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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward


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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    4 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

    I also have word from Marco! Hes saying south west may not yet miss out. We're still in the game 😜

    We always have been in the game. 

    We've just got to be a little more patient than other areas unfortunately, but there will come a time at some point when Atlantic moisture ridden systems will try and push in from the SW, and this is when the SW hits it big time.

    Get to Sunday, get the cold in first then hopefully we will have a better idea of where & when our best chance of snowfall will come.

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    Just been out to collect a parcel from the front door,  as I came back in I shouted to my daughter  " cor that wind would freeze the b***s of a brass monkey"  Didn't realise she was on her t

    Ah the regional thread where innuendo and gin used to be king. Where we would get excited at the lamp post, share in each other joys.  The thread was a place to escape the real world (even more this y

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    Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
    59 minutes ago, Thundery wintry showers said:

    The synoptic outlook for next week reminds me of the third week of February 1978, which had more or less the scenario that I envisaged above, and it looks like one of a range of realistic possibilities for mid to late next week.  I wasn't even born when this event happened but as far as I'm aware it was intense and affected most of this region of the UK.

    image.thumb.png.ce175ae08a45561102d5482af8e64d8a.png

    Of course that's practically the snowiest-case scenario from here and something rather less snowy than that or even non-snowy is probably more likely, but it's noteworthy to even be able to consider it as a realistic possibility.

     

    Showing my age a bit here but I'm old enough to remember that well (I was still a kid) and it was an incredible event. It was the first true blizzard that I experienced and, as long as my brain continues to function well, it's not something that I'll ever forget. Going to bed on Saturday night (the 18th of Feb) and waking up on Sunday 19th to a foot of snow and 7 to 8 foot drifts was, dare I say it, a life-changing experience that is ingrained on my memories.

    Sadly the snow didn't hang around for long and had already started to melt on Tuesday, but the lead up to it and particularly the results on Sunday the 19th were simply amazing.

    Edited by Buzz
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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

    Well I notice a very showery westerly airstream seems to push showers all the way over to the east so why wouldn't a showery freezing cold easterly push those showers all the way over to the west, strange how they seem to die off quicker than rain showers do! Mind you back in the bfte in 2018 one shower made it across and hit here, left a nice covering so I can see why those in the east love these rare setups, multiple showers like that would build up the totals in no time! Can remember back in 2001 (maybe 2002) when I was visiting great yarmouth, the night before I was leaving there was rain showers that were forecast to turn to snow showers over night, waking up the next morning there was deep snow outside, easily around a foot deep & that was just from showers! Must have been very localised though as not far out from GY on the train heading towards Norwich there was hardly any snow lying.

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    Posted
  • Location: Crediton, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and Dry
  • Location: Crediton, Devon
    1 hour ago, Thundery wintry showers said:

    The synoptic outlook for next week reminds me of the third week of February 1978, which had more or less the scenario that I envisaged above, and it looks like one of a range of realistic possibilities for mid to late next week.  I wasn't even born when this event happened but as far as I'm aware it was intense and affected most of this region of the UK.

    image.thumb.png.ce175ae08a45561102d5482af8e64d8a.png

    Of course that's practically the snowiest-case scenario from here and something rather less snowy than that or even non-snowy is probably more likely, but it's noteworthy to even be able to consider it as a realistic possibility.

     

    I remember Feb 1978 really well, it was total chaos in Devon from the Saturday evening until Wednesday/Thursday. I've hated snowfall ever since. 

    Another event like that in the middle of a mass vaccination campaign, alongside the road accidents and hypothermia putting people in hospital, is the last thing that we need

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    Slight upgrades on both the ICON & GFS 12z for Saturday / Sunday. Both further west.

    Edited by MidnightSnow
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    Posted
  • Location: Bath
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath

     

    image.thumb.png.77a60303f882e6829657a254b3cbce52.png

    Better for most of us but Cornwall still missing out on this run. (GFS P)

    Edited by Leon1
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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    Just now, Leon1 said:

     

    image.thumb.png.77a60303f882e6829657a254b3cbce52.png

    Perfect for most of us but Cornwall still missing out on this run. (GFS P)

    I think that model has been on the waccy baccy!!  😁😁

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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    I would worry at this stage about snow forecast, where it’s going to fall and depths, it’s like trying to nail jelly to a wall! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
    4 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

     

    image.thumb.png.77a60303f882e6829657a254b3cbce52.png

    Better for most of us but Cornwall still missing out on this run. (GFS P)

    Good ol gfs-p, always did think it was better than the original gfs 🙏 lol, we can but dream

    Edited by Smartie
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    Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
    13 minutes ago, Racer said:

    I remember Feb 1978 really well, it was total chaos in Devon from the Saturday evening until Wednesday/Thursday. I've hated snowfall ever since. 

    Another event like that in the middle of a mass vaccination campaign, alongside the road accidents and hypothermia putting people in hospital, is the last thing that we need

    This is my concern too - while a lot of snow is fun for some it's really not needed right now, it could massively overwhelm the NHS (assuming that staff can get to work and patients can get to places of treatment) and also put many lives in danger. But that's a discussion for another thread.

    Edited by Buzz
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    16 minutes ago, Racer said:

    I remember Feb 1978 really well, it was total chaos in Devon from the Saturday evening until Wednesday/Thursday. I've hated snowfall ever since. 

    Another event like that in the middle of a mass vaccination campaign, alongside the road accidents and hypothermia putting people in hospital, is the last thing that we need

    Here's a good video ref 78. I could tell you a good story about 15ft drifts and police escorts of the back of that storm.

     

    WWW.SOMERSETLIVE.CO.UK

    A blizzard in 1978 caused all sorts of problems for locals and one Yeovil resident remembers it well

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Home: Bournemouth (Iford) Work: NE Hants
  • Location: Home: Bournemouth (Iford) Work: NE Hants
    11 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Can we make it three Sundays in a row for snow?

    🙂 Can bournemouth manage one snowflake? 

    Well, i don't know. GFS 12z gives chances on sunday and a little graze from the front on tuesday. The GFS is desperate to muck about with "warm" sectors but i guess other factors must be favourable. 

    image.thumb.png.0b95e82c7e745d0d9651bb8d9d9859d9.pngimage.thumb.png.b3aaba3c2ae47e62ad445c31cf47fc07.png

     

    but the ICON slide the Atlantic under on thursday and gives us a proper chance!

    image.thumb.png.efca386577c590e84a820b4143ab0b1c.png

    Edited by Frank Trough
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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
    8 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Can we make it three Sundays in a row for snow?

    oohh your playing with fire with what you just said in the mod thread, I like it though lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    8 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Can we make it three Sundays in a row for snow?

    Haven't seen one yet here so I'd like to see one 😆

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    Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl

    Mostly cloudy today with drizzle or showery rain at times. Peaked at 9.1°C at: 14:28.

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    Just now, Smartie said:

    oohh your playing with fire with what you just said in the mod thread, I like it though lol

    They're quick enough to give it when it's going in their favour lol. I'm only stating what the chart shows anyway and it's true that it looks better for more parts of the UK.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Sun
  • Location: Bristol
    4 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    They're quick enough to give it when it's going in their favour lol. I'm only stating what the chart shows anyway and it's true that it looks better for more parts of the UK.

    I went in to read your post then made a quick exit..immediate headache 😂😂😂😂

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    3.2mm of rain today. A few sunny spells and a max temp of 10.4°C.

    908987949_viewimage(4).thumb.png.3825ccbd9747a3983b703e10261b4f09.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
    Just now, Chrisover93 said:

    Looks good for hampshire southern coastal counites

    prectypeuktopo.png

    I can sense mapantz getting quietly excited.. 😲

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    Posted
  • Location: Yeovil
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Yeovil
    13 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

    3.2mm of rain today. A few sunny spells and a max temp of 10.4°C.

    908987949_viewimage(4).thumb.png.3825ccbd9747a3983b703e10261b4f09.png

    Haha good to see the UKV with its large totals for us😆

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
    Just now, suxer said:

    Haha good to see the UKV with its large totals for us😆

    I'm gonna hold back expectations until friday 12z.

    If train doesnt derail by then Ill buy my ticket 😅

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