South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[suxer]

5 minutes ago, khodds said:

Aww I am sorry your having a crap day! But that did make me giggle.. the paint not the drive. I have no such excuses for being a miserable mare. Only that I’m on a diet and want to eat everything in sight right now

Have a glass of wine Kate and wait for Thursday's snow 

[khodds]

1 minute ago, suxer said:

Have a glass of wine Kate and wait for Thursday's snow 

Nooo I’m being good!!

[camturbo]

Right I'm back lost me password and got bored of almost watching on the last no event. Maybe we might see something of the white nature. Potential is there sort or.

Lampost is working,temps seem bloomin cold but lack of ppn. I think there will be some surprises for some of us. We live in hope

[The Enforcer]

Another source of annoyance is how the bands of showers further north are capable of crossing the Pennines and Peak District so that they reach north-western areas of the North and the Midlands. Yet the showers coming in over The Wash, despite being heavier than those further North, are fading almost instantly even though I am pretty certain on the current trajectory there are no ranges of hills (it would pass to the north of the Chilterns) in the way to prevent it from reaching Central Southern England.

Edited February 7, 2021 by The Enforcer

[festivalking]

26 minutes ago, khodds said:

Yeah. I def don’t want a repeat of March 2013. That would finish us off

Some of us are still in therapy because of that non event

[AWD]

Latest 12z UKV continues to show light snow showers/flurries crossing east - west cross central Southern England through tomorrow morning;

Nothing much showing on this model tomorrow afternoon or Tuesday though.

[CheesepuffScott]

Cloudy after a relatively sunny morning/early afternoon. Peaked at: 3.6°C

Currently 1.9°C

[festivalking]

Impressive 12z runs looking like the cold weather will last too the weekend and then enhance into the next. The option of the stalling fronts are very real. Lots to play for. Here Tuesday is a non event. All eyes on Thursday.

 

A couple days back we had rain forecast now a day of snow. Two days time it will probably turn into a cold and dry day!

Edited February 7, 2021 by festivalking

[Richard Fisher]

2 hours ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Blimey!! Wonder what happened there?

Kingswood death: Man arrested on suspicion of murder and police cordon in place - Bristol Live

WWW.BRISTOLPOST.CO.UK

---

Police were called to Kennard Road

Horrible just saw them bring the body out

[AWD]

2 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Impressive 12z GFS run, looking like the cold weather will last too the weekend and then enhance into the next. The option of the stalling fronts are very real. Lots to play for. Here Tuesday is a non event. All eyes on Thursday.

Changed that for you. 

Don't get sucked into GFS operational runs mate, they run 4 times a day and often give 4 different medium - long range forecasts a day.

[suxer]

8 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Impressive 12z runs looking like the cold weather will last too the weekend and then enhance into the next. The option of the stalling fronts are very real. Lots to play for. Here Tuesday is a non event. All eyes on Thursday.

 

A couple days back we had rain forecast now a day of snow. Two days time it will probably turn into a cold and dry day!

Yeah decent run,feel positive for Thursday onwards 

[khodds]

6 minutes ago, Richard Fisher said:

 

Kingswood death: Man arrested on suspicion of murder and police cordon in place - Bristol Live

WWW.BRISTOLPOST.CO.UK

---

Police were called to Kennard Road

Horrible just saw them bring the body out

How sad  

[CentralSouthernSnow]

Warning! Fantasy land! 19th February! Us southerners can dream! I have a feeling we will see more charts like this 

Edited February 7, 2021 by CentralSouthernSnow

[gman88667733]

I know it isn't the most reliable, but the MO app shows heavy/light snow all day Thursday for me. Fingers crossed!

[Shaftesburydelightski]

Temperature dropped from a high of 1.6 to 0.3 and ice just forming in the buckets of water in the garden.

If anything falls from the sky it will be snow, just can't see much on the horizon yet.

 

[suxer]

2 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

Warning! Fantasy land! 19th feb! Us southerners can dream! 

Even Large totals on the south coast

[JimBob]

Met Office going for a milder breakdown on Thursday into the South & West, rain and sleet and 5 degrees quite widely. 

[tomavenell]

6 minutes ago, CentralSouthernSnow said:

Warning! Fantasy land! 19th February! Us southerners can dream! I have a feeling we will see more charts like this 

Will probably happen! with Chichester being the wrong side of line on every potential event this winter 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 hour ago, Kreftysoton said:

Looking dry for the entire week here 6 miles south east of southampton... so difficult to get any snow here recently.  Slight downgrade on temps for the week 0,0,2,2,4 and 6 on Saturday.

I'm coming to you for a cup of tea, cake and a cry!!

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 hour ago, Glenosnow said:

I've got some polystyrene in the garage,I'll get the cheese grater on it 

I'm on my way round!!!

[AWD]

6 minutes ago, JimBob said:

Met Office going for a milder breakdown on Thursday into the South & West, rain and sleet and 5 degrees quite widely. 

This is the temperature forecast map for SW England, on Thursday afternoon, on the Meto website, updated around 2 hours ago;

Seems to follow most modelling in that milder air only really gets into Cornwall and costal parts of Devon.

Inland northern and eastern parts of the region remaining on the cold side.

Ultimately all comes down to where the frontal system sits.  This will chop and change regularly between now and then.

Edited February 7, 2021 by AWD

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 hour ago, khodds said:

I’ve lost my positive attitude of yesterday and now see no hope on the horizon. I know we are less than a day in but it looked so promising a few days ago

I'm afraid I'm with you. Wanna join our pity party in Totton?

[fromey]

Interesting  

[*Stormforce~beka*]

1 hour ago, AWD said:

Sorry, you aren't in as good a position as @Nights King

You'll do well for a 7 minutes flurry. 

Once the timer goes off at 7 minutes it moves on to someone else! All in the name of fairness ya know lol

[JimBob]

5 minutes ago, AWD said:

This is the temperature forecast map for SW England, on Thursday afternoon, on the Meto website, updated around 2 hours ago;

Seems to follow most modelling in that milder air only really gets into Cornwall and costal parts of Devon.

Inland northern and eastern parts of the region remaining on the cold side.

Ultimately all comes down to where the frontal system sits.  This will chop and change regularly between now and then.

The latest text update mentions rain moving in on Thursday and the TV weather showed 5 degrees for the region.  To be fair if all were going to get us freezing cold dry weather, the sooner it warms up the better!