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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: HARROW WEALD NORTH WEST LONDON
  • Location: HARROW WEALD NORTH WEST LONDON

    More interested in 

    Mon - Fri 

    Snow chances 

    FI can wait

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    New crimbo present showing up my outdated & over temp sensor !!! Plus finally I get a dewpoint reading Still calibrating !

    Unfortunately GC the only white falling from the sky here has been from the A*se of a seagull!🐦

    Evening all, Still more ridiculous impatient hysteria, on the Model Thread, with the usual knee-jerk reactions by some Members, at the 12z Model Runs. Have to admit myself, when I stated tha

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    Posted
  • Location: Sompting, west sussex 10 miles west from brighton
  • Location: Sompting, west sussex 10 miles west from brighton

    I am actually not looking forward to tonight’s runs, have a feeling snow chances will disappear and gfs will move towards ecm and ukm really hope I’m wrong 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
    1 minute ago, Lampostwatcher said:

    More interested in 

    Mon - Fri 

    Snow chances 

    FI can wait

    Yep, still feel we could see a few surprises in this easterly. Even more so overnight when DPs etc become more favourable. Then hopefully GFS is correct for the end of the week and brings us all a dumping without anyone missing out!

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Feb 2018 Easterly
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    It will be utter carnage in mod thread from 3.00pm today..06z is on its own, but is refusing to UK, Ec way, proper nail biting later. I think dry January has also left the building.. Oh my if the GFS gets this right. Satellite images of the green UK will be pure white..

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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk

    Already some fairly beefy looking showers off the coast of EA and into Kent, so if things did fall right over the coming days. You'd expect some fairly heavy snow showers and even better streamers to set up!

     

    IMG_20210103_104437.jpg

    Edited by NewEra21
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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    Looking at this as an outline, Easternly Fed Cold Air will most likely bring Snow and Sleet and is looking very standstill bringing many Days Chance Of Snow before Possibly A More Northernly Turn But This could change. 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk

    Anyone up for a snowy weekend? To be taken with a pinch of salt!! But looks nice!

     

    gfs-16-138.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
    25 minutes ago, NewEra21 said:

    BBC finally giving something other than rain symbols, although today looks too mild even for sleet. So they're probably still wrong 😂

     

     

    Happy to report rain intermixed with the odd snow flake!

    South of Canterbury

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.

    Just made the mistake of trawling through the MAD thread...

    GFS on its own”

    “Winter over”

    ”Relying on SSW”

    ”Return to Zonal soon”

    ”Make the most of any sleet this week”

    Toys all over the place 🧸 🧸

    Anyone got any Prozac? 😢🤕

    Edited by Southender
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    Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorm.
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.

    The cut off Easternly Airflow  is eventually replaced by An Arctic Northernly which is going further South than Normal and we'll be getting around the same amount of Snow Days that The Midlands Were But This Could All Change

    gensnh-0-1-66.png

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    gensnh-0-1-180 (1).png

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

    Yep! nothing changes in the mod thread...New Year same old same there. With the PV so quiet for the last few weeks it's bound to wake up at some time (that's if the Euro's are correct), what happens later on is another matter but I wouldn't hang my hat on a SSW to bring in actual noteworthy cold.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    3 minutes ago, Southender said:

    Just made the mistake of trawling through the MAD thread...

    GFS on its own”

    “Winter over”

    ”Relying on SSW”

    ”Return to Zonal soon”

    ”Make the most of any sleet this week”

    Anyone got any Prozac? 😢🤕

    Nailed it - In 6 lines mazing lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
    Just now, Paul Sherman said:

    Nailed it - In 6 lines mazing lol

    Haha. Christ this can be a super depressing hobby can’t it. Has to be said though, it has gone a little Pete Tong hasn’t it. GFS v EC & UKMO...Let’s see if we can squeeze a light dusting Tues into Wednesday and worry about the aftermath later I suppose.

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    Posted
  • Location: Headcorn
  • Location: Headcorn

    I really am not getting my hopes up at all this morning we are putting our eggs all into one basket and with that basket being the gfs vs ecm and ukmo I don’t fancy my chances, I am fully expecting to see a gfs downgrade today/tonight for my area for Monday and Tuesday, on a slight brighter note there is still plenty of time for the other models to fall in line regarding next weekend 😊

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    Posted
  • Location: TW13
  • Weather Preferences: Cold
  • Location: TW13

    Temps looking a bit to high to my untrained eye over the coming days, possibly a window of opportunity Tuesday evening but pretty slim pickings. Might be mid Jan before any real opportunity arrives for us in the SE but I thought that 2 weeks ago for the beginning of Jan based on the charts back then, So who knows.....

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Snow more a posibillty after the gfs 06 run, upto end of week, might even see the BBC forecasters mention Snow in the forecast for our region soon, can you believe it! 

    Also watch the met update the text forecasts in the next 24 hours in regard to snow. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Headcorn
  • Location: Headcorn
    3 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

    Snow more a posibillty after the gfs 06 run, upto end of week, might even see the BBC forecasters mention Snow in the forecast for our region soon, can you believe it! 

    Also watch the met update the text forecasts in the next 24 hours in regard to snow. 

    They do constantly mention the chance of snow hazards in there long term forecast but how many times have we seen the gfs out on its own to then change closer to the time ? To many times for my liking but I hope you are right !

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    Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent - 61m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent - 61m ASL

    Just been out for my daily stroll - bit of sleety, freezing precipitation in the air down here in Folky.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers
  • Location: Hadleigh, Suffolk
    39 minutes ago, Darren Finnis said:

    Covering off the white stuff near Whitfield, Dover. Caught a few drivers out, looked graupel. 

    Welcome to the forum Darren. Apologies there was a delay approving your first post.

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    Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

    Lol hope so, its been a great feature in the rare time we get snow here 

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.

    Plenty of showers have passed through this end of the Estuary this morning, shame it’s not of the white sort. But, it’s showing convection isn’t the problem I suppose. Just need to get the parameters aligned. Still not convinced personally but let’s hope as we move in towards Tue/Weds we are the right side of marginal.

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