South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[birdman]

9 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter  

 

[DanDorsetUK]

That stream and increase in intensity more than likely based on sun strength. I can see that dropping more south into North Dorset maybe even further south. Needs keeping an eye on that!

[Jayfromcardiff]

Not sure why people are writing the end of the week off so soon, the met office are still going for snow.

[offerman]

14 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter  

Wish you all the best see you next winter. I still think there will be several chances before winter is out.

including today Tomorrow and later in the week. 

[Skullzrulerz]

2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Not sure why people are writing the end of the week off so soon, the met office are still going for snow.

It is safe to say at the moment anything wintry let alone snowfall for the Far SW in this situation is very unlikely 

[Kreftysoton]

Snow flurry for 4 hrs solid now 6 miles s/e of southampton managed to get the lightest of coverings...barrel scratching i know! 

[Jayfromcardiff]

4 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

It is safe to say at the moment anything wintry let alone snowfall for the Far SW in this situation is very unlikely 

Fingers crossed you get some snow. The predicted snow depths for Friday lunchtime are quite impressive, quite a few inches of snow around the SW.

[DanDorsetUK]

Looking at radar development's I'd say there are quite a few in with a shout. Intensity is most definitely increasing even south east of the main flow which will brings the likes of eastern and Southern Dorset and IOW in with more of a chance of at least seeing some more flakes than seen so far. Need closely watching as intensity was forecast to pick up even more this evening.

[MidnightSnow]

22 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

I’m logging off till next winter, that’s me done guys! So much potential but unfortunately poor show for us in the south/southwest. Unfortunately flurries don’t excite me! We could of had a snow event Friday as our last chance but Atlantic isn’t making it in. All the best till next winter  

Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

[Bobafet]

I had better go out for supplies due to drifting snow........ incredible snow here on the Isle of Wight..... we must be due an Red warning soon!

[CentralSouthernSnow]

Just now, MidnightSnow said:

Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday 

[offerman]

Well at least if anything does fall it’s going to settle easily the bucket of water outside is just pure ice

The ground is more than cold enough the air temperature is -1 with a windchill what feels like -6 on -7 to me

[Jayfromcardiff]

3 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

There's no downgrade, parts of Devon and south Wales could get quite a few inches of snow by Friday lunchtime.

[Glenosnow]

Well so far today is the cold spell known as the great sugar coating of Feb 2021........we want more than that ❄❄❄....

[lettice]

Another spell of snow coming through here.
Very light.

Temp for the first time today has just gone positive, its 0.1c

[MidnightSnow]

I gotta stop looking at the radar. Trying to convince myself I will catch some of that snow but it's gonna go right under me. 

Anyone in here from Swindon? Looks like it will go directly over you.

[AWD]

8 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Has there just been a downgrade? I've been catching up on all the posts from this morning and the charts that AWD posted looked very good for Thurs / Fri. Anything changed since then?

Not really a downgrade or an upgrade with regards to later in the week.

Modelling still in disagreement with how far NE any frontal system on Thursday/Friday gets.  Global models struggling to get it past Devon, other shorter term modelling like the high Res UKV model and the Netweather model gets it across most of the region, falling as snow away from Cornwall.

Personally I'm waiting for shorter term high Res modelling to come into play (Wednesday onwards) before looking at it too much.

Still very much up in the air.  As for now, we are all flurry chasing. 

Edited February 8, 2021 by AWD

[wiltshire weather]

I think there is a definitely possibilty of some more organised snow Tuesday into Weds in the east of our region looking at the FAX charts:

The one for Tuesday shows a convergence line through the Wash which moves south into Weds:

Here's where it ends up on Weds:

One to keep an eye on.

[coxx657]

1 minute ago, MidnightSnow said:

I gotta stop looking at the radar. Trying to convince myself I will catch some of that snow but it's gonna go right under me. 

Anyone in here from Swindon? Looks like it will go directly over you.

i rekon your bang in line for that streamer ;0)

[Man With Beard]

14 minutes ago, Kreftysoton said:

Snow flurry for 4 hrs solid now 6 miles s/e of southampton managed to get the lightest of coverings...barrel scratching i know! 

Same here. I'll take it after the winter we've had so far!

[MP-R]

A few snow grains flying about here at the moment...

On the plus side, at least the ground will dry out a bit this week.

[AWD]

6 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday 

I knew you'd be back.  Where's my tenner?! 

[Wilxy]

6 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

ECM 00z gave us snow. GFS is being consistent with no snow Friday 

Welcome back!

[dec10snow]

Some dandruff currently floating around, might have a covering by this time next winter at this rate, just in time to show @CentralSouthernSnow when he next logs on 

Intermittently sunny too. 

[khodds]

Eek!! It’s nice light snow now!! (Wells)