South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[matt111]

The temperature dropped quickly just after my last post as the front went through giving a few minutes of heavy rain and very strong winds. Much calmer now with a lighter breeze and it's almost stopped raining. 5.6°C

[kumquat]

Woken by big boom of thunder and hail whiteout from that Squall line.

[SteveB]

Yep, saw lightning on the way in to work this morning.

[kumquat]

Another crack of thunder and probably hail about to hit me.

Pink sun shining from the East and ominous looking sky to the west. Still pretty white on surfaces. Looks good out there at the moment!

Edited January 21, 2021 by kumquat

[Karl83]

Thunder and Lightning here... didnt hear the boom earlier kumquat... loud?

[kumquat]

Yep pretty loud, although the spheric looked like it was in South Wales for that 6:55am strike.

[kumquat]

Line of beefy showers heading up the Bristol Channel. Shame it isn't a bit colder.

[Dorsetbred]

Looking feisty this morning towards the Southampton direction

[Dorsetbred]

Morning All, after a blustery spell last night, clear skies prevail this morning, with an overnight low of 4.0°C at: 01:35, currently 6.1°C and the gentle/moderate breeze is in from the WSW..adding some wind chill..RH80% and pressure rising @988.4mb. Yesterday's 16mm helps to increase the monthly total..

Edited January 21, 2021 by Dorsetbred

[lettice]

The Storm did not really come to much here yesterday and overnight.
WInd yesterday, Southerly 10-16mph with plenty of 20-29mph gusts. 
Temp got to 10.4c at 1pm yesterday, a low of 5.6c at 1:15am. 
No rain since 10:30pm yesterday.

Now, Light cloud, blue skies, 7.8c, 987.9 hPa
WSW wind 12-14mph, 18-24mph gusts.

Edited January 21, 2021 by lettice

[Richard Fisher]

https://twitter.com/fergieweather/status/1352201230332940292?s=21

[matt111]

Dry so far with sunny spells earlier although it's clouded over now. 8.6°C

[Karl83]

Just a few photos after this mornings crazy weather..

Edited January 21, 2021 by Karl83
Corrected text

[R Alto]

Quite a heavy, persistent hail shower in Poole just now, decent sized stones, grass is almost white. Went for a walk earlier and there was lots of high cloud about so I was not expecting that.

Edited January 21, 2021 by R Alto

[Frosty_wsm]

National weather forecast looks good for our region early hours of Sunday morning, showed a band of snow crossing & nothing marginal about it. 

[Jayfromcardiff]

3 minutes ago, Smartie said:

National weather forecast looks good for our region early hours of Sunday morning, showed a band of snow crossing & nothing marginal about it. 

I agree but there must be some doubt if the Met office aren't on board yet. Whether the snow warrants a weather warning is another question but we'll see tomorrow.

[suxer]

5 minutes ago, Smartie said:

National weather forecast looks good for our region early hours of Sunday morning, showed a band of snow crossing & nothing marginal about it. 

Was that the BBC Smartie?

[Turnedoutniceagain]

We could see a few cms of snow on Sunday morning. Temps predicted to be below freezing all day - an "ice day" !!

[kumquat]

59 minutes ago, Karl83 said:

Just a few photos after this mornings crazy weather..

It was a good morning for weather watching, for sure. Very similar to my views. 

[Frosty_wsm]

14 minutes ago, suxer said:

Was that the BBC Smartie?

Yeah, news 24, waiting for a met office youtube update video that covers Sunday to see what they show. 

[MP-R]

49 minutes ago, Smartie said:

National weather forecast looks good for our region early hours of Sunday morning, showed a band of snow crossing & nothing marginal about it. 

Wouldn't it be ironic to have missed countless opportunities for snow from the northwest-northeast so far this winter that have fallen flat due to marginality, then snow coming in from the west is not marginal at all...

I'm not going to hold my breath and will just hope for a surprise. At least we have timing on our side for once.

[chris55]

GFS's take on Sundays potential snow.....a bit slower and almost a mini slider! However there has been so many different scenarios with this that we're prob none the wiser for now.

Westcountry looking well positioned as of this run, with the front stalling and almost pivoting. Nice continental draw ahead as well. If this could get a little more potent could be decent.

 

[Bald Eagle]

What model does xc weather use? They have been forecasting snow for my location sat night/ sun morning for the last 3 days. At least its not in day 10 range

[Leon1]

7 minutes ago, Bald Eagle said:

What model does xc weather use? They have been forecasting snow for my location sat night/ sun morning for the last 3 days. At least its not in day 10 range

GFS according to their website 

XCWeather Frequently Asked Questions

WWW.XCWEATHER.CO.UK

Edit: Just checked and it shows 10cm for me  imagine if that were to happen! 

Edited January 21, 2021 by Leon1

[Wiltshireweatherwatcher]

1 hour ago, chris55 said:

GFS's take on Sundays potential snow.....a bit slower and almost a mini slider! However there has been so many different scenarios with this that we're prob none the wiser for now.

Westcountry looking well positioned as of this run, with the front stalling and almost pivoting. Nice continental draw ahead as well. If this could get a little more potent could be decent.

 

A repeat of February 1st 2019 would be nice where the system stalled over our region and gave a day of steady snow. Nothing overly heavy but it soon built up.