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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: South Manchester 35m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, Snow, Winter, Summer storms after a 'heatwave'
  • Location: South Manchester 35m asl
    46 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

    Where can I find those ECM precipitation charts please? Can anyone help me? haha

    complete_model_modez_2021010112_24_4855_
    WEATHER.US

    ECMWF IFS HRES (10 days) - Current forecast valid for 01/02/2021, 06:00am of parameter "Precipitation, 1h", model chart for map "England"

    I like this, timing in CST though

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    Hello Guys & Girls, First of all I just want to say a huge thank you to all of you for all the messages of support and the PM's you sent me, you are an ok bunch aren't you! So, thank you.

    Hi Guys & Girls,  A short message from me while I still have the energy, my Mrs & I are both in our early 40's with asthma, we have made every effort to protect ourselves from from this e

    Shades of Feb 1996' for the NW with the current output - elevation, uppers and frontal / streamer alignment appear in the favour of many eastern areas (e.g. E Cumbria pummelled), but sizeable amounts

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

    I now have light snow symbols for tomorrow afternoon on the MetO app. 2-6pm 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Manchester 35m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, Snow, Winter, Summer storms after a 'heatwave'
  • Location: South Manchester 35m asl
    3 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

    I now have light snow symbols for tomorrow afternoon on the MetO app. 2-6pm 

    Wow, only 2-3pm for chorlton and none for Stretford, fine margins! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
    Just now, Dkeane3 said:

    Wow, only 2-3pm for chorlton and none for Stretford, fine margins! 

    I have to say the MetO app has been absolutely woeful this past week. Really, really poor. 
     

    Not good that it completely missed all the shower potential for yesterday morning, it’s not like they were light and/or isolated. 
     

    Normally I rate it quite highly too.

    Not getting my hopes up for tomorrow, will be a nice surprise if it happens. Looks very light on the ICON. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    1 minute ago, Joe Bloggs said:

    I have to say the MetO app has been absolutely woeful this past week. Really, really poor. 
     

    Not good that it completely missed all the shower potential for yesterday morning, it’s not like they were light and/or isolated. 
     

    Normally I rate it quite highly too.

    Not getting my hopes up for tomorrow, will be a nice surprise if it happens. Looks very light on the ICON. 

    Which one got it right yesterday, it was the BBC one wasn't it?  It's bonkers that such short time periods can produce such different forecasts and outcomes.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft

    Met O App

    image.thumb.png.82ccb4b6c258a96562498192f54ed379.png

    BBC

    image.thumb.png.a684f1f53fe1e490eb389a759ac771be.png

    One expecting a weaker affair with the odd light shower and the other quite high odds (80%) of heavy snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Buxton
  • Location: Buxton
    47 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

    Well I just reread the timings and by 3pm the temp is normally dropping so fingers crossed.

    What models should we be looking at do you reckon for this feature? Which do you think are modelling it correctly?

    Within 18 hours now so the WRF 2KM I'd say which looks reasonable to. Quite a slim chance it will be SE of this.nmm_uk1-1-22-0.thumb.png.b886652285ab4adb0da0e77b87357224.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    Got heavy snow symbol here now on Metoffice automated...but as others have pointed out, it means little.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sandbach, South Cheshire 65m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat, thunderstorms and winter snow
  • Location: Sandbach, South Cheshire 65m ASL
    27 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

    Met O App

    image.thumb.png.82ccb4b6c258a96562498192f54ed379.png

    BBC

    image.thumb.png.a684f1f53fe1e490eb389a759ac771be.png

    One expecting a weaker affair with the odd light shower and the other quite high odds (80%) of heavy snow.

    Think us in the very south east of the region should fingers crossed get a slight covering again from this feature if it reaches us! 🤞☃️❄️ I guess the last few days have taught us how much these small areas of wintry precipitation that crop up with only short notice  can provide. It’ll be going dark and the temperature will be dropping ahead of a cold night so a good time for anything to fall. 

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    Posted
  • Location: South Manchester 35m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, Snow, Winter, Summer storms after a 'heatwave'
  • Location: South Manchester 35m asl

    Temp rose by about a degree over an hour, falling back now though 

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms and stormy weather
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl

    Metoffice forecast looks good for East and South of the region, mentioning a light snow cover possible this afternoon. That's more bullish than their forecast when we ended up with 4cm!

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    Posted
  • Location: Salwick Lancashire +0.000000002 ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle
  • Location: Salwick Lancashire +0.000000002 ASL

    Quick 00z look. 

    Potential Narnia next week. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms and stormy weather
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl

    Both airport forecasts onboard for possibility of snow as well. Liverpool Airport between 17:00 and 19:00 and Manchester Airport between 14:00 and 21:00.

    Edited by Dexter
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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
    Just now, Weather-history said:

    Dipped to -6.7C 

    Wow,! That's insane. Especially when you consider the low here was 1.1C.

    Like clockwork, just in time for me walking to work it has just started to rain again!

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms and stormy weather
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl

    It's just started to snow lightly here. Showers feeding down from the NW.

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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
    45 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

    Wow,! That's insane. Especially when you consider the low here was 1.1C.

    Like clockwork, just in time for me walking to work it has just started to rain again!

     

    It is a cold one, frost is like glitter in the light  on ground

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
  • Location: Halmer End - 172m/565ft
    16 minutes ago, Dexter said:

    It's just started to snow lightly here. Showers feeding down from the NW.

    Yeah, just woke up and checked the radar and looks like the edge will S. Cheshire. 

    This afternoon looks interesting. Especially if the MetO et al are actually mentioning it and being quite bullish about it (mentioning a cover etc).

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms and stormy weather
  • Location: Near Northwich, Cheshire, 75m asl

    Now snowing moderately and sticking. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

    Radar looks good for South Cheshire ! Enjoy 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sandbach, South Cheshire 65m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat, thunderstorms and winter snow
  • Location: Sandbach, South Cheshire 65m ASL

    Down to -4c here in S Cheshire with a harsh frost last night 🥶 currently dry here but quickly clouding over from the west as sleet/ snow showers begin to move in. This afternoon into this evening looks interesting too hopefully we get a slight covering 🤞 ❄️ 

    Edited by Joe Snow
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    Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
    16 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

    You can see a mass of preciptation up towards Northumberland on the radar. I think that is the potential. 

    Hopefully there is enough NE/SW in the direction to bring our region into play.

    at the moment it is looking ok; if the Pennines don’t deflect it southerly and keep it all across Yorkshire then we may have quite a snowy afternoon.

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