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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward


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Just been out to collect a parcel from the front door,  as I came back in I shouted to my daughter  " cor that wind would freeze the b***s of a brass monkey"  Didn't realise she was on her t

Ah the regional thread where innuendo and gin used to be king. Where we would get excited at the lamp post, share in each other joys.  The thread was a place to escape the real world (even more this y

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, BH14
  • Location: Poole, BH14

    That stream and increase in intensity more than likely based on sun strength. I can see that dropping more south into North Dorset maybe even further south. Needs keeping an eye on that!

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  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
    14 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

    I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter 🙂 

    Wish you all the best see you next winter. I still think there will be several chances before winter is out.

    including today Tomorrow and later in the week. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Cornwall
  • Location: Cornwall
    2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Not sure why people are writing the end of the week off so soon, the met office are still going for snow.

    It is safe to say at the moment anything wintry let alone snowfall for the Far SW in this situation is very unlikely 

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    Posted
  • Location: Netley Abbey
  • Location: Netley Abbey

    Snow flurry for 4 hrs solid now 6 miles s/e of southampton managed to get the lightest of coverings...barrel scratching i know! 

    20210208_123028.jpg

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  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    4 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

    It is safe to say at the moment anything wintry let alone snowfall for the Far SW in this situation is very unlikely 

    Fingers crossed you get some snow. The predicted snow depths for Friday lunchtime are quite impressive, quite a few inches of snow around the SW.

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    Posted
  • Location: Poole, BH14
  • Location: Poole, BH14

    Looking at radar development's I'd say there are quite a few in with a shout. Intensity is most definitely increasing even south east of the main flow which will brings the likes of eastern and Southern Dorset and IOW in with more of a chance of at least seeing some more flakes than seen so far. Need closely watching as intensity was forecast to pick up even more this evening.

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  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
    22 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

    I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter 🙂 


    Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

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  • Location: Isle Of Wight - Newport
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters/Hot summers
  • Location: Isle Of Wight - Newport

    I had better go out for supplies due to drifting snow........ incredible snow here on the Isle of Wight..... we must be due an Red warning soon!

    15ECB9F2-E07F-4364-849D-2C1ABA3C2FAB.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
    Just now, MidnightSnow said:


    Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

    ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday 

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  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    Well at least if anything does fall it’s going to settle easily the bucket of water outside is just pure ice

    The ground is more than cold enough the air temperature is -1 with a windchill what feels like -6 on -7 to me

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    3 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:


    Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

    There's no downgrade, parts of Devon and south Wales could get quite a few inches of snow by Friday lunchtime.

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  • Location: Totton/Netley Marsh....edge of new forest.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms /Snow
  • Location: Totton/Netley Marsh....edge of new forest.

    Well so far today is the cold spell known as the great sugar coating of Feb 2021..🤏......we want more than that ❄❄❄....☃️😉

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  • Location: Gosport
  • Location: Gosport

    Another spell of snow coming through here.
    Very light.

    Temp for the first time today has just gone positive, its 0.1c

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  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol

    I gotta stop looking at the radar. Trying to convince myself I will catch some of that snow but it's gonna go right under me. 🤧

    Anyone in here from Swindon? Looks like it will go directly over you.

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  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    8 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:


    Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

    Not really a downgrade or an upgrade with regards to later in the week.

    Modelling still in disagreement with how far NE any frontal system on Thursday/Friday gets.  Global models struggling to get it past Devon, other shorter term modelling like the high Res UKV model and the Netweather model gets it across most of the region, falling as snow away from Cornwall.

    Personally I'm waiting for shorter term high Res modelling to come into play (Wednesday onwards) before looking at it too much.

    Still very much up in the air.  As for now, we are all flurry chasing.  😁😁

    Edited by AWD
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  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL

    I think there is a definitely possibilty of some more organised snow Tuesday into Weds in the east of our region looking at the FAX charts:

    The one for Tuesday shows a convergence line through the Wash which moves south into Weds:

    image.thumb.png.2589cbdf5e7dd4bb2e10ce1ad5cf0c74.png

    Here's where it ends up on Weds:

    image.thumb.png.51bd6abc2650d1d0659228bcea2bc5d5.png

    One to keep an eye on.

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  • Location: portsmouth, hampshire
  • Location: portsmouth, hampshire
    1 minute ago, MidnightSnow said:

    I gotta stop looking at the radar. Trying to convince myself I will catch some of that snow but it's gonna go right under me. 🤧

    Anyone in here from Swindon? Looks like it will go directly over you.

    i rekon your bang in line for that streamer ;0)

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  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
    14 minutes ago, Kreftysoton said:

    Snow flurry for 4 hrs solid now 6 miles s/e of southampton managed to get the lightest of coverings...barrel scratching i know! 

    20210208_123028.jpg

    Same here. I'll take it after the winter we've had so far!

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  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset

    A few snow grains flying about here at the moment...

    On the plus side, at least the ground will dry out a bit this week.

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  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    6 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

    ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday 

    I knew you'd be back.  Where's my tenner?!  👍😁😁

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  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
    6 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

    ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday 

    Welcome back!

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  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Some dandruff currently floating around, might have a covering by this time next winter at this rate, just in time to show @CentralSouthernSnow when he next logs on 😆

    Intermittently sunny too. 

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  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Eek!! It’s nice light snow now!! (Wells)

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