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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onwards


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10 minutes ago, Rocheydub said:

It's diagnosed by little squiggles in the line on the long wave patterns or shortwaves popping into the long wave pattern.

Thanks for that - every day is a learning day. Any chance of snow cover for you tonight?

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Right, tomorrow is planned. We're rising early, and if the snow (as expected) hasn't given us enough to play in (my lads are snow starved) then we're heading to higher climates and we're building a sn

I’m disappointed with the snow here today but not as disappointed as my wife will be tomorrow with her valentines present 😬

Just tested the cat out in his new backpack. Ground control to major tomcat. 😅  

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Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL

    Potentially snowy Saturday followed by soggy Sunday on the 18z GFS.

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    Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
    13 minutes ago, Cavehill Snow said:

    Thanks for that - every day is a learning day. Any chance of snow cover for you tonight?

    Not really. It’s snowed grauple every day since Sunday, but so light it’s negligible, same for tonight. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry
    6 minutes ago, Donegal said:

    Yes ronan. Don't understand how they're not included in the warning.

    Yeah I seen pics from up around the Isle Of Doagh this morning and they had quite a bit of snow but the snow just keeps on coming there tonight. Also seeing pics of Garvagh tonight and they have a lot of snow by the looks of it while maybe a mile down the road barely nothing. All very localised. Garvagh.... 

    FB_IMG_1612916333874.jpg

    Edited by ronan
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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down

    Sorry to be the bringer of bad tidings but if you are a snow fan like me - don't make my mistake of reading the UK Met Office Northern Ireland outlook for Friday - Sunday 😢

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    23 minutes ago, SnowJon said:

    Sorry to be the bringer of bad tidings but if you are a snow fan like me - don't make my mistake of reading the UK Met Office Northern Ireland outlook for Friday - Sunday 😢

    It's been a crap Winter all round.

    Compare and contrast this thread to the Scottish one.

    I still have a hope of snow on Saturday before a quick melt.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    39 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    It's been a crap Winter all round.

    Compare and contrast this thread to the Scottish one.

    I still have a hope of snow on Saturday before a quick melt.

    Yeah it's definitely been rubbish for us model watchers as there has been so much promise (much more than a normal winter) but very little delivery!
    For folk who don't study the weather models, it's probably been a fairly standard winter !
    On the plus side, this week has been great for getting out of the house for walks - last week was dire with all that rain. 

    Edited by SnowJon
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    Posted
  • Location: Omagh
  • Location: Omagh

    With regards to tomorrow and on through the weekend, It’s a shame that you only ever get downgrades re snow at this stage the forecasts never make mistakes resulting in upgrades. Why is it they always forecast colder and snowier than it always ends up?

    although in fairness the met office never at any stage forecasted much for here this weekend.

    Edited by Sparky72
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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL

    There's three things I take from this Winter.

    1. Anomalous northerly blocking in Winter does not necessarily deliver snow in my back yard

    2. Easterlies without a South Easterly component definitely don't deliver in my back yard

    3. The UKMO model is the daddy out to t+144 and the GFS remains dire

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    3 hours ago, SnowJon said:

    Sorry to be the bringer of bad tidings but if you are a snow fan like me - don't make my mistake of reading the UK Met Office Northern Ireland outlook for Friday - Sunday 😢

    The GFS is a rubbish model but it surely cannot be wrong at this range..

    image.thumb.png.578c9c3a7a5bc01103290f728e4fe4d7.png

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone

    Totally different contrast between are winter & the Scots snow depths widely reported between 20cm to 40+ there pictures are immense in there.

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    Posted
  • Location: Co.Tyrone
  • Location: Co.Tyrone

    I know we are doom and gloom about the lack of snow on the ground but I will take that days like today anytime, absolutely beautiful out there was out walking the dog earlier its a stunning morning 

    20210210_083348.jpg

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  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    18 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    The GFS is a rubbish model but it surely cannot be wrong at this range..

    image.thumb.png.578c9c3a7a5bc01103290f728e4fe4d7.png

     

    That does look good but I'm not holding my breath!

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    19 minutes ago, booferking said:

    Totally different contrast between are winter & the Scots snow depths widely reported between 20cm to 40+ there pictures are immense in there.

    This was Tannadice St in Dundee this morning. 

    image.thumb.png.f7688dda2508a713582e3f0c5f55043f.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    UK met office have issued a yellow warning for all of NI on Saturday, looks pretty decent too, although they mention snow turning to rain in afternoon.

    Screenshot_20210210-111845_Samsung Internet.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL

    Anybody watching the model thread picking up that the end of the cold is not a done deal. Probably still going to go milder but it’s not as certain now. GFS and it’s counterpart sensing an extension of the cold.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    9 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

    UK met office have issued a yellow warning for all of NI on Saturday, looks pretty decent too, although they mention snow turning to rain in afternoon.

    Screenshot_20210210-111845_Samsung Internet.jpg

    That is at complete odds with their forecast text for NI for the weekend! It doesn't even mention hill snow 🤔:

    Quote

    Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

    Dry and bright on Friday, cold southeasterly wind. Windy on Saturday with a little showery rain. Persistent rain on Saturday night then mostly dry on Sunday.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl

    @SnowJon warning was just issued at 11.12am so perhaps the forecast text will change later in the day?

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    Posted
  • Location: Irvine
  • Location: Irvine
    1 hour ago, booferking said:

    Totally different contrast between are winter & the Scots snow depths widely reported between 20cm to 40+ there pictures are immense in there.

    Not all of us in Scotland have snow...here in Ayrshire I have zero.

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    Posted
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Proper winter/Proper summer
  • Location: County Londonderry 36m ASL
    9 minutes ago, SnowJon said:

    That is at complete odds with their forecast text for NI for the weekend! It doesn't even mention hill snow 🤔:
     

     

    If you watch the video Ronan posted above you can see why forecasting this week end is a nightmare. A difference of 100 or so miles east or west has a massive bearing on what we get at ground level. It could stay all snow which fizzles out - best case scenario or it could be 10 degrees and soaking - worst case scenario - and everything in between.

    Edited by Northwest NI
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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
  • Location: Bangor, Co. Down
    2 minutes ago, Northwest NI said:

    If you watch the video Ronan posted above you can see why forecasting this week end is a nightmare. A difference of 100 or so miles east or west has a massive bearing on what we get at ground level. It could stay all snow which fizzles out - best case scenario or it could be 10 degrees and soaking - worst case scenario - and everything in between.

    I know! That's why I was so surprised with the rain forecast for Saturday and no mention of the snow possibility ! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwest Donegal
  • Location: Northwest Donegal
    11 hours ago, ronan said:

    North Donegal really doing well since early yesterday with Streamers and still going. 

    Screenshot_20210209_234652_com.netweather.snowradar.jpg

    Unfortunately they are not making it as far west as my location in Donegal, which would be on the coast a bit west of the streamers in the attached image.

    We had a rare dumping of snow in 2018 from streamers coming from the east. This was ahead of the main event in the rest of the country.

    Even the optimistic model runs look like the snow will have petered out before reaching here, and there's a mountain range for it to cross before getting here. 😒

    Still, fingers crossed for a bit of snow, even if it's short lived.

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