Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

[seabreeze86]

GFS again giving some interest Saturday night 

[tynevalleysnow]

I’ve made the decision to stay with my parents in Hexham because I have a vital week at work next week so can’t afford to get stranded. When I left home this morning there was about 8 inches on the ground and it was snowing lightly.  

As for the extended forecast the METO seem confident the North Sea snow machine will keep on going for a while longer!

[tynevalleysnow]

3 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

GFS again giving some interest Saturday night 

Ties in with MetO forecast. Surely the GFS can’t be wrong at such a short timescale!

[NorthEastSnow]

I See the SE has an amber warning now. I wonder if us folks in the North East will at some point if the showers keep piling in. 

Either way it looks like a fun few days coming up from around 4pm tomorrow. 

[gazzac69]

T-25 (6pm sat) - 12 GFS model still looks good well into next week for us

[Gizzy]

17 minutes ago, NorthEastSnow said:

I See the SE has an amber warning now. I wonder if us folks in the North East will at some point if the showers keep piling in. 

Either way it looks like a fun few days coming up from around 4pm tomorrow. 

From what I heard of it NES is that the SE will be getting a persistent spell of heavy snow while we get showers. When that persistent spell moves away from the SE it fires things up more with the easterly for us with showers becoming more intensified and prolonged.

[NorthEastSnow]

19 minutes ago, Gizzy said:

From what I heard of it NES is that the SE will be getting a persistent spell of heavy snow while we get showers. When that persistent spell moves away from the SE it fires things up more with the easterly for us with showers becoming more intensified and prolonged.

 

This sounds good news then. Let them start the party off  BBC weather showing Monday looking very snowy with heavy more prolonged snow.

[Snowmaggedon]

30 minutes ago, Gizzy said:

From what I heard of it NES is that the SE will be getting a persistent spell of heavy snow while we get showers. When that persistent spell moves away from the SE it fires things up more with the easterly for us with showers becoming more intensified and prolonged.

 

Didn’t something happen before it could well have been in the last easterly when we wanted to front to move away from the South ASAP to aid convection/showers?

Edited February 5, 2021 by Snowmaggedon

[Polarwesterly]

Ukmo has 5 straight days of -9+ uppers just about. That’s amazing!

[Dahonis]

14 minutes ago, Polarwesterly said:

Ukmo has 5 straight days of -9+ uppers just about. That’s amazing!

I didn't see the minus sign at first you posted.......medic.....

[North East Blizzard]

UKV actually doesn't look too bad for convection on Sunday, better as we move forward

[Bridgeport Harrison]

This rain just wont stop.

[seabreeze86]

40 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

Didn’t something happen before it could well have been in the last easterly when we wanted to front to move away from the South ASAP to aid convection/showers?

Yeah it was in the last beast the storm can’t remember it’s name gave to much high cloud which killed of our convection. No such problems this time 

[rdt123]

Getting quite excited now in a child like way !

[Bridgeport Harrison]

6 minutes ago, rdt123 said:

Getting quite excited now in a child like way !

How many times have you warned people about the forecast ?

[gazzac69]

T-23 (6pm sat) - 12 ECM model extends the freeze to next Friday for us (once it starts at T-0)

Edited February 5, 2021 by gazzac69

[rdt123]

31 minutes ago, Bridgeport Harrison said:

How many times have you warned people about the forecast ?

I’ve tried to restrain myself as it usually spells the end ! I called the 2018 spell with family a week and a half out and was roundly dismissed - was quite smug 

[Cloud 10]

1 hour ago, Bridgeport Harrison said:

This rain just wont stop.

Ground conditions are abysmal around the area at the moment,absolutely saturated.

If only we could get some freezing temperatures and snow to cover it up.

[Dahonis]

Every field you look at looks like an ocean at the moment.

[doctor32]

How is ready for the 'mini beast'? 

Going to be an interesting week ahead

[Bridgeport Harrison]

Flooding is never really an issue in Stanley but I was at Washington today and the whole place is just saturated 

[Smoggieontour]

UKV shows a good rash of showers around the area already in the early hours of Sunday morning.

[MonkeyMag]

5 minutes ago, Smoggieontour said:

UKV shows a good rash of showers around the area already in the early hours of Sunday morning.

Must be underplaying convection as there’s not that many really in that 

[Mr McP]

Look North forecast said snow flurries for Sunday. Hoping for something a bit heavier than that!

[NickR]

I am getting a BIT concerned that so many forecasts are not predicting anything much for here. In 2018 and previous great years, I don't recall forecasts consistently and this close to the event forecasting so little.