South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards

[Lampostwatcher]

More interested in 

Mon - Fri 

Snow chances 

FI can wait

[clark3r]

I am actually not looking forward to tonight’s runs, have a feeling snow chances will disappear and gfs will move towards ecm and ukm really hope I’m wrong 

[NewEra21]

1 minute ago, Lampostwatcher said:

More interested in 

Mon - Fri 

Snow chances 

FI can wait

Yep, still feel we could see a few surprises in this easterly. Even more so overnight when DPs etc become more favourable. Then hopefully GFS is correct for the end of the week and brings us all a dumping without anyone missing out!

[Jason T]

It will be utter carnage in mod thread from 3.00pm today..06z is on its own, but is refusing to UK, Ec way, proper nail biting later. I think dry January has also left the building.. Oh my if the GFS gets this right. Satellite images of the green UK will be pure white..

[NewEra21]

Already some fairly beefy looking showers off the coast of EA and into Kent, so if things did fall right over the coming days. You'd expect some fairly heavy snow showers and even better streamers to set up!

 

Edited January 3, 2021 by NewEra21

[Eagle Eye]

Looking at this as an outline, Easternly Fed Cold Air will most likely bring Snow and Sleet and is looking very standstill bringing many Days Chance Of Snow before Possibly A More Northernly Turn But This could change. 

 

[NewEra21]

Anyone up for a snowy weekend? To be taken with a pinch of salt!! But looks nice!

 

[Neilsouth]

25 minutes ago, NewEra21 said:

BBC finally giving something other than rain symbols, although today looks too mild even for sleet. So they're probably still wrong

 

 

Happy to report rain intermixed with the odd snow flake!

South of Canterbury

[Darren Finnis]

Covering off the white stuff near Whitfield, Dover. Caught a few drivers out, looked graupel. 

[Southender]

Just made the mistake of trawling through the MAD thread...

”GFS on its own”

“Winter over”

”Relying on SSW”

”Return to Zonal soon”

”Make the most of any sleet this week”

Toys all over the place

Anyone got any Prozac?

Edited January 3, 2021 by Southender

[Eagle Eye]

The cut off Easternly Airflow  is eventually replaced by An Arctic Northernly which is going further South than Normal and we'll be getting around the same amount of Snow Days that The Midlands Were But This Could All Change

[Froze were the Days]

Yep! nothing changes in the mod thread...New Year same old same there. With the PV so quiet for the last few weeks it's bound to wake up at some time (that's if the Euro's are correct), what happens later on is another matter but I wouldn't hang my hat on a SSW to bring in actual noteworthy cold.

[Paul Sherman]

3 minutes ago, Southender said:

Just made the mistake of trawling through the MAD thread...

”GFS on its own”

“Winter over”

”Relying on SSW”

”Return to Zonal soon”

”Make the most of any sleet this week”

Anyone got any Prozac?

Nailed it - In 6 lines mazing lol

[Southender]

Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Nailed it - In 6 lines mazing lol

Haha. Christ this can be a super depressing hobby can’t it. Has to be said though, it has gone a little Pete Tong hasn’t it. GFS v EC & UKMO...Let’s see if we can squeeze a light dusting Tues into Wednesday and worry about the aftermath later I suppose.

[BLS]

I really am not getting my hopes up at all this morning we are putting our eggs all into one basket and with that basket being the gfs vs ecm and ukmo I don’t fancy my chances, I am fully expecting to see a gfs downgrade today/tonight for my area for Monday and Tuesday, on a slight brighter note there is still plenty of time for the other models to fall in line regarding next weekend

[Easily sled]

Temps looking a bit to high to my untrained eye over the coming days, possibly a window of opportunity Tuesday evening but pretty slim pickings. Might be mid Jan before any real opportunity arrives for us in the SE but I thought that 2 weeks ago for the beginning of Jan based on the charts back then, So who knows.....

[SLEETY]

Snow more a posibillty after the gfs 06 run, upto end of week, might even see the BBC forecasters mention Snow in the forecast for our region soon, can you believe it! 

Also watch the met update the text forecasts in the next 24 hours in regard to snow. 

[BLS]

3 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Snow more a posibillty after the gfs 06 run, upto end of week, might even see the BBC forecasters mention Snow in the forecast for our region soon, can you believe it! 

Also watch the met update the text forecasts in the next 24 hours in regard to snow. 

They do constantly mention the chance of snow hazards in there long term forecast but how many times have we seen the gfs out on its own to then change closer to the time ? To many times for my liking but I hope you are right !

[Snowy Bob]

Just been out for my daily stroll - bit of sleety, freezing precipitation in the air down here in Folky.

[Blessed Weather]

39 minutes ago, Darren Finnis said:

Covering off the white stuff near Whitfield, Dover. Caught a few drivers out, looked graupel. 

Welcome to the forum Darren. Apologies there was a delay approving your first post.

[Daniel*]

Perhaps a good time for a new thread? @Blessed Weather

[Tom Quintavalle]

Morning all,

viewed last Night's G.F.S 18z Snow Fest run, from the comfort of my "pit."

Was expecting some similar charts, when I came downstairs this Morning but was left pretty underwhelmed, by what I viewed. Certainly a window of opportunity of a few Days, starting later Today.

Still favour the higher parts of Kent, and a mid-Kent Streamer, on the expected N.E. flow.

On a personal note, hearing Lassie23's sad news Yesterday Morning, reminded me that Today is an important Day, for my Family.

Had she still been alive, my wonderful Italian Mother would have been 97 Today.

Mum died in late July, 2004, as a result of a catastrophic Haemorrhagic Stroke.

Below, is an image of the last Family photo we had taken with Mum, on the occasion of her 80th Birthday. Little did we know that just short of 7 Months later, we'd lose her:

Mum, My Son Antony and Daughter Hayley, crouching next to him.

My ugly mug back row, with my 2 Sisters, to my right.

Scroll back some 74 Years, to April 1947:

 

Mum and Dad on their Wedding Day in Mum's home Town of Caserta (about 20 miles North of Naples).

Dad stayed in Caserta at the end of the War, to marry his Italian Fiancee.

During their Honeymoon on the Isle of Capri, along with 2 other married Couples, they were invited to spend an Afternoon sunbathing on the private beach, owned by Lancastrian Actress/Singer, Gracie Fields.

Mum said Ms Fields opened the front door of her Villa, with her hair in curlers.

Dad was part of the Allied Forces that liberated Mum's home Town, from Nazi occupation.

The irony is his Father (my Grandfather), was German.

Mum and Dad met, after he was taken out of the front line in Northern Italy, after being wounded in the shoulder.

After recovering, he continued his service in the Military Police, and was stationed at the Royal Palace of Caserta.

At the end of the 2nd World War, the Allies used the Palace as their Headquarters in Southern Italy.

One Day Dad was detailed to patrol, the local Bakery.

Local Youths were hassling the young Ladies that worked there, stealing produce and takings.

Dad and Mum soon started courting, heavily chaperoned by her Brothers (my Uncles).

Dad told Mum a huge "Porkie" to try and impress her, though.

He told her that his Family, owned a Milk Dairy.

Truth be told, before he was called up into the British Army he'd had a Milk Round on a local Housing Estate!! Lol.

Luisa Maria Quintavalle (1924 - 2004). Buon Compleanno (Happy Birthday) and Riposa In Pace, Mamma.

The twist of fate that brought them together, is like a script from the TV Series, Timeless.

Had that German bullet been a little to the left it would have killed him and further to the right, missed him altogether.

Both my Parents, died in Lewisham Hospital. Dad lived to the ripe old age of 95.

I had a more positive outcome, after spending 5 Weeks in Lewisham Hospital after suffering a Stroke in September 2015.

How did the 06z Run go?

I see plenty of Showers are starting to run into our Region, from the North Sea.

Regards,

Tom.   

[martycole]

Is it time to load up the old Dutch Radar page yet?    

Radar Netherlands

WWW.NOODWEERCENTRALE.NL

 

[SLEETY]

Lol hope so, its been a great feature in the rare time we get snow here 

[Southender]

Plenty of showers have passed through this end of the Estuary this morning, shame it’s not of the white sort. But, it’s showing convection isn’t the problem I suppose. Just need to get the parameters aligned. Still not convinced personally but let’s hope as we move in towards Tue/Weds we are the right side of marginal.