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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onwards


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Their text forecast isn't the best and I'm not saying that because it doesn't mention snow. Its updated twice daily between 2 to 4pm and 2 to 4am. Often the only thing they change is the time it was updated not the text. Even if the weather is expected to be the same at least change a couple of words about instead of being lazy lol.

Anyway. They would only release that early warning for snow if a certain threshold was reached to issue it.

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Right, tomorrow is planned. We're rising early, and if the snow (as expected) hasn't given us enough to play in (my lads are snow starved) then we're heading to higher climates and we're building a sn

I’m disappointed with the snow here today but not as disappointed as my wife will be tomorrow with her valentines present 😬

Just tested the cat out in his new backpack. Ground control to major tomcat. 😅  

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Posted
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
    8 minutes ago, Donegal said:

    Their text forecast isn't the best and I'm not saying that because it doesn't mention snow. Its updated twice daily between 2 to 4pm and 2 to 4am. Often the only thing they change is the time it was updated not the text. Even if the weather is expected to be the same at least change a couple of words about instead of being lazy lol.

    Anyway. They would only release that early warning for snow if a certain threshold was reached to issue it.

    Agree 100%

    This is what brought me to weather forums in the first place. Useless weather apps and forecasts and alerts from the big hitters that continuously hedged bets and covered all bases. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Carrickfergus
  • Location: Carrickfergus
    34 minutes ago, SnowJon said:

    That is at complete odds with their forecast text for NI for the weekend! It doesn't even mention hill snow 🤔:
     

     

    It is really frustrating. They have been outliers all week in terms of forecasting nothing and then a sudden change 😞 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Kilkenny, Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow? Thunder
  • Location: South Kilkenny, Ireland

    Aftrr all the fraupel,finally had a few proper snow showers this morning leaving a light dusting ......snow for tomorrow downgraded again....a lot of places in north and east will stay dry I think with small accumulations elsewhere before turning to rain tomorrow night and on Friday......unless models have this wrong  

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    Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.

    Yep, all the precipitation dies away when it hits midlands. Dublin snow shield in full effect again! All according to the latest HIRLAM

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    Mid term GFS (06z) slowing onset of mild, ECM going for strong mild outlook. BBC monthly going for mild next week with fair possibility of cold coming back week after because of negative AO, with high pressure in the baltic region. Caveats being this is fairly broad brush and dependent upon orientation of blocking high.

    Short term, both BBCNI & RTE going for snow Thursday coming into SW Ireland, not progressing as far as NI. Friday non descript but still cold north but mild south. Saturday morning rain SW, transient snow Ulster & NE Leinster turning back to rain in the afternoon. Very mild thereafter - looks like they are both following using ECM output.

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    Posted
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl

    Wind has turned more south east and is driving a few more showers this direction. Caught the edge of one just now moving up through south Tyrone. Temp got down to -4.7c here last night.

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    Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.

    12z GFS still keen to give most of the lower 26 counties a pasting tomorrow. North and east getting another go at it on Saturday and the lunch time news on RTE showed similar. As usual, Mother Nature will decide!

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry

    From NI Weather..... 

    The NI Weather & Flood Advisory Service has issued the following weather warning. 

    A Warning of Snow & Ice has been issued for Northern Ireland.  This is something we have been monitoring & forecasting over the past several days. This is an update/amendment to our advisory and has been upgraded to a warning.   It's likely that this warning may be upgraded to Level 2 for some areas.

    Warning valid from 22:00 12/02/2021 Until at least 18:00 13/02/2021

    An Atlantic weather front will move into NI later Friday and throughout Saturday and as this encounters the very cold air currently in place, it is expected to turn readily to heavy sleet & snow, first in Western areas but extending to all parts overnight.  (Similar to the fairly widespread snowfall event the country experienced on 23-24th January)

    Accumulations of up to 5cm are possible quite widely across the country and as much as 10-15cm locally and more so over higher ground (Possibly as much as 20cm in one or two spots)  Some areas on higher ground & high level routes may become impassable for a time.  (Some coastal areas may see a more wintry mix)

    NB: Accumulations will again vary and some areas will likely see more than others.

    Strong winds of up to 30-50mph may be an additonal hazard, leading to temporary blizzard conditions in places exposed to the wind.  This combined with falling snow and possible freezing rain could cause some localised disruption to power supplies.

    Ice will become an issue across many areas, leading to hazardous driving conditions especially in areas with snow cover.

    There is a chance during Saturday afternoon of the sleet/snow possibly turning to rain in Western areas due to milder air assoicated with the weather front.    There is also a risk of a period of freezing rain in places which will may lead to dangerous conditions. 

    This warning may be upgraded to Level 2 at any stage so please keep an eye on our page.

    We will of course keep you updated on where the snowfall is and it's current track 🙂

    We will also be posting some charts/data regarding this possible widespread snowfall event.  Stay tuned.

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    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    Very interesting segment from Alex Deakin on Facebook, explains some charts that always stump me really well. 

    https://www.facebook.com/287501884208/posts/10158362077549209/

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    1 hour ago, ronan said:

    From NI Weather..... 

    The NI Weather & Flood Advisory Service has issued the following weather warning. 

    A Warning of Snow & Ice has been issued for Northern Ireland.  This is something we have been monitoring & forecasting over the past several days. This is an update/amendment to our advisory and has been upgraded to a warning.   It's likely that this warning may be upgraded to Level 2 for some areas.

    Warning valid from 22:00 12/02/2021 Until at least 18:00 13/02/2021

    An Atlantic weather front will move into NI later Friday and throughout Saturday and as this encounters the very cold air currently in place, it is expected to turn readily to heavy sleet & snow, first in Western areas but extending to all parts overnight.  (Similar to the fairly widespread snowfall event the country experienced on 23-24th January)

    Accumulations of up to 5cm are possible quite widely across the country and as much as 10-15cm locally and more so over higher ground (Possibly as much as 20cm in one or two spots)  Some areas on higher ground & high level routes may become impassable for a time.  (Some coastal areas may see a more wintry mix)

    NB: Accumulations will again vary and some areas will likely see more than others.

    Strong winds of up to 30-50mph may be an additonal hazard, leading to temporary blizzard conditions in places exposed to the wind.  This combined with falling snow and possible freezing rain could cause some localised disruption to power supplies.

    Ice will become an issue across many areas, leading to hazardous driving conditions especially in areas with snow cover.

    There is a chance during Saturday afternoon of the sleet/snow possibly turning to rain in Western areas due to milder air assoicated with the weather front.    There is also a risk of a period of freezing rain in places which will may lead to dangerous conditions. 

    This warning may be upgraded to Level 2 at any stage so please keep an eye on our page.

    We will of course keep you updated on where the snowfall is and it's current track 🙂

    We will also be posting some charts/data regarding this possible widespread snowfall event.  Stay tuned.

    The weather forecast (6:55pm) on the bbcni news forecast snow on Saturday morning to turn to rain in the afternoon. This is in line with other forecasts over the last 24 hours. 

    That warning you posted seems to be an updated forecast even though it was issued before the tv forecast was aired. I can only assume that the tv broadcast was pre-recorded and was out of date by the time it was broadcast.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone
    54 minutes ago, Cavehill Snow said:

    The weather forecast (6:55pm) on the bbcni news forecast snow on Saturday morning to turn to rain in the afternoon. This is in line with other forecasts over the last 24 hours. 

    That warning you posted seems to be an updated forecast even though it was issued before the tv forecast was aired. I can only assume that the tv broadcast was pre-recorded and was out of date by the time it was broadcast.

    And the video forecast for NI hasn't updated since 1pm on bbc NI weather page and it showed an all snow event Saturday so i think there waiting on more runs to confirm this finely balanced.

    Also a few of ECM perbs keep cold in play for longer some to Monday an interesting 18z coming but it hard to go against the ecm op.

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry

    To be honest I'll just be glad to see some proper heavy snow whether it's gone the next day or not. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Nutts Corner
  • Location: Nutts Corner
    22 minutes ago, ronan said:

    To be honest I'll just be glad to see some proper heavy snow whether it's gone the next day or not. 

    Me to Ronan and when it melts then roll on spring.

    Ground last week to wet and this week to hard 🤣

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    Posted
  • Location: Ballygawley, Ireland
  • Location: Ballygawley, Ireland

    I would just have loved about 6-7 inches of good Snow on Saturday as the ground is froze good and hard, get the kids out to go sledging and build snowmen. 

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    Posted
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl

    Just hit -4c here.

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry

    It's definitely bitter out tonight. Coldest feeling night of the winter so far. Roll on Saturday now for some proper snow 🤞

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    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    Interestingly the euro4 has todays precipitation easily reaching the far north of the island this evening. Basically hitting ulster around 5pm and still in situ in the early morning hours. No idea of intensity as I imagine it will fizzle out.

    Its already well over Munster, any pics from down the country?

    Screenshot_20210211-083400_Chrome.jpg

    20210211_083427.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl

    Nice covering here this morning. Expecting more over the weekend.

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    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
    og-image.png
    WWW.BBC.CO.UK

    Latest weather conditions and forecasts for the UK and the world. Includes up to 14-days of hourly forecast information, warnings, maps, and the latest editorial analysis and videos from the BBC...

     

    BBC weather has today's front just about making ulster but looks to be very weak at that point. Good news is she mentioned those magical words of significant snowfall on Saturday. Looks like this period will go out with a bang before much milder weather pushes in on Sunday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    43 minutes ago, booferking said:

    A remarkable winter in Scotland coldest temperature -23c official metoffice sceptical on Scottish fourm reporting in a valley -24.5c

    And only a hundred or so miles away.

    Different world.

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    Posted
  • Location: Belfast. 97m asl (Divis Mountain)
  • Location: Belfast. 97m asl (Divis Mountain)
    1 hour ago, Sperrin said:

    Interestingly the euro4 has todays precipitation easily reaching the far north of the island this evening. Basically hitting ulster around 5pm and still in situ in the early morning hours. No idea of intensity as I imagine it will fizzle out.

    Its already well over Munster, any pics from down the country?

    Screenshot_20210211-083400_Chrome.jpg

    20210211_083427.jpg

    Looking at the Radar compared to models it looks to be slightly further North than models forecast.  May get alittle snow in places 🙂

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    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    On your doorstep @Summer Snow

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