Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[BornFromTheVoid]

The fog makes for some nice pics. This is on the walk to Bay Lough on the Knockmealdown mountains a few hours ago.

[mountain shadow]

Massive swing away from cold in the last 24 hours.

Virtually no chance of a White Christmas anywhere and any post Christmas cold looks ropey now too.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

3 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Massive swing away from cold in the last 24 hours.

Virtually no chance of a White Christmas anywhere and any post Christmas cold looks ropey now too.

Yeah looks that way, even my hope for a sunny but cold Christmas day looks ropey now, ah well.

[mountain shadow]

24 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Yeah looks that way, even my hope for a sunny but cold Christmas day looks ropey now, ah well.

Yeh. Looking increasingly wet and miserable. 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Hmm maybe we still have some skin in the game 

[Sperrin]

Always knew the GFS 06z was my favourite run

[mountain shadow]

41 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

Always knew the GFS 06z was my favourite run

The MET 06z Mogreps has pretty much the whole of Ireland missing out. I guess we'll just have to wait and see.

[Sperrin]

All very knife edge MS...Nice wee update this morning from the met office re Christmas day for us in the North 

[mountain shadow]

33 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

All very knife edge MS...Nice wee update this morning from the met office re Christmas day for us in the North 

Latest UKMO says we're back in the game! What a rollercoaster ride!

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

17 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Latest UKMO says we're back in the game! What a rollercoaster ride!

Really going down to the wire this all!! I note excitement on the MT but never know if that's only for South East England 

[gman144]

Looked here this morning very deflated, now a little bit of hope. Money wise need a flake or 2 but would be nice to see a covering for Christmas.

[mountain shadow]

27 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Really going down to the wire this all!! I note excitement on the MT but never know if that's only for South East England 

Yup. No guarantees yet. There will be a sweet spot that gets buried, but some will get rain and some just dry and cold.

[The Weather Watcher]

I bid you all good luck for some of the white stuff on Christmas day. No chance for me as I will be in Singapore (pending negative test in the morning). 32, sun and afternoon downpours.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Met Office NI mentions hill snow for tomorrow, can that be right? 

[mountain shadow]

37 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Met Office NI mentions hill snow for tomorrow, can that be right? 

Very brief and over 300 feet or more.

[carboncowboy75]

So how are we looking for Christmas/boxing day snow? The model thread has thrown its toys out of the pram

[Rocheydub]

4 hours ago, carboncowboy75 said:

So how are we looking for Christmas/boxing day snow? The model thread has thrown its toys out of the pram

The models are all over the place over the last few days and no consistency yet, but there is still chances of Christmas and Stephen's day being cold and some wintery showers. We'll know more in about a half hour as the ECM is rolling out now.

[mountain shadow]

55 minutes ago, Rocheydub said:

The models are all over the place over the last few days and no consistency yet, but there is still chances of Christmas and Stephen's day being cold and some wintery showers. We'll know more in about a half hour as the ECM is rolling out now.

I think the chances of any wintry showers away from very high ground are very low. Less than 10%.

Maybe the Antrim Hills in the far North East the best chance.

Looks miserable for some with days of cold rain.

[Rocheydub]

ECM and Icon now agreeing. Very strange to see such a big divergence at such short time. Hard to see ECM being wrong at this range though. Mad few days model watching.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Guess we can move on from any cold chasing for the Christmas period, tbh at this stage I just want to see some sunshine been nothing but grey skies here this past 10 days or so 

[booferking]

The winter has been pants so far i agree with MS the mjo is as much use as a chocolate fire guard and my jury has always been out on it last year it was the (iod) to blame what's it going to be this year lol everything pointing to early blocking and Cold/snow and nothing to date think i need to change my hobby

[mountain shadow]

The latest theory, is that few sun spot farts have caused the complete reversal of the weather pattern from a Greenie High to the Azores/Euro High.

I just don't buy it.

[BIG LAD]

Full on depression in the model thread. Mild January on the way.

[mountain shadow]

Looks that way Big Lad. Miserable wet Christmas coming up.

[Rocheydub]

1 hour ago, mountain shadow said:

Looks that way Big Lad. Miserable wet Christmas coming up.

Well, on that low point.....

May I take this opportunity to wish you all here in the (compared to the MOD) very sane Ireland thread, a very happy, peaceful and safe Christmas. As it happens, I'm working every day from the 25th to the 28th and then from the 31st to the 2nd, so I was feeling a bit HUMBUG. Last night a good pal sent me a music video which lifted the spirits incredibly. Suddenly I felt festive!!! So I hope you all have a special and indeed, joyous (if possible) Christmas. Best wishes for a bit of snow for us all over the coming months!