Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

[Polarwesterly]

9 minutes ago, Phil Blake said:

Longer sea track

I wonder if there’s some atmospheric aspect  too from changing elevations effecting weather patterns?

[garylaverick]

Alston already caked from the past few days, they'll need the snow blower in by midweek.

http://www.cybermoor.org/webcam/nenthead_00001.jpg

[Boro Snow]

Just watched the BBC forecast and on Sunday it showed no snow showers coming in off the north sea. Thats wrong surely

[Steady Easterly]

11 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Just watched the BBC forecast and on Sunday it showed no snow showers coming in off the north sea. Thats wrong surely

I wouldnt worry about bbc weather, its awful and more often than not highly innacurate,stick to the met office forecasts and warnings, i think there will be flash warnings from sunday, there will be lying snow down to sea level from saturday night/sunday onwards, quite likely a lot of it too. Exciting times.

[North East Blizzard]

Asked Marco about current warnings, says will be adjusted nearer the time. 

 

Also says disruptive snow on the way 

[Phil Blake]

Today's random check of the metoffice website for my location now has constant snow showers Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday with a max of 2c everyday. Still think temps being overplayed here and I think temps will struggle to get above freezing 

[Frosty the Snowman]

Looks like you'll be in for a treat back in the personal motherland, Covid delaying my eventual move back up looking even more frustrating right now.... 

 

Significant snowfall over the weekend looks a nail on for you guys. Enjoy it - and make sure you stop long enough to take a photo on your daily walks  

[Boro Snow]

2 minutes ago, Frosty the Snowman said:

Looks like you'll be in for a treat back in the personal motherland, Covid delaying my eventual move back up looking even more frustrating right now.... 

 

Significant snowfall over the weekend looks a nail on for you guys. Enjoy it - and make sure you stop long enough to take a photo on your daily walks  

I am sure plenty will make it over to you aswell

[Boro Snow]

5 minutes ago, Phil Blake said:

Today's random check of the metoffice website for my location now has constant snow showers Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday with a max of 2c everyday. Still think temps being overplayed here and I think temps will struggle to get above freezing 

And night time temps of -1c with snow on the ground you might expect it to be colder than that but I suppose the strength of the wind will be a factor 

[Frosty the Snowman]

Just now, Boro Snow said:

I am sure plenty will make it over to you aswell

 

I hope you're right.... I'm less convinced, but that's caused enough discussion in my own regional thread without coming in here and opening it. 

 

These kind of set ups are brilliant for you guys though, endless convective streams of showers quite possible for the North East and for inland parts of Cumbria. Remember lamp post watching a good few of these kind of Easterlies back up where I used to live. 

 

Although having just checked my old house on the met office and seen Saturday and Sunday forecast as rain and sleet I don't feel like I missing out as much 

[Phil Blake]

6 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

And night time temps of -1c with snow on the ground you might expect it to be colder than that but I suppose the strength of the wind will be a factor 

Strength of the wind will be a factor but even so, I'd probably guess night temps around -3 -4 and day temps -1 to +1. We will see. High res models will come into range soon for shower distribution

[Jarrow Posh]

45 minutes ago, Phil Blake said:

Today's random check of the metoffice website for my location now has constant snow showers Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday with a max of 2c everyday. Still think temps being overplayed here and I think temps will struggle to get above freezing 

To say I'm underwhelmed by the MO's 5 day forecast for my location would be an understatement!

[Snowmaggedon]

Like it’s been said earlier on pay no attention to the MO 5 day forecast until at least Saturday evening. 

Edited February 4, 2021 by Snowmaggedon

[NickR]

I can't recall all forecasts being quite this underwhelming only then to give way to a huge snowfest tbh. That's what concerns me.

[Snowmaggedon]

2 minutes ago, NickR said:

I can't recall all forecasts being quite this underwhelming only then to give way to a huge snowfest tbh. That's what concerns me.

You know as well as anyone though that predicting snowfall in this kind of set up is extremely difficult you can go by the MO 5 day forecast but that’s subject to change every hour. Personally not going to pay any attention to any forecast until the day itself.

[North East Blizzard]

8 minutes ago, NickR said:

I can't recall all forecasts being quite this underwhelming only then to give way to a huge snowfest tbh. That's what concerns me.

As i posted above, Marco from the Met is predicting disruptive snow. That warning is just a blanket warning for the whole east coast, he says these will be updated as we progress and theres more confidence in where streamers and the like will set up. 

Gfs starting to show this on the 12z.

 

Edited February 4, 2021 by North East Blizzard

[gazzac69]

12 GFS looking good, sat pm the -10 Isotherm quickly follows the -5C isotherm, so  the region is covered  in the -10c isotherm by evening that is when the fun and games should start happening - can't wait

 

Edited February 4, 2021 by gazzac69

[NickR]

15 minutes ago, North East Blizzard said:

As i posted above, Marco from the Met is predicting disruptive snow. That warning is just a blanket warning for the whole east coast, he says these will be updated as we progress and theres more confidence in where streamers and the like will set up. 

Gfs starting to show this on the 12z.

 

Teesside streamer at 120?

[North East Blizzard]

Just now, NickR said:

Teesside streamer at 120?

Looks like it possibly on the latest run, will chop and change I'd imagine as we move forward. 

Honestly i think we'll all see plenty of the white stuff in the next week

[Snowmaggedon]

15 minutes ago, gazzac69 said:

12 GFS looking good, sat pm the -10 Isotherm quickly follows the -5C isotherm, so  the region is covered  in the -10c isotherm by evening that is when the fun and games should start happening - can't wait

 

What do all the colours on the right hand side mean. Parts of the region are pink and others red. 

[gazzac69]

11 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

What do all the colours on the right hand side mean. Parts of the region are pink and others red. 

pink is 100% risk of snow, red 80% yellow less again, what is happening is the pink is spreading south which means the risk of snow is increasing through the weekend

here's sunday

Edited February 4, 2021 by gazzac69

[Polarwesterly]

There are no words for this next Wednesday 

[Polarwesterly]

Them Lp’s running along north med are nicely propping our easterly on Ukmo, good timing

[Phil Blake]

5 minutes ago, Polarwesterly said:

There are no words for this next Wednesday 

What is the record for an arctic high? 

[Phil Blake]

Just now, Polarwesterly said:

Them Lp’s running along north med are nicely propping our easterly on Ukmo, good timing

I see a the mad thread is descending into chaos with the gfs run lol.