North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[Day 10]

4 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

This is EXACTLY what I wanted to see. 
 

It keeps reminding me of the Feb 91 setup, those easterlies look strong and getting stronger. That looks potentially snowy to me for large parts of the country.

EDIT: Similar just in the UK area.

Edited February 1, 2021 by Day 10

[Had Worse]

Just now, Spah1 said:

You know very well you will do great in the next week or so!

 

Im not so sure. @WillinGlossop gets the mains, I get the scraps. If the wind is strong, it has a habit of blowing the snow away. 

It might end up in your back yard. lol.

[Joe Bloggs]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

It keeps reminding me of the Feb 91 setup, those easterlies look strong and getting stronger. That looks potentially snowy to me for large parts of the country.

You’re absolutely right. That bit of light blue on the wetterzentrale charts over our patch is very good news - it signals a likely trough and some more organised snow from the east. 

I’m waiting till Wednesday morning’s runs before getting excited. 

[SnowWatcher2]

Probably why the weather models are not that accurate lately... 

[Geordiesnow]

6 minutes ago, tvh3382 said:

I know they don’t mean much but the met office app now show heavy snow for me between 2am and 6am.  It has always been rain or sleet up to this point.

I wonder if that is in reflection of the UKMO run of actually keeping the positive uppers quite a bit further south than the GFS. Its a small difference reletively speaking at 24 hours but for some locations on higher ground it could be a big difference between seeing an hour of snow and seeing over 4 hours of snow for example. Still think regardless it will turn to rain but as others say its a nowcasting situation. 

 

[The Northern Ramper]

Let’s party

[Spah1]

Makes me want to vomit. 

Historic snow event for all on Sunday night.

I'll have the bbq out. 

[Joe Bloggs]

Just now, Spah1 said:

Makes me want to vomit. 

Historic snow event for all on Sunday night.

I'll have the bbq out. 

LOL that chart is so ridiculous. 

[hailseizertoo]

I'm old enough to remember the two worst winters we've had in living memory in this country..

 

 

Mike and Bernie.  

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Makes me want to vomit. 

Historic snow event for all on Sunday night.

I'll have the bbq out. 

Spah, the snow would get across in that kind of setup it just wouldn't be as heavy. It would be proper powder snow too.

[Spah1]

I've posted in the mad thread. Wish me luck.

[raul_sbd]

4 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Makes me want to vomit. 

Historic snow event for all on Sunday night.

I'll have the bbq out. 

That’s the best representation of what is the NW on easterlies unless you live in the Far East o the region

[Spah1]

Just now, hailseizertoo said:

I'm old enough to remember the two worst winters we've had in living memory in this country..

 

 

Mike and Bernie.  

Wrong thread  - 'best' two Winters!

[Spah1]

2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Spah, the snow would get across in that kind of setup it just wouldn't be as heavy. It would be proper powder snow too.

I'll bow to superior knowledge - got bugger all in 2018. 

[hailseizertoo]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

Wrong thread  - 'best' two Winters!

Sorry. Just a bit of light relief from the sh*show that is a non event.

[cheshire snow]

8 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

You’re absolutely right. That bit of light blue on the wetterzentrale charts over our patch is very good news - it signals a likely trough and some more organised snow from the east. 

I’m waiting till Wednesday morning’s runs before getting excited. 

I will be waiting until Friday LOL

C.S

[Spah1]

Bring back marginal NWlys all if forgiven! 

[raul_sbd]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

I'll bow to superior knowledge - got bugger all in 2018. 

I just liked your post on the MOD threat they are all buzzing lol... oh well bbq on Monday ha

[Spah1]

Can all NW posters like my MOD post see what happens 

[Joe Snow]

4 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Spah, the snow would get across in that kind of setup it just wouldn't be as heavy. It would be proper powder snow too.

Yeah we’d have flurries while the East & SE have a blizzard ? Easterlies can deliver snow but for much of low level NW England it rarely amounts to much beyond a 2-6cm covering at best. Higher ground in the East, Peaks & Pennines though totally different story. 

[raul_sbd]

1 minute ago, Spah1 said:

Can all NW posters like my MOD post see what happens 

Yeah lets do it folks.. maybe we will get all banned?

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

I'll bow to superior knowledge - got bugger all in 2018. 

Feb 91

Anyway, it still miles off.

As @cheshire snow has just said, let's wait til Friday. Good to comment on but that's it.

[Geordiesnow]

In a way  for us, there is no nail biting outputs as people say, easterlies are not a favoured direction but if the phasing of the low does go wrong but we still get cold air toppling overr the top, it increases our snow chances perhaps. 

That said, synotopically the easterly is a beauty and the weather the east will get with big proper beefy snow showers will put the Irish Sea popcorn showers to shame! 

[frosty ground]

20 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Im not so sure. @WillinGlossop gets the mains, I get the scraps. If the wind is strong, it has a habit of blowing the snow away. 

It might end up in your back yard. lol.

2018 the wind stripped fields of the snow, hence the massive drifts. 

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Joe Snow said:

Yeah we’d have flurries while the East & SE have a blizzard ? Easterlies can deliver snow but for much of low level NW England it rarely amounts to much beyond a 2-6cm covering at best. Higher ground in the East, Peaks & Pennines though totally different story. 

I got 6 inches in Feb 91, it depends on the setup not all easterlies are the same. Taking the GFS run in isolation it reminds me of that, just the UK bit not the bigger setup.