some models (e.g. GFS) blast it through with mostly rain across the region. Maybe some blink and you’ll miss it snow in the north. Others (e.g. Netweather’s in-house model) have the front bringing heavy snow before stalling and pushing back south. Snow mostly for the North Midlands but it wouldn’t take much of a correction southward to bring more of the region into play, and that does often happen.

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

great event last night! turned to heavy snow with flick of a switch, full whiteout on flooded ground was amazing, all thawed now though

Sat snow looks off, Sunday iffy, then Tuesday up in the air, but more likely at this stage an E Midlands day

[snowangel32]

Not the best from models today short and longterm downgrades. Sat/Sun snow risk looks to far North now. Need further corrections South on next run or i fear we are looking at Mid Feb for next snow potential.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:

Not the best from models today short and longterm downgrades. Sat/Sun snow risk looks to far North now. Need further corrections South on next run or i fear we are looking at Mid Feb for next snow potential.

Sun night looks okay on 06Z, moving SE out the gap

[snowangel32]

22 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Sun night looks okay on 06Z, moving SE out the gap

Yep looks alot better Hope it corrects South a touch for the people who have missed out so far.

[MattStoke]

Models are completely all over the place in terms of the finer detail over the next few days. They struggle with such small features.

[Summer of 95]

Snow survived surprisingly well overnight considering the temp didn't drop despite clear skies, drier air might have helped. Still full cover on the grass and some on the tarmac at 9, but going quickly now where the sun is on it like it were April. But another day of lying snow, 3 now this winter. Next milestone, to get snow cover lasting to a second morning!

Edited January 21, 2021 by Summer of 95

[MattStoke]

17 minutes ago, Summer of 95 said:

Snow survived surprisingly well overnight considering the temp didn't drop despite clear skies, drier air might have helped. Still full cover on the grass and some on the tarmac at 9, but going quickly now where the sun is on it like it were April. But another day of lying snow, 3 now this winter. Next milestone, to get snow cover lasting to a second morning!

I’m up to 15 days of snow cover now. Average for here is 10 days per winter. Still quite a lot of last night’s snow left.

[MKN]

11 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

I’m up to 15 days of snow cover now. Average for here is 10 days per winter. Still quite a lot of last night’s snow left.

Still on 0 in this part of the midlands

[I remember Atlantic 252]

30 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

I’m up to 15 days of snow cover now. Average for here is 10 days per winter. Still quite a lot of last night’s snow left.

Amazed still some left? 5 degrees today, all thawed here, most of it before 7am

[MattStoke]

11 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Amazed still some left? 5 degrees today, all thawed here, most of it before 7am

Still lots left away from the roads and pavements. We’re normally a degree or so colder up here.

[snowangel32]

2 hours ago, MKN said:

Still on 0 in this part of the midlands

Yep you guys in the East Mids have been cursed this Winter missing out literally by a few miles. Hope for you guys on Sunday for a few cms. And if we get a miracle Easterly in Feb you guy's will be quids in.

[Dancerwithwings]

The weekend could be interesting, especially so Sunday as the BBC weather at 6:30pm showing snowfall for Sunday

[I remember Atlantic 252]

5 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

The weekend could be interesting, especially so Sunday as the BBC weather at 6:30pm showing snowfall for Sunday

And Saturday through Cheshire Gap

[MattStoke]

39 minutes ago, Dancerwithwings said:

The weekend could be interesting, especially so Sunday as the BBC weather at 6:30pm showing snowfall for Sunday

Probably because the latest ECM shows a front coming through.

[sheikhy]

Ecm looks good for sunday!!!euro4 looks good for maybe cheshire gap showers saturday evening?!!

[Dancerwithwings]

ECM, Euro....when looking what’s on offer, most hi res/models have something wintry for our region over the weekend

[Fozfoster]

Not looking too good for south midlands, I’ve watched the snow chances slowly ebb away as we approach T0. Something must come this way at some point because I’ve bought a Mercedes GLA 250 4matic.

[MAF]

1 minute ago, Fozfoster said:

Not looking too good for south midlands, I’ve watched the snow chances slowly ebb away as we approach T0. Something must come this way at some point because I’ve bought a Mercedes GLA 250 4matic.

could have got a house for that round your way  

[Fozfoster]

Lol have you ever been to Warwick?

[wolvesman]

Anybody else just seen the latest bbc forecast talking about a band of showers possibly crossing the Midlands later tomorrow - in the words of Chris Fawkes “something a bit more exciting “

[Selliso]

2 minutes ago, wolvesman said:

Anybody else just seen the latest bbc forecast talking about a band of showers possibly crossing the Midlands later tomorrow - in the words of Chris Fawkes “something a bit more exciting “

Yes, said he’s “keeping his beady eye on it” shortly after quipping “Storm Christoph has gone on holiday to Norway.” 
Full of bants tonight!

[weirpig]

15 minutes ago, wolvesman said:

Anybody else just seen the latest bbc forecast talking about a band of showers possibly crossing the Midlands later tomorrow - in the words of Chris Fawkes “something a bit more exciting “

I did   and for the life of me i cant see what he is on about

[nobble]

16 minutes ago, wolvesman said:

Anybody else just seen the latest bbc forecast talking about a band of showers possibly crossing the Midlands later tomorrow - in the words of Chris Fawkes “something a bit more exciting “

Yes
more worryingly shefali mentioned a few cms Sunday