Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[I remember Atlantic 252]

2 minutes ago, Sweatyman said:

Ain't she lovely! Sorry mods

it's okay not the model thread

[WillinGlossop]

17 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Fair few gfs ensembles have higher precipitarion rates for friday so hopefully upgrade in 18z!!!

Usually before a snow event precipitation generally upgrades for up here.... I see netweather forecast is only 0.35mm for here though currently 

that was wrong last night but was snow showers but too infrequent to lay....

Edited January 6, 2021 by WillinGlossop

[MKN]

30 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Fair few gfs ensembles have higher precipitarion rates for friday so hopefully upgrade in 18z!!!

On the flip side the Arpege basically has nothing for majority of the midlands

[WinterWilf]

Not holding out much hope for here it's cursed or somthing.

Very happy with cold though.

BBC are so scared to get it wrong they don't show it til it is happening others than that it's mild.

[nobble]

2 hours ago, weirpig said:

regardless of what it shows  i always rate the Hirlam as the best short range model.

It shows a band of snow Friday  perhaps more intense than other show.

I know “glacier point “ used to rate this model

[NorthantsNimbus]

Warming up on Sunday all the snow will be gone across the whole Midlands by Monday/Tuesday it's time for a reset in any case

[Dancerwithwings]

We’ve seen many a time in the past boundary’s move regarding snowfall and amounts change as little as 12 hour prior....so atm it’s weds evening and this snowfall is supposedly happening Friday morning so atm just let’s see want happens, tomorrow we’ll see much clearer in regarding the forecast for Friday morning....who knows

[WillinGlossop]

-5c out all sparkly crisp and white 

[sheikhy]

Time for that gfs 18z snowfall upgrade

[Midlands Ice Age]

10 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

-5c out all sparkly crisp and white 

-3,5C with no  snow cover here.

Do you have any snow left?

Edited January 6, 2021 by Midlands Ice Age

[sheikhy]

Any news on the 18z dudes!!too scared to look

[MKN]

3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Any news on the 18z dudes!!too scared to look

Its a lot better. The only thing not convinced is the snow depth prediction charts.

[MattStoke]

4 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Any news on the 18z dudes!!too scared to look

Shows plenty of snowfall over many hours but not much settling. Don’t understand it. It has dew points and soil temperatures at 0 or below throughout.

Edited January 6, 2021 by MattStoke

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Any news on the 18z dudes!!too scared to look

looks better

[mother nature rocks]

Here you go Sheik ️

[sheikhy]

Wow yes as posted above looks darn good!!soil temps dew points 2m temps at sub zero so how can it not settle?

[Dancerwithwings]

3 minutes ago, mother nature rocks said:

Here you go Sheik ️

And 3hrs later 

[mother nature rocks]

We have patches of snow left here in Worcester from the Monday and Saturday events!! Pretty impressive ️️

[mother nature rocks]

1 minute ago, Dancerwithwings said:

And 3hrs later 

Potentially 6-9 hrs of snow coming down

[sheikhy]

Just now, mother nature rocks said:

Potentially 6-9 hrs of snow coming down

Seems to develop its on snow vortex across the whole of the midlands!!surely 5 to 10cms from that!!

[mother nature rocks]

1 minute ago, sheikhy said:

Seems to develop its on snow vortex across the whole of the midlands!!surely 5 to 10cms from that!!

Going on GFS you’d think that would warrant atleast a yellow warning ️

[I remember Atlantic 252]

GFS still good for keeping cold in longer, Sunday looks very chilly

[sheikhy]

Bring on some of the upgrades from the 18z high resolution runs now peeps!!

[MattStoke]

GFS snow accumulation

Not sure how snow manages to fall onto frozen surfaces and melt.

 

[WinterWilf]

Just now, MattStoke said:

GFS snow accumulation

Not sure how snow manages to fall onto frozen surfaces and melt.

 

This looks right because I am in the bit with no snow.