Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards

[LomondSnowstorm]

19 minutes ago, lorenzo said:

It's a good watch LS in terms of the what happens next with the Scandi. evolution. Looking at the EC from last night's 12z that idea gaining some ground in comparison on the 12z, you can see the difference across the Atlantic UKMO dissipating with the GFS energetic as per usual.

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There's a couple of sticking points to this developing, the low over Svalbard (which only really appears at D4 or so so could be overcome I'd imagine) and the height rise over Iberia, but certainly wouldn't take much to trend in that direction. I remember at the beginning of this spell we saw the heights over Svalbard slowly clear run by run to allow the block to develop.

The GFS also comes pretty close to keeping the easterly flow going actually:

Edited February 5, 2021 by LomondSnowstorm

[Ravelin]

Finally back down to -0.1/-0.4C with the almost constantly falling snow this afternoon finally trying to stick on the cleared areas again. If the forecast is right then that should be the last time we get above zero here until near the end of next week.

 

[Quinach]

7 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

The Met Office pride themselves with being consistently ranked within the top two operational weather services in the world. How the mighty have fallen.....

Perhaps a cunning insider plan to prevent them being privatised to help pay for the pandemic  

Light granular ice falling just now, temperature hovering around 0.9c.  Not sticking on hard surfaces but starting to accumulate on the grass.

[jon_d1983]

9 minutes ago, Sceptical said:

The Met Office pride themselves with being consistently ranked within the top two operational weather services in the world. How the mighty have fallen.....

Personally I think the Norwegian service is the best for our climate. Their app is consistently on the money to the hour as well.

[Ross B]

7 minutes ago, Cheggers said:

At least you have sleet lol

There has been over 70mm of sleet here over the last few days, you are welcome to my future allocation 

Edited February 5, 2021 by Ross B

[Halfamilefromnowhere]

Quote

Temperatures dropping away now down to 0.6c with occasional bursts of snow swirling around on the strong NE bone chiller.  Least given me a chance to dig out the drives before it freezing solid.

 

[101_North]

8 minutes ago, Puffy MacCloud said:

Right, get a Japanese style humpy wudden bridge and a water colour set - you'll make a fortune in reprints and tourist visits. Or at least it worked for auld Claude.

[LomondSnowstorm]

1 minute ago, jon_d1983 said:

Personally I think the Norwegian service is the best for our climate. Their app is consistently on the money to the hour as well.

They have their moments but I have to say the UKV, which is a pretty incredible model as far as resolution goes, has had a couple of bad misses this winter. I think if there's broad alignment on the details then it's very good, but of course when you get such volatility with details resolution doesn't make up for having the low in completely the wrong place, for example.

[Puffy MacCloud]

3 minutes ago, 101_North said:

Erm, naw. Nuffin like that.

Actually, with further thought, @Blitzen could go the Disney route and put a big mechanical feature, like, say, a snow blower, in the middle of the lake and blast water at anyone trying to cross the bridge. I'd pay to see that.

[lorenzo]

Let's get Bob Ross - Bob Rossing some of the real Bob Ross stuff...

 

[Sanserit]

17 minutes ago, Quinach said:

The ice/snow sculpture in Insch is a interesting one, not that I would dare show it here!

Rain has now turned to snow here but not lying and temperature remains stubbornly in range 1.7 to 1.9c.

I did spot that one, someone's got a sense of humour in the snow art dept

[Penicuikblizzard]

I’m confused I’ve just been onto the mad, I mean model thread and came right back out it again apparently there has been a massive downgrade,,,,surely Mon/Tue is still looking good for us up here I’ve not had a chance to look at charts on there as it’s too concentrated on the south east of England  

[Northern Strath]

Snowed wee flakes for hours in to last night accumulating a few cms more, by morning it was 1.5c and drip, drip

In today’s MO warning hokey cokey, they put us back in Amber. Within that warning, our local forecast is showing no snow symbols until late Sunday (after the warning) but within the next ‘Yellow’ warning....Aye so it’s been snowing heavily for the last 2 hours.... Met Office, I’m full, I couldn’t take another wafer thin mint of your nonsense banter 

[blitzen]

13 minutes ago, Puffy MacCloud said:

Erm, naw. Nuffin like that.

Actually, with further thought, @Blitzen could go the Disney route and put a big mechanical feature, like, say, a snow blower, in the middle of the lake and blast water at anyone trying to cross the bridge. I'd pay to see that.

Would you really?  That there was a double hit my friend!!   See they sherps that you returned to the hospital the day?   Well, I hope that wan accidentaly fell oot and you find it when you sit doon on yer most comfortable chair!

[LomondSnowstorm]

2 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

I’m confused I’ve just been onto the mad, I mean model thread and came right back out it again apparently there has been a massive downgrade,,,,surely Mon/Tue is still looking good for us up here I’ve not had a chance to look at charts on there as it’s too concentrated on the south east of England  

I'm assuming it's relating to their snowfall on Sunday - it does look like the northern/western extent of it has been scaled back a wee bit, which is indirectly a bit worse for us as far as the strength of the flow goes if the low just ends up being much further south, but if it's just that the band doesn't reach London but instead pivots a little further east it makes really no difference to us at all.

[Hairy Celt]

Frkn bitter east wind making outdoor chores painful for the nth day in a row.  Light rain started and although I can't be sure cos it's blowing around so much, it appears to be going a bit sleety. Kind of looking forward to a cover of snow so I have an excuse not to stand in the yard splitting wood! 

Inconsequential streamers heading for Caithness / south Sutherland now. I wonder if they'll make landfall...

Edited February 5, 2021 by Hairy Celt

[JoeShmoe]

3 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

I’m confused I’ve just been onto the mad, I mean model thread and came right back out it again apparently there has been a massive downgrade,,,,surely Mon/Tue is still looking good for us up here I’ve not had a chance to look at charts on there as it’s too concentrated on the south east of England  

Yes as it’s not a 40 day freeze they think it’s a downgrade ... these cold spells are never that long and a 3 day easterly with the possibility of heavy snow showers - I’d take that any year 

what doesn’t look appetising here is the cold rain we’d get at the coast in any breakdown frontal event from the SW but higher areas could get a dumping from that .. 

I’ll just enjoy the next few days -as 101 says I’ll be happy to see some sun and blue sky as it’s been dreich since Monday !

[Sanserit]

1 hour ago, Wee County Exile said:

 

Good sign for more lowland Aberdeenshire as the night progresses

There's maybe hope for Bunkry yet then 

[Puffy MacCloud]

2 minutes ago, Blitzen said:

Would you really?  That there was a double hit my friend!!   See they sherps that you returned to the hospital the day?   Well, I hope that wan accidentaly fell oot and you find it when you sit doon on yer most comfortable chair!

Ah, so it was you that shopped me. It was Crosshouse Hospital that I attended and when I swung into the car park there, on my mobile and swigging ginger wine, obvs, I nearly ran into a swarm of polis and a herd of tv crews!  Inconvenient to say the least. Sounds like a tragic series of events though.

[shuggee]

15 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

I’m confused I’ve just been onto the mad, I mean model thread and came right back out it again apparently there has been a massive downgrade,,,,surely Mon/Tue is still looking good for us up here I’ve not had a chance to look at charts on there as it’s too concentrated on the south east of England  

Imdeed. -2C maxes for me all week apparently. And the Thursday evening breakdown is being pushed back and reduced in intensity with each run....

Cold miserable day here. Was 3.9C early this morning. Now 1.9C and the last bursts of ppn were wet-snow big flakes. 12-18 hours earlier than I was expecting.

[blitzen]

2 minutes ago, Puffy MacCloud said:

Ah, so it was you that shopped me. It was Crosshouse Hospital that I attended and when I swung into the car park there, on my mobile and swigging ginger wine, obvs, I nearly ran into a swarm of polis and a herd of tv crews!  Inconvenient to say the least. Sounds like a tragic series of events though.

Probably come up on the news?

[Dan B]

I'm in here having escaped the North West thread

 

My folks have property in Dunkeld and we were supposed to be heading that way tomorrow bright and early for a week; that's not happening  

 

So this is a polite request to those that live that way and Pitlochry/House Of Bruar way etc; get some pics up if you're lucky enough to have a good dumping  

 

This was Dalwhinne last Feb; I'm into stone lifting, so always try and get a few of the Manhood stones in whilst we're up there. This is the Dalwhinnie Stone; 102kg and like a block of slippery marble; dug it out myself to lift it

 

 

I have issues; I know 

[Northernlights]

As Hairy Celt absolutely perishing day with sleet off and on all day with a maximum temperature of 3c in  a strong  E wind. Cows just went to neeps for an hour and then came home even to cold and wet for them.      20 minutes after coming home they were lying down on fresh straw chewing the cud looking out on the bad weather with a smile on their faces.

Lorry turned up for waste plastic in the late afternoon so had to fill the latest pile into a bag as we had run out of them.Cold wet plastic is not much fun to handle but at least the yard looks tidy. 

Now turning back to snow at 1.5c and starting to settle.

Edited February 5, 2021 by Northernlights

[Penicuikblizzard]

17 minutes ago, LomondSnowstorm said:

I'm assuming it's relating to their snowfall on Sunday - it does look like the northern/western extent of it has been scaled back a wee bit, which is indirectly a bit worse for us as far as the strength of the flow goes if the low just ends up being much further south, but if it's just that the band doesn't reach London but instead pivots a little further east it makes really no difference to us at all.

Absolutely it could all change again in the morning and trend north again. 

[Glaswegianblizzard]

@Dan B you don’t want to drop that on your foot! 

Edited February 5, 2021 by Glaswegianblizzard