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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards


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Hello Guys & Girls, First of all I just want to say a huge thank you to all of you for all the messages of support and the PM's you sent me, you are an ok bunch aren't you! So, thank you.

Hi Guys & Girls,  A short message from me while I still have the energy, my Mrs & I are both in our early 40's with asthma, we have made every effort to protect ourselves from from this e

Shades of Feb 1996' for the NW with the current output - elevation, uppers and frontal / streamer alignment appear in the favour of many eastern areas (e.g. E Cumbria pummelled), but sizeable amounts

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Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
    1 minute ago, WillinGlossop said:

    2c 

    0.9°C here. Probably the only time I have ever been colder than you.

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  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester
    48 minutes ago, NickyB said:

    I love your posts Kasim. Don’t let them get you down.

    Kasim, your posts are honest and informative..please may it continue

    If i may ..let me tell you a story...

    Once a poor nomadic man walked the barren plains, his feet swollen, hands blistered and eyes stinging in the wind. Pulling his cart behind him the poor man lumbered onward until he came too a crossroad. At this crossroad he saw a well dressed man..a rich well dressed man; the well dressed man lifted his hat and looked at the poor mans cart.."what provisions do you carry that you are willing to trade?"

    The poor man wiped his eyes and answered "i have just butter and poor cheese".

    "Then i shall trade you a kilo of my fine sugar..for half a kilo of butter and half a kilo of cheese" said the well dressed rich man....The trade was done

    Next day..the poor man tired and weak pulled his cart into town....only to be confronted by the well dressed man and the sheriff."This man has cheated me" acclaimed the well dressed man..."He traded me less than the kilo we agreed..for my kilo of sugar..he was a 1/4 kilo short"

    The poor man stayed silent....closed his eyes and shrugged his shoulders with no answer...The rope was already in place as the sheriff adorned the noose around the poor mans neck.........The rope sang in the wind...with no words from a poor mans last breath...

    Upon examining the poor man cart the sheriff came upon a scale hang.....now with this man having no means to buy weighing blocks, the only possible chance for him to weigh measure for measure was againts the well dressed mans kilo of sugar........

    Once again...the rope sang in the wind with no words of a poor mans last breath..Just the image of a smile...

    somtimes you just cannot win.. smile and carry on..

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  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
    10 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

    0.9°C here. Probably the only time I have ever been colder than you.

    I’m thinking it’s just cold rain this side of Pennines 👻🤦🤦

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  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)

    Bit of patchy snow/sleet forming on radar, wonder if we'll get any action before the rain moves in.

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  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl

    Cloudy 3c was -3c foggy at 3/4pm....hopefully some cold weather and snow soon rubbish atm 

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  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Rather a late update, despite radar showing precipitation for near 3 hours, we've had a few light snow flurries that's all. Expecting to wake up to a wet scene and snow thawed quick off modest heights.

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  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)

    looking at that radar currently snow got something personal against Manchester, I'm sure of it😂

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  • Location: Bollington
  • Location: Bollington
    35 minutes ago, WillinGlossop said:

    I’m thinking it’s just cold rain this side of Pennines 👻🤦🤦

    Light snow falling here but I doubt it will last for long 

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  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl

    3c light rain ugh 🤦🏼‍♂️ Hoping for better next week 👍

    Edited by WillinGlossop
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  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

    Now that’s a mess of a radar

    0B7A1F13-1DBC-4858-A89D-6278CC356C78.png

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  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    Rain

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  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)
  • Location: High Crompton, Shaw (213m/699ft asl)

    image.thumb.png.3ced85454422435ab929c3bf4acf3b91.png...Even the weather radar is giving me the finger.😟

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  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy weather
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.

    Rain here

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  • Location: Salwick Lancashire +0.000000002 ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle
  • Location: Salwick Lancashire +0.000000002 ASL

    GFS looks very interesting for next weekend. Somewhere in for a hammering. As for this w/e can’t see why METO has amber for the SE. 

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  • Location: Salwick Lancashire +0.000000002 ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Horizontal Drizzle
  • Location: Salwick Lancashire +0.000000002 ASL
    5 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

    Ps don’t go on model thread anymore either 👍 it’s just southern thread will it snow in my back garden 

    ......usually does in yours 😆

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  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL

    Definitely some potential from the WNW later next week. Uppers look cold enough to me.

    The convective window won’t necessarily last all that long but worth watching. Check out ECM for instance. 
     

    spacer.png

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  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
    6 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

    Definitely some potential from the WNW later next week. Uppers look cold enough to me.

    The convective window won’t necessarily last all that long but worth watching. Check out ECM for instance. 
     

    spacer.png

    We haven’t been invited to most of this years snow parties but it’s still a damn site better than last’ efforts.

    let’s hope it keeps it up for the next few weeks.

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  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
  • Location: Withington, South Manchester, 38m ASL
    Just now, iand61 said:

    We haven’t been invited to most of this years snow parties but it’s still a damn site better than last’ efforts.

    let’s hope it keeps it up for the next few weeks.

    I absolutely agree. Let’s hope for a direct westerly late next week so as much of the NW can get in on the action as possible. 
     

    So far from the output I’m fairly confident of lying snow in southern parts of the region, including Manchester, by Friday night. We’ll see how we get on! Lots could change before then. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    Latest GFST T850s are a bit borderline for coast -6 – -7 but again geo-potential heights are  low like a few weeks ago so should be alright. Also DPs are low

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  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley
  • Location: North west England/East Lancashire/Burnley

    Warnings have been cancelled by met office for snow 😩

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  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)

    Perhaps the chance of back edge snow for some Wednesday night. Still too far away for details yet though.

    Don’t like GFS after next weekend but again waiting far away.

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  • Location: Preston - Lancashire
  • Location: Preston - Lancashire
    11 hours ago, WillinGlossop said:

    I’m thinking it’s just cold rain this side of Pennines 👻🤦🤦

    More like lukewarm rain 😀

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    • Staying cool and showery with heavy, thundery downpours

      The weather continues on with its cool, showery and unsettled pattern, with more heavy downpours during the next few days. Then, to finish the week, a deep low arrives bringing a spell of wet and windy conditions. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
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      UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-05-18 06:21:01 Valid: 18/05/2021 0600 - 19/05/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - TUES 18TH MAY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

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      Strong winds from an Atlantic low later this week adding to cool, wet May

      May 2021 has been colder than average with a lot of rain for some parts of the UK. A low pressure heading in for the end of the week could bring gales. Read more here

      Jo Farrow
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