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Ireland Regional Weather Discussion Jan 2021 Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    16 minutes ago, Cavehill Snow said:

    Weather app - wind shifting slighy north of east. Showers moving into S Scotland & N England from North Sea, managing to stay intact whilst progressing towards west coasts. Perhaps a small chance for E Antrim & E Down to get something out of this

    That's a big ask. Don't think I've ever seen it to be honest.

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    Right, tomorrow is planned. We're rising early, and if the snow (as expected) hasn't given us enough to play in (my lads are snow starved) then we're heading to higher climates and we're building a sn

    I’m disappointed with the snow here today but not as disappointed as my wife will be tomorrow with her valentines present 😬

    Just tested the cat out in his new backpack. Ground control to major tomcat. 😅  

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    Posted
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.
  • Location: Santry, Dublin, Ireland. 50 metres ASL.

    Very light intermittent grapple showers here. Dusting on the car but not sticking on the pats or road yet. Needs more intensity and a drop in temps. It 1.9 degrees with a dew point of -0.7

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    John Holmes on model thread has posted one of his NOAA anomoly charts - it shows cut-off high between N Scotland & SW Norway which could facilitate undercutting - John advises with his normal caution to wait a few days to ensure pattern persists. Backs up potentially ECM & GPS good runs tonight over UKMO run as per Mountain Shadow post earlier.

    Radar app - showers dying out for a time down the east coast (S Down & Leinster) and perhaps pepping up again later in night. Some showers look like making it across Scottish central belt out into Atlantic, so some showers could make it onto north coast. Showers in SW Scotland probaby will dissipate so dry N Down & E Antrim coasts. A few isolated showers of southern Irish coast, mix of rain (west) and snow (east).

    Edited by Cavehill Snow
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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL

    GFS 18z firms up on the Atlantic undercutting and has three decent snow events across Ireland from Thursday through to Tuesday.

    Still not convinced anything reaches the North East of the island but Central areas may do very well indeed.

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    11 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    GFS 18z firms up on the Atlantic undercutting and has three decent snow events across Ireland from Thursday through to Tuesday.

    Still not convinced anything reaches the North East of the island but Central areas may do very well indeed.

    That is good news. At least it doesn't look like mild breaks through other than for a day or so towards the SW.

    ECM 46 dayer seems to show similar pressure pattern to what we currently have. Cold temp anomolies for GB but neutral for us over here.

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry

    Screenshot_20210208_223648.thumb.jpg.9ad47ecd76cb8e4a4507f2044bdec0c9.jpgScreenshot_20210208_223710.thumb.jpg.3b0f42842a360dac1fd201d52dba905b.jpgScreenshot_20210208_223805.thumb.jpg.2b63353081be43b1e617350bcdce9be7.jpg

     

    Imagine everything fell in to place and we got 3 decent snowfalls over 5 days. We are long overdue a wee treat. Good to see the GFS sticking to its guns and has done the past 4 or 5 days. 

    Edited by ronan
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    Posted
  • Location: limavady N.I 23m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy
  • Location: limavady N.I 23m ASL

    We got a shower earlier of graupel that has left the lightest of dusting 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Kilkenny, Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow? Thunder
  • Location: South Kilkenny, Ireland

    Heavy graupel shower here has left everything white...first heavy shower today after just flurries since this morning..  hopefully get some heavier snowy stuff overnight and in morning but good start 

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Ballintoy (North Antrim) 110m asl
  • Location: Near Ballintoy (North Antrim) 110m asl

    Looks like Malin in Donegal is getting heaviest precipitation tonight so far!

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    Xcweather.co.uk enter your location and it gives the latest gfs run forecast for you location. Its an amazing run for here. Pretty much a 48 hour blizzard at the weekend. Pretty much sub zero for majority and last 4 days at freezing throughout. Yes please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Kildare, Ireland. 76m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Warm Summer. Snowy Winter.
  • Location: Kildare, Ireland. 76m asl

    Met Eireann woman on RTE said Thursday snow could be widespread and that cold could still be around the weekend giving further risk of snow for Eastern and Northern areas. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Meath coast, 12m asl
  • Location: Meath coast, 12m asl

    Although under red on the radar since noon, up to midnight 1km from the coast we have only had graupel. In the last 30 mins, finally beginnings of some accumulation.

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL

    Disaster of overnight runs. Ukmo rules supreme with a quick breakdown.

    Still some snow as the Atlantic pushes in but then milder returns.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: whatever the weather, I'll be watching.
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland
    9 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    Disaster of overnight runs. Ukmo rules supreme with a quick breakdown.

    Still some snow as the Atlantic pushes in but then milder returns.

    That's the height of it. Meto was waiting on firming up and has amended their forecasts accordingly now. Any snow seen from the initial band will barely reach here in the NE and it looks like showers (of which I have had practically zilch) will begin receding through the day as winds swing more NE. Total bust for here. Never again will I be optimistic for an Easterly. Northerly all the way.

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    Posted
  • Location: Omagh
  • Location: Omagh

    Best enjoy the lovely dry crisp next couple of days as it looks like normal service resumed from Saturday for the foreseeable then.!

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    23 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

    Disaster of overnight runs. Ukmo rules supreme with a quick breakdown.

    Still some snow as the Atlantic pushes in but then milder returns.

    Just when my pessimism was going after last night's runs. A kick between the legs this morning. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry

    So close but so far. Looking at this line of snow from my kitchen window. I see parts of North Donegal like Ballyliffen and Culdaff has had quite a bit of snow through the night. I really really really hate Easterly setups 😂

    Screenshot_20210209_080553.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    4 minutes ago, ronan said:

    So close but so far. Looking at this line of snow from my kitchen window. I see parts of North Donegal like Ballyliffen and Culdaff has had quite a bit of snow through the night. I really really really hate Easterly setups 😂

    Screenshot_20210209_080553.jpg

    I have a similar view to the South. 

    Very disappointed. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
    34 minutes ago, The Weather Watcher said:

    That's the height of it. Meto was waiting on firming up and has amended their forecasts accordingly now. Any snow seen from the initial band will barely reach here in the NE and it looks like showers (of which I have had practically zilch) will begin receding through the day as winds swing more NE. Total bust for here. Never again will I be optimistic for an Easterly. Northerly all the way.

    The Northerlies have been crap this Winter too though.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland
  • Weather Preferences: whatever the weather, I'll be watching.
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland
    Just now, mountain shadow said:

    The Northerlies have been crap this Winter too though.

     

    Only because they haven't been potent enough, there has never been a good cold pool to the North this winter. Plus I think sea temperatures are a little above average this winter.

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    I can't even remember if that spell a couple of weeks ago was a Northerly or NWly, think it was a NWly. Friday evening to Tuesday afternoon had snow lying from it.

    There certainly wasn't a proper northerly tho, this easterly brought -10 uppers, would be nice if we could get that from the North.

     

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    5 minutes ago, The Weather Watcher said:

    Only because they haven't been potent enough, there has never been a good cold pool to the North this winter. Plus I think sea temperatures are a little above average this winter.

    I think we would be closer to freezing daytime if we had managed to get some snow on the ground. Central belt of Scotland has an amber warning until 11pm tonight after getting heavy falls overnight. East Ulster coasts require winds a little south of east to get decent snowfall in sunshine & showers set ups. 

    Very disappointing overnight model runs, though i'll give it until tonight's runs before folding the cards. It looked last night like momentum was moving towards cold. How those models flip / flap so much - so much wasted time following the threads for weeks if we are to get nothing of substance.

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    Posted
  • Location: Co.Tyrone
  • Location: Co.Tyrone
    23 minutes ago, Cavehill Snow said:

    I think we would be closer to freezing daytime if we had managed to get some snow on the ground. Central belt of Scotland has an amber warning until 11pm tonight after getting heavy falls overnight. East Ulster coasts require winds a little south of east to get decent snowfall in sunshine & showers set ups. 

    Very disappointing overnight model runs, though i'll give it until tonight's runs before folding the cards. It looked last night like momentum was moving towards cold. How those models flip / flap so much - so much wasted time following the threads for weeks if we are to get nothing of substance.

    Ack it is a side distraction really, anyway as March fast approaches my thoughts turn more to spring and summer👍

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    Posted
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl

    I'm actually loving this dry, cold weather. The mud from last week has dried up well and the ground is froze hard. Overnight low of -2.5c and currently -1.9c. 

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