North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[Had Worse]

That freezing level looks a bit high up.

[Joe Bloggs]

WRF for tomorrow morning. 

[iand61]

1 hour ago, Spah1 said:

Just in warning. 

Models been suggesting West Lancs too marginal for 2/3 days now.

Not getting up at 3am for 1 hr of snow then rain. 

Be interesting to see how Bacup does. 

 

On a post COVID working from home session this week and my working day involves early starts so will let you know what it’s like first thing and then how soon it turns back to rain.

I’m confident of seeing something this time though.

[Chris.R]

Going to have to take a break again it’s really p**sing me off this today how the trend keeps going against us.

@Day 10 You were right, we are cursed.

[Had Worse]

4 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Going to have to take a break again it’s really p**sing me off this today how the trend keeps going against us.

@Day 10 You were right, we are cursed.

The southern contingent have pinched the controls for the snow shield and reportedly, it's part of the LEVELING UP process that Boris championed.

Edited February 1, 2021 by Had Worse

[Spah1]

Bizarre. 

[Geordiesnow]

Well the best members in here for anything wintry  will be Thundersnow, Damianslaw and perhaps Cumbria Marra, in fairness those guys deserve too see something especially Cumbria Marra given his location. It's ashame it's going to turn back to rain regardless but if your forecast for 4 hours of snowfall for example, it's better than nothing. 

See how it all develops, just ashame the air over us was not more colder then we may of seen the milder air struggling more but not too be. 

 

[severe snowstorm]

8 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

WRF for tomorrow morning. 

Ouch - trending worse again. Still Ok for Cumbria and more Northern parts, but some reasonable elevation probably needed for decent amounts of snow further South

[Iceaxecrampon]

10 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Bizarre. 

Yes the Blue Dot is us.

Bizarre.

In any case - I'm still  going with the iPhone (4am) 

Edited February 1, 2021 by Iceaxecrampon

[Had Worse]

Just now, Iceaxecrampon said:

Yes the Blue Dot is us.

Bizarre.

I think VAR needs to make a decision. 

[Day 10]

30 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Going to have to take a break again it’s really p**sing me off this today how the trend keeps going against us.

@Day 10 You were right, we are cursed.

Even though I'll be about, going to refrain from posting anything with a snow interest until it's within a 2-3 day timescale (even that is unpredictable). Forget day 5 in this complex Winter,it may as well be day 10.

[Day 10]

18 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Yes the Blue Dot is us.

Bizarre.

In any case - I'm still  going with the iPhone (4am) 

Where's the arrow mate? 

[Iceaxecrampon]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Even though I'll be about, going to refrain from posting anything with a snow interest until it's within a 2-3 day timescale (even that is unpredictable). Forget day 5 in this complex Winter,it may as well be day 10.

[Iceaxecrampon]

3 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Where's the arrow mate? 

…..always happy to oblige 

[Joe Bloggs]

I have my sleet symbols for tomorrow back on the MetO app.

2-8am .

I can barely contain my excitement

[Had Worse]

2 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

I have my sleet symbols for tomorrow back on the MetO app.

2-8am .

I can barely contain my excitement

 

[The Northern Ramper]

Lovely blue skies today, it’s been a long time

[SnowWatcher2]

If somehow it manages to pull off this and dump those 15cm between 3-9am ill be happy, even if its gone by 10am

[damianslaw]

1 hour ago, Had Worse said:

I like your attitude Damian, you call a spade, a spade.

Meanwhile, MOD thread.... Health warnings and guidance to check where poster is located to try and understand there dislike or like of the synopsis.

Yes unfortunately many posts on the MOD thread are from an imby perspective and fail to look at the broader picture for the UK as a whole. Quite naturally though it's to be expected people only view the models with likely impacts for there home turf in mind.. 

[Weather-history]

5 hours ago, tvh3382 said:

Thought I would leave this here.  BBC forecast for the week ahead.  This screen shot is for a week on Wednesday.  I don’t think any model is showing this.

That was based on yesterday's ECM 0z op run which was a massive outlier. Unbelieveable she showed this. 

[Osca31]

Just collected the Mrs from work and it just doesn’t feel cold enough for snow. If it does happen it’ll be interesting taking her to work at 6.30am tomorrow.

[Cheese Rice]

Not to be a debbie downer but I wouldn't expect their to be even transient snow for most of the North West.

 

 

Freezing levels aren't even close to conductive for snow, even the hills away from the purple shades would see rain.

 

[Had Worse]

The Met offices view.

 

[Geordiesnow]

44 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

That was based on yesterday's ECM 0z op run which was a massive outlier. Unbelieveable she showed this. 

Especially as Sarah Keith Lucus is a coldie it would seem but its just a completely bizzare temperature profile to begin with. I have not even seen the ECM model showing mild air coming into Scotland for example. 

 

[Day 10]

12 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

The Met offices view.

 

Scotland is going to get absolutely battered!

For tomorrow, members in the far north of our region should be quite excited, looking like a good few inches for you guys away from the coast before turning back to rain.