North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[russwirral]

3 hours ago, Dexter said:

I'd at least like it to be a good 100 miles or so further South if it's going to miss. Nothing worse than it coming within about 5-10 miles.

happens at least 4 or 5 times a year for us on Wirral

[Cheshire Freeze]

What is it with the Midlands and snow? Think they've had more over the last 5 years than I have in 25.

Edited January 28, 2021 by CreweCold

[Day 10]

Met Office update still going for possible snow in the south of the region Saturday, so that's encouraging and still shows the uncertainty. 

[itsnowjoke]

@Day 10 can’t seem to read your message pal

[Cheshire Freeze]

Can bet your bottom dollar that if it was rain we'd be looking at flood warnings.

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

@Day 10 can’t seem to read your message pal

Try that

[Day 10]

ICON much further south than this morn

[Day 10]

That is now the northern extent on the GFS, really bad start to the 12's.

[Mark_p]

Yeah we've been here too many times guys this is gonna end up way south  

[WillinGlossop]

I see met flopped with Scotland warnings... slushy inch at best or rain... their snow warning to rain warning... not inspired by the current output atm... 

[Day 10]

It's correcting south.

[Cheshire Freeze]

2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

That is now the northern extent on the GFS, really bad start to the 12's.

Yep. Fear a cold, grey day is on the cards whilst the Midlands get pasted.

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, CreweCold said:

Yep. Fear a cold, grey day is on the cards whilst the Midlands get pasted.

Another one coming in, what will that do I wonder!?

[Day 10]

Just now, Day 10 said:

Another one coming in, what will that do I wonder!?

Exactly the same, maybe a touch further south!

[Cheshire Freeze]

2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Another one coming in, what will that do I wonder!?

It's actually depressing. 

Enough to worry about with the COVID situation without the weather Gods sticking the middle finger up too.

Edited January 28, 2021 by CreweCold

[Day 10]

Unbearable, I need a new hobby.

[iand61]

Just now, Day 10 said:

Exactly the same, maybe a touch further south!

And then no doubt the much promised easterly will either not have enough umph to cross the mighty Pennines or have more of a NE element and drop south of the Peak District and plaster, yes you guessed it, the Midlands

[severe snowstorm]

15 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

That is now the northern extent on the GFS, really bad start to the 12's.

Could end up with the South Midlands being the Northern extent at this rate. Things only trending one way now.

Edited January 28, 2021 by Dexter

[pip22]

On the bright side, some Midlands people probably gonna get fined for having snowball fights during lockdown.

While we are continuing being sensible here.

 

 

Edited January 28, 2021 by pip22

[Cheshire Freeze]

Think I'm done with this winter now. Something will likely come along and spoil the NEly, then we're into mid Feb. 

[iand61]

Charts posted in the mad thread show Sundays system much further north to the extent that we end up with rain and the snow reserved for the North Pennines and southern Scotland.

dare I say that we need a southerly correction

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, Dexter said:

Could end of with the South Midlands being the Northern extent at this rate. Things only trending one way now.

This is how the pattern usually goes year on year.

Day 5 - Modeled to hit Scotland

Day 4 - Scottish borders

Day 3 - Cracker! Looks good for the North West - ALL SUCKED IN!!!

Day 2 - The South of the region may see snow - 50% OF US STILL SUCKED IN!!! THE OTHER 50% OUT BUYING A NEW LAPTOP!!!

Day 1 - Possible light snow in Cheshire/Merseyside - 20% OF US STILL LEFT, AT THE LOCAL CHURCH PRAYING!!!

Day 0 - Wales & the Midlands 5 - 15cm's of snow QUITE WIDELY - F### OFF!!!

 

Current Output

Day 5 - Looks good, has potential...

[dodge]

Perhaps there will be a frigid cold week in February that will deliver the goods nationwide...or as good as.  Something has to come right after the sleepy Polar Vortex and no raging Atlantic.

[Weather-history]

9 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Think I'm done with this winter now. Something will likely come along and spoil the NEly, then we're into mid Feb. 

Could be worse, you could be this time last year about to face the wettest February on record by a landslide and a dead polar NWly 

[Spah1]

Tuesday front has no problem pushing through the rain.