South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards

[Jackski4]

Just now, simonhall6 said:

Your probably right  that they use old graphics,  but are the updated ECM charts that they use any better than the previous run ? 

Slightly colder according to Mr Murr... GFS still has a snowy streamer setting up Monday evening and lasting into Wednesday so I wouldn’t say hope is all lost. I know ECM is regarded the most accurate model but not like it’s never been wrong before !

[Kentspur]

Lampost watching on my night shift outside at Dartford BBC shows sleet for several hours not sure but we will see 

[bumpydogz]

9 minutes ago, jamesgold said:

There have been many more showers here today than models expected, the dew points have been lower than expected in some places at least, the BBC hasn’t covered itself in glory lately, let’s not all give up just yet 

Regarding any snow prospects for the SE, the BBC & Metoffice short range forecasts have been pretty spot on for a few days. Some people on this forum just seem to see what they want to see.

[North Downs Snowboarder]

As you can see from the below, the Met Office is predicting rain to snow for my location in NW Kent Monday night through to Tuesday morning and a high of 3˚c all week. I won't be too thrilled if it's only cold rain by Saturday!

[Mac_SE]

4 minutes ago, bumpydogz said:

Regarding any snow prospects for the SE, the BBC & Metoffice short range forecasts have been pretty spot on for a few days. Some people on this forum just seem to see what they want to see.

From the past decade of model watching, have to agree with their output. Would love to be wrong, but time and again it's proved right.

[Eagle Eye]

Sort of Cycle goes down for a few hours but comes back up. 

That Low Near Iceland And Scotland Brushes Our East Bringing Scottish Air Towards Us

Lovely Jubbly

[PLANET THANET]

met office predictions for ramsgate for this week have us  with heavy rain for monday/ rain for tuesday and then becoming a little brighter with temps at the end of the week at 6c   not good and hope things change, we are in a snow famine along with most of the south east/east kent

[Badgers01]

1 hour ago, Tim Bland said:

ECM had nothing but rain min / Tues perhaps sleet highest hills or far north of the region ...Let’s hope it’s wrong  

Looks like a backward step with the uppers - marginal to the end

[SMU]

13 minutes ago, North Downs Snowboarder said:

As you can see from the below, the Met Office is predicting rain to snow for my location in NW Kent Monday night through to Tuesday morning and a high of 3˚c all week. I won't be too thrilled if it's only cold rain by Saturday!

Where are in relation to the golf club - just ip the road! - although the golf club is about 160M

[bluebell]

Hailing here now, aka ‘noisy snow’!  S

 

[Paul Sherman]

Yes a thouroughly miserable run from todays 12z ECM even backing down further on any hint of snow for the SE and all the way out to Day 10 not a grain of snow in sight. In fact tomorrow if your South and East of the Capital it looks a rough day with rain from 04z tomorrow morning for possibly 12 hours just imagine if this was an area of Snow. 

End of the week looks like drying out from the North with temps around 6-7c by Friday

Meh

[jright35]

Relax the GFS 18z will be out later to cheer us all up again

[Paul Sherman]

Lets hope the end of Jan and start of Feb is the next point of Interest for us in the South East and the weather gods balance out the goodies meaning the rest of the Uk can salivate at us getting the snow, key areas to watch over the next 2 weeks is an area from Germany Northwards to see if Northern Europe can cool down for the next easterly shot

[Eagle Eye]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yes a thouroughly miserable run from todays 12z ECM even backing down further on any hint of snow for the SE and all the way out to Day 10 not a grain of snow in sight. In fact tomorrow if your South and East of the Capital it looks a rough day with rain from 04z tomorrow morning for possibly 12 hours just imagine if this was an area of Snow. 

End of the week looks like drying out from the North with temps around 6-7c by Friday

Meh

They breathed a Sigh of Relief They knew it was over there was nothing They could do. 

ECM put a Tick on Thier List, They Sat Down not doing much, there was nothing on telly anymore. 

[North Downs Snowboarder]

3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Where are in relation to the golf club - just ip the road! - although the golf club is about 160M

I go with the London Golf Club forecast, rather than Hartley because it's more indicative of what's going to happen near or on the tops of the Downs - it can snow and settle in New Ash Green, be patchy cover in Hartley, non-existent in Longfield, and bone dry by the time you get to Dartford or Gravesend if you're travelling towards the estuary. Apologies this is very parochial but every mile counts!

[SMU]

No worries - Im 2 miles from the golf club - 100M from the fire station...

[m1chaels]

Harmonie 12z gives lying snow  on the South Downs.....

 

weather model knmi - harmonie-arome model - england - snow accu. [base + 48] [base= 03-01-2021 12 utc]| weatheronline

WWW.WEATHERONLINE.CO.UK

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Weather for UK, Ireland and the world. Sailing, Marine Weather, Weather maps, radar, satellite, climate, historic weather data, information about meteorology, reports, weather warning.

 

[John Stevens]

@Steve Murr what’s the model of weather station you’ve got? I’m looking at getting my dad a new one for his birthday...

Cheers,

 

 John 

[Paul Sherman]

7 minutes ago, m1chaels said:

Harmonie 12z gives lying snow  on the South Downs.....

 

weather model knmi - harmonie-arome model - england - snow accu. [base + 48] [base= 03-01-2021 12 utc]| weatheronline

WWW.WEATHERONLINE.CO.UK

---

Weather for UK, Ireland and the world. Sailing, Marine Weather, Weather maps, radar, satellite, climate, historic weather data, information about meteorology, reports, weather warning.

 

1st bit of good news for the first half of this week, Euro 4 has an accumulation in the same area.

South Downs could be the place to be

[MAF]

so, just to summarise:-

1. it's winter.
2. its cold 
3. it isn't looking snowy for the foreseeable.
4. my gas bill will be higher than the last few years.
5. it's going to continue been winter until spring arrives. 

i think thats probably more factual than any model will ever be  

[Methuselah]

5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

1st bit of good news for the first half of this week, Euro 4 has an accumulation in the same area.

South Downs could be the place to be

Anything for the East Anglian Alps, Paul?

[SMU]

11 minutes ago, John Stevens said:

@Steve Murr what’s the model of weather station you’ve got? I’m looking at getting my dad a new one for his birthday...

Cheers,

 

 John 

here we go

Ventus Weather Station, WiFi Internet & Colour Forecast (W830)

WEATHERSPARES.CO.UK

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The Ventus W830 weather station allows you to monitor your weather remotely as it uploads data to Weather Underground, Weather Cloud and also the UK MetOffice WoW service. Ventus has...

 

[Guest]

5 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

Anything for the East Anglian Alps, Paul?

Unfortunately GC the only white falling from the sky here has been from the A*se of a seagull!

[Jackski4]

1 minute ago, Snowmut said:

Unfortunately GC the only white falling from the sky here has been from the A*se of a seagull!

Did it settle though?

[Tim Bland]

1 hour ago, simonhall6 said:

Your probably right  that they use old graphics,  but are the updated ECM charts that they use any better than the previous run ? 

Nope. Latest ECM has downgraded the uppers to -4 for most of the south if the region Mon / Tues. Old graphics would have been better lol.  we need -6 at least as the air temp/ DP is marginal. It could revert back tomorrow but for now it’s looking like rain / sleet with any snow reserved fir highest ground or lower areas if there is some really heavy bursts