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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward


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Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL

    Out for a very chilly walk with the dog and hoping this will make it a snowy one too 🌨️

    PXL_20210208_164620246.thumb.jpg.00965633b0b1c9683133082d49057df1.jpg

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    Just been out to collect a parcel from the front door,  as I came back in I shouted to my daughter  " cor that wind would freeze the b***s of a brass monkey"  Didn't realise she was on her t

    Ah the regional thread where innuendo and gin used to be king. Where we would get excited at the lamp post, share in each other joys.  The thread was a place to escape the real world (even more this y

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    12z GFS sums up our chances quite well for monday 15th with a rain event. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

    Long way off but GFS Operational setting that 'battleground' scenario once again.

    12z is close to the kind of pattern we need to see in the SW for some proper snowfall.

    This run not quite aligning all the pieces and the mild air pushes through, but the trend could be a good one if it can gain some support and back off the Atlantic a bit.

    Seeing as this week looks very cold but without to much significant snowfall in our region (up to Friday anyway) something like the GFS is what we need to be looking out for going forward.

    E3F45453-9C93-4F91-9E6C-CED4FD5A4ECF.thumb.png.19de838e615397c03d38c076e933b551.png

    Edited by chris55
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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    1 minute ago, Nights King said:

    12z GFS sums up our chances quite well for monday 15th with a rain event. 

    Snow to rain for some of us.  😁😁😁😁😁

    I wouldn't worry though, by the time next Monday comes, the front will barely make it past Plymouth and we will still be cold and dry.  

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    Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
    5 minutes ago, Nights King said:

    12z GFS sums up our chances quite well for monday 15th with a rain event. 

    Well its not all rain, at least initially, and we have to think how these systems have been pushed back west repeatedly in the current set up. Though IF, and its a big if, the pattern sets up like the GFS 12z there is some chance at least of these fronts holding back way more than being shown on this evenings runs.

    7E1DD82D-EF96-4175-8AA1-ADBCE9EE8621.thumb.gif.6094b4b831fd9dee8132f4af67f0e24c.gif

    Edited by chris55
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    Posted
  • Location: Poole, BH14
  • Location: Poole, BH14

    Met office still seem quite confident of significant snow events this month so I'll put my faith into them rather than the models at the moment. Gloasea is probably seeing things a little different. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    6 minutes ago, chris55 said:

    Well its not all rain, at least initially, and we have to think how these systems have been pushed back west repeatedly in the current set up. Though IF, and its a big if, the pattern sets up like the GFS 12z there is some chance at least of these fronts holding back way more than being shown on this evenings runs.

    7E1DD82D-EF96-4175-8AA1-ADBCE9EE8621.thumb.gif.6094b4b831fd9dee8132f4af67f0e24c.gif

    To be fair, and speculating a little here admittedly, but the GFS 12z isn't a million miles away from that Meto update I posted earlier, regarding the weekend into next week etc.

    Fronts coming in from the SW, turning to snow and not making it into Central/Eastern UK.  Admittedly, this run does bring milder air into our region and take the fronts further east, but we all know the GFS is eager with the easterly extent of Atlantic frontal systems and these things almost always correct west nearer the time, like we have seen this week.  Remember the colder weather was supposed to finish on Thursday this week, then it went to Friday, then Saturday, now we are looking at Sunday for northern and eastern parts of the region.

    Anyway, enough speculating over a single GFS Op run from me.  Cold and dry remains the form horse for most of us for the foreseeable, as it has been for a while now.  Will be interesting to see how high Res modelling handles any Atlantic incursions at the end of the week and into the weekend.

    Edited by AWD
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    Posted
  • Location: North east Hampshire
  • Location: North east Hampshire

    Fax gives a chance for southern coastal counties on Wednesday night

    spacer.png

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    21 minutes ago, The Moving Planet said:

    Met office still seem quite confident of significant snow events this month so I'll put my faith into them rather than the models at the moment. Gloasea is probably seeing things a little different. 

    Hi is the BBC wrong for tomorrow has heavy snow symbols for a few hours I'm in ferndown Dorset thanks

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    Posted
  • Location: Shaftesbury, Dorset, 217m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,cold, & sunny & warm
  • Location: Shaftesbury, Dorset, 217m asl

    In from work and temperature a chilly -1.6c and snowing very lightly. Will have full cover by this time next week but at least it's snowing which is more than forecast.

    Let's keep being positive - at least the days are getting longer!

     

    ht!

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    Posted
  • Location: Beaminster, West Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Winter- Cold, frost, snow. Summer- Warm and thundery.
  • Location: Beaminster, West Dorset
    6 minutes ago, mattyj said:

    Hi is the BBC wrong for tomorrow has heavy snow symbols for a few hours I'm in ferndown Dorset thanks

    If It's BBC then don't be surprised when you wake up to two inches of luncheon meat.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Poole, BH14
  • Location: Poole, BH14
    10 minutes ago, mattyj said:

    Hi is the BBC wrong for tomorrow has heavy snow symbols for a few hours I'm in ferndown Dorset thanks

    Yes were likely to see something tomorrow morning anytime from 3am onwards. There is a Steamer expected to push north through the region as the winds turn more eastily. Should Give a dusting if it comes off.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yelverton, Dartmoor
  • Location: Yelverton, Dartmoor
    1 hour ago, gman88667733 said:

    It has tried to very lightly snow a few time where I am right now. MO app has put a few more spells of snow tomorrow/Wednesday on there now, so who knows? I know the app isn't usually correct, but nice to see!

    I'm on South Dartmoor, not a flake here. Even the washing on the line dried today in the sun 😬😬

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    Posted
  • Location: W. Sussex, E. Hants & Portsmouth
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, snow and ice. The usual.
  • Location: W. Sussex, E. Hants & Portsmouth
    4 minutes ago, mattyj said:

    🤣🤣

    Thanks for the genuine laugh 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: East Dartmoor
  • Location: East Dartmoor
    6 minutes ago, SNOW CRYSTAL said:

    I'm on South Dartmoor, not a flake here. Even the washing on the line dried today in the sun 😬😬

    Terrible, isn't it!

    Holding out hope for Thursday/Friday!

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    Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
    59 minutes ago, CheesepuffScott said:

    Something but it looks more like salt 😬

    ADE8C914-6EA5-4F66-8534-C4882A2D0A6F.thumb.jpeg.5e645fdfc0492d167f33ae296a2a0192.jpeg

    That's my mate Dave's car. 🚙

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    Posted
  • Location: Netley Abbey
  • Location: Netley Abbey

    Well the radar gave me hope 2/3 hrs ago as expected fizzling away to nothing as it travels south... shocking i see nothing for us now 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!

    Time for a shiny new thread yet? This is loooong!

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    Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but constant rain
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
    13 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

    A chance for what

    Rain probably - cold, cold rain 😒

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    Posted
  • Location: Snow Starved Southampton
  • Location: Snow Starved Southampton
    1 minute ago, MagicOtter said:

    Rain probably - cold, cold rain 😒

    It almost certainly wouldn't be rain if that did clip the southern coasts.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
    2 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

    Time for a shiny new thread yet? This is loooong!

    Gimme 20 mins or so and I'll get a new one going!

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