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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward


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Posted
  • Location: portsmouth, hampshire
  • Location: portsmouth, hampshire

watching that radar all morning and there is deffo a westward movement to them showers, just hoping to see a few small showers today and ill be happy with that for today lol

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Posted
  • Location: Southampton
  • Location: Southampton
5 minutes ago, noonoo418 said:

If anyone fancies a little light humour... Head over to the South East thread.... Despite having another 24 hrs of heavy snow to come, there is a lot of panic as they don't already have much settled snow outside!  We are lucky in that sense, low expectations means that anything that comes along is welcomed and celebrated. Fingers crossed though, strength of streamers have been underplayed and we get a little bit of action...certainly the models seem to be picking up on this idea...

I was looking at this, some right drama queens calling it a bust! 

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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat, Ice, Freezing Fog. Etc
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
5 minutes ago, noonoo418 said:

If anyone fancies a little light humour... Head over to the South East thread.... Despite having another 24 hrs of heavy snow to come, there is a lot of panic as they don't already have much settled snow outside!  ...

Just seen that! Even people just miles west of the heavy incoming band are moaning it’s not arrived as planned. Jeez this could be a 24 hour event for them and it’s obvious it’s getting colder. There’s even a few flakes falling where I am and it’s come from that direction! I’d be very happy if I was that close to something moving my way, late or not.

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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat, Ice, Freezing Fog. Etc
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
17 minutes ago, Blizzard said:

Few snow grains up here too (on morning run). See if you can spot them....

A2793A51-1582-4EDF-AAFB-220025CDA725.jpeg

Whiteout! If you’re very small....  

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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

GFS for Friday morning, 

CD12697F-7757-4A96-99D3-F62055323B93.thumb.gif.6b03c71b55170749e31911e88b6a8741.gif

The end of the week is our best shot at some more widespread/persistent snowfall. Hopefully the models will continue to bring the front inland far enough. The front also needs to be ahead of the milder air aloft. Its going to be all about timing/intensity and positioning.

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL

Morning All, an overcast start to the day as the beachcam shot shows nicely, with 'Anthem of the Seas' facing in to the offshore NE wind this morning. Currently 2.8°C, so only marginally above the overnight low...RH82% and the current DP 0°C....

image.thumb.png.3e423316091745e147b9a25e23258d8b.png

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Posted
  • Location: Shaftesbury, Dorset, 217m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,cold, & sunny & warm
  • Location: Shaftesbury, Dorset, 217m asl

Temperature dropped to 0.9 down from 1.5 at 6.30 and wind increased as well.

Just need some snow!

 

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
10 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Thursday is looking good, expect warnings tomorrow.

The MetO won't be using Amber as they've already used up the seasons allowance over the past week...

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Posted
  • Location: Dursley
  • Weather Preferences: 4 seasons please
  • Location: Dursley
29 minutes ago, Blizzard said:

Few snow grains up here too (on morning run). See if you can spot them....

A2793A51-1582-4EDF-AAFB-220025CDA725.jpegd

Dare you to post this in South East thread with something along the lines of.... Massive bonus over here, all kicking off..... 0.00001 in settled....

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

Temp has been dropping slightly since first thing and the DP also.

Was 3.1c at 8am with DP of 2c, now 2.7c and DP of -1.5c.

If showers did make it this far they should fall as snow. 

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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

Some showers showing over IOW too and radar saying it’s snow... @isleofwightsnowgal @Isleofwightsnowgal74

(sorry don’t know which is your current one without looking back )

Fingers crossed for some long reaching streamers overnight and into the next couple of days!

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset
28 minutes ago, chris55 said:

GFS for Friday morning, 

CD12697F-7757-4A96-99D3-F62055323B93.thumb.gif.6b03c71b55170749e31911e88b6a8741.gif

The end of the week is our best shot at some more widespread/persistent snowfall. Hopefully the models will continue to bring the front inland far enough. The front also needs to be ahead of the milder air aloft. Its going to be all about timing/intensity and positioning.

 

 

I think that’s the issue. The timing in reality compared to these charts is always 2/3 hours earlier or later. Make or break 

Edited by CentralSouthernSnow
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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

Area of vorticity showing increased risk of showers into to tomorrow morning.

C1333EF8-31C2-49BE-828E-6BB1706E0688.thumb.png.fbf31f24a358d535b982e8ee4063f1e7.png

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Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford

Have some snow symbols appearing on Met Office forecast now, possibly picking up on the potential showers and streamers into tomorrow?

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Posted
  • Location: Seven Springs, Cotswolds 212m ASL
  • Location: Seven Springs, Cotswolds 212m ASL
29 minutes ago, noonoo418 said:

Dare you to post this in South East thread with something along the lines of.... Massive bonus over here, all kicking off..... 0.00001 in settled....

I'm game.... I'll use your words

<<EDIT: - Is done but suspect will get lost in the 100s of postings per minute going on over there... some have got proper snow - good to see wherever it lands in the South of the UK! >>

Edited by Blizzard
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Posted
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire
  • Location: Downton, Wiltshire

06z Arome goes with the scattergun approach for our region, overnight and through tomorrow. Streamers making it quite some way West.

anim_erk6.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

Looks like some may strike it lucky with showers tonight and into tomorrow then?

 

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Posted
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !
  • Location: Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 143M/469ft ASL
7 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

Have some snow symbols appearing on Met Office forecast now, possibly picking up on the potential showers and streamers into tomorrow?

So there are! Some appeared for the early hours here and for most of tomorrow morning

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