South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[Ben Sainsbury]

Seems to be an increasing risk of a band of snow moving S across the country Friday, holding some intensity and then appears to pivot across CS England. GFS looks the most promising, but ICON & NMM showing a similar feature. UKV beginning to latch on and show a little more widespread showery band too. ECM have now also converged on the same idea.

Edited January 6, 2021 by Ben Sainsbury

[lettice]

Just started to rain very lightly here.
That is the first of any precipitation that my kit has measured since Tuesday 29th December.
It has gone very dark too.
3.7c, NNE wind 2-3mph

[jtay]

Cold, dull and it's just started raining.

If I'm being charitable, I'd suggest there are flakes in it; but not enough for a Velux check.

[iowpompeylee]

1 hour ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Seems to be an increasing risk of a band of snow moving S across the country Friday, holding some intensity and then appears to pivot across CS England. GFS looks the most promising, but ICON & NMM showing a similar feature. UKV beginning to latch on and show a little more widespread showery band too. ECM have now also converged on the same idea.

Bet you it’s marginal south of the m4

[Bristawl Si]

3 hours ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Seems to be an increasing risk of a band of snow moving S across the country Friday, holding some intensity and then appears to pivot across CS England. GFS looks the most promising, but ICON & NMM showing a similar feature. UKV beginning to latch on and show a little more widespread showery band too. ECM have now also converged on the same idea.

Just mentioned on our local ITV weather bulletin, which is Met Office based.

[Somerset Squall]

5 hours ago, dec10snow said:

 

I was asleep by then, don’t tell me I missed the 1 shower that actually produced some snow?! I was regularly checking outside to see if there was anything. 

I’m wondering, are you a bit outside the town and therefore higher up?

We are literally right on the southern edge of Taunton, at the southern end of Chestnut Drive, I guess we are slightly higher up but not by much. We are literally the last road of houses before open fields though so maybe we are marginally cooler than in town. Don't worry too much though, it wasn't much to write home about haha. Friday looks like a better chance potentially!

Edited January 6, 2021 by Somerset Squall

[MidnightSnow]

 

As far as HARMONIE goes out right now

 

Just need this guy to stay in bed on the Welsh mountains and we might get a few hours of snow

[dec10snow]

53 minutes ago, Somerset Squall said:

We are literally right on the southern edge of Taunton, at the southern end of Chestnut Drive, I guess we are slightly higher up but not by much. We are literally the last road of houses before open fields though so maybe we are marginally cooler than in town. Don't worry too much though, it wasn't much to write home about haha. Friday looks like a better chance potentially!

Oh fair play - still within the town and elevation anywhere across Taunton is generally shocking

Even if it wasn’t much to write home about, like many others I’m bloody desperate and would take anything at this rate!!

Since Christmas I’ve been to Wills Neck (Quantocks) and did actually see some lying snow on the drive up to the top car park which was good, however nothing for the walk. Also been to Dunkery Beacon, had some sleet on the way up but again, nothing aside from areas such as in the picture below which I guess you could stretch to “lying snow”

[Somerset Squall]

34 minutes ago, dec10snow said:

Oh fair play - still within the town and elevation anywhere across Taunton is generally shocking

Even if it wasn’t much to write home about, like many others I’m bloody desperate and would take anything at this rate!!

Since Christmas I’ve been to Wills Neck (Quantocks) and did actually see some lying snow on the drive up to the top car park which was good, however nothing for the walk. Also been to Dunkery Beacon, had some sleet on the way up but again, nothing aside from areas such as in the picture below which I guess you could stretch to “lying snow”

I know the feeling of being desperate, I've been glued to the radar looking for tiny little flurries trying to make it hear from the east. I sincerely hope we get some proper snow before the Winter is out!

 

That last picture looks very like the "accumulation" we had last night lol

[*Stormforce~beka*]

4 hours ago, iowpompeylee said:

Bet you it’s marginal south of the m4

Too right LOL!! And if not it will melt in 10 minutes so barely worth it!

Edited January 6, 2021 by *Stormforce~beka*

[camturbo]

Not alot occurring in here tonight what are peoples thoughts for fri? Anything for some of us none of us or lucky few

[Jayfromcardiff]

10 minutes ago, camturbo said:

Not alot occurring in here tonight what are peoples thoughts for fri? Anything for some of us none of us or lucky few

Maybe a dusting, can't see much to be honest.

[Andy Bown]

Thankfully the gloom lifted around 14.00 allowing over an hour of sunshine.

Crystal clear, starry and frosty night.

[Dorsetbred]

Currently -1.1°C  and a lot a frost on cold surfaces already (cars), it remains clear, could be a cold one tonight..

[matt111]

Cloudy for most of the day with the sky clearing after sunset. Reached 4.6°C, currently -0.1°C

[MP-R]

After a cold day, the skies cleared following sunset and it's not a frosty night. -1.5C already.

[The Enforcer]

Day 4 of the Easterly - dry save a few spots of rain this morning. Maximum cleared 5C again. Current Minimum -0.5C. Heavier precipitation pushed much further westwards today, but of course only in the usual bands to the north and south of here courtesy of those stupid twiggy trough thingys:

[David Hopes]

Fog and Frost. -2.9°c. Humidity 97%Rh.

[jethro]

Morning campers, it was a starry, starry night when I went to bed, with a bit of a sparkle on the grass. Woken to one of my favourite types of morning, blinking cold, fog and wonder of wonders, a hoare frost. Literally everything is coated in white sparkles, it looks beautiful.  Hoare frost is even rarer than snow around here and is definitely the next best thing to snow in winter.

[Dorsetbred]

Yes looks very festive this morning doesn't it, after an overnight low of -2.6°C at: 04:16 and currently -1.7°C, with RH95%, this is what we need overnight tonight if we are to seal the fate for tomorrow morning, for anything other than cold rain...Onwards & Upwards, looking chilly out over the channel this morning..even the bins and tables on the beach are covered in white this morning

[jethro]

Passed the blinking freezing bubble test...... spider has a frosty home too this morning.

[jethro]

[AWD]

Definitely the chance for parts of our region to see some falling snow tomorrow afternoon.  All high Res models indicate something falling, but vary on intensity.  Most show light flurries scattered about though.  I've taken a snapshot of some below;

It's looking like a "cluster of flurries" at the moment, I am not expecting anything of note to settle or accumulate. As ever though, all rather uncertain with both intensity and exact track, so watching the radar tomorrow will be interesting.

 

[jtay]

37 minutes ago, AWD said:

Definitely the chance for parts of our region to see some falling snow tomorrow afternoon.  All high Res models indicate something falling, but vary on intensity.  Most show light flurries scattered about though.  I've taken a snapshot of some below;

It's looking like a "cluster of flurries" at the moment, I am not expecting anything of note to settle or accumulate. As ever though, all rather uncertain with both intensity and exact track, so watching the radar tomorrow will be interesting.

 

Agreed. Tomorrow does look like a nice to see it falling type of day, if we're lucky enough to get snow. Arome has it dodging us beautifully.

 

[Leon1]

Looks like frost again but the side road does have tyre tracks in it like last week so maybe the tiniest dusting once again?  There's so little I can't tell really.