North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[Day 10]

16 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Well WRF it’s picking up on a small feature early hours Monday morning which could give some snow

WTF can bugger off, all models can! Taking a break from this useless Winter, last actual proper 100% snowfall still March 2018. A couple of very wet falls that didn't stick and a 45 min soft hail snow mix this morn which melted within the hour just doesn't satisfy the snow fix. Luckily the longer term still holds good hope so back in a few days or so. So far 1.5/10.

[Iceaxecrampon]

8 minutes ago, Snow free zone said:

Managed 3 or 4 decent snow showers here. Little or no cover anywhere here. Showers changed readily to a sleety mix after 1pm. 

 

Looking at the pictures posted earlier it looks as though Blackpool had a better covering than we did here. 

Quite good seeing that we live in something akin to Fenlands.

[Had Worse]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

WTF can bugger off, all models can! Taking a break from this useless Winter, last actual proper 100% snowfall still March 2018. A couple of very wet falls that didn't stick and a 45 min soft hail snow mix this morn which melted within the hour just doesn't satisfy the snow fix. Luckily the longer term still holds good hope so back in a few days or so. So far 1.5/10.

And ....relax...your alive to witness the next non event. 

[Had Worse]

.

Edited January 23, 2021 by Had Worse

[SP1986]

A view from lower Heswall to Wales today.. you can see the snow line at about 50 metres asl in Wales. On the other hand on this side with the WNW wind, the snowline was about 100m ASL. 

Edited January 23, 2021 by SP1986

[Snow free zone]

13 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Quite good seeing that we live in something akin to Fenlands.

It was, but this set up has always been our banker for snow here.... we got more from that n/ne a few weeks ago which was a surprise at the time. 

[Dan B]

The snows just kicked in again here

[Had Worse]

Compared with the 12z GFS, this is 5 hours earlier than this

[damianslaw]

A very bleak quite atmospheric mid winter day and cold to boot, maxed out just a bit above 2 degrees. 

Moderate pulse of snow this morning, lasted about an hour and half left a cm cover - had a run of such depths in cover!.. thereafter a very misty murky scene, very little brightness, sun tried to poke its head through but didn't. Quite an unusual day in this respect, normally expect such conditions under high pressure, alas the low level surface cold and very slack airstream and airflow has resulted in an inversion type set up.

Current temp 1.1 degrees. A cold frosty night ahead. Not expecting any much snow activity tonight, perhaps a rogue shower.

Tomorrow promises to be a much brighter and clearer day and with light winds, excellent weather for a walk, Not overly warm again, highs of probably 2 degrees.

Tomorrow night a trough feature is expected to move through the region, probably deliver our 5th or 6th 1cm cover! Pity the system moving into S England couldn't have made its way here, a decent snowfall would have occurred.

Still stay hopeful will see a proper cover before the winter is out.

[Dan B]

36 minutes ago, Dan B said:

The snows just kicked in again here

And gone again

 

Clear skies again. Looks to be a frosty night

[SnowWatcher2]

I think our possible last final chance is on Monday before things change for a bit...

Edited January 23, 2021 by SnowWatcher2

[Spah1]

Is that a trough following the low? 

[More Runs Needed]

10 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Is that a trough following the low? 

That's the decaying front due Monday morning 

[Mountain Snow]

Only had a sprinkle of snow this morning but grass still has snow on it from Wednesday. A still foggy day, just missed out on an ice day, max of 0.3*C

[Had Worse]

Very light snow falling. Its hardly even mentioning

[russwirral]

Wrf has the snow over cheshire and mersey side tomorrow

 

I still think theres a chance we will get something tomorrow... alot of forecasts have been off recently

[raul_sbd]

One to watch if the front gets further north as Kas pointed out..

[itsnowjoke]

2 hours ago, Had Worse said:

.

What have you actually edited here? Or too many words in that can’t be mentioned

[Chris.R]

Air frost has begun -0.3°C. Going to be a cold night.

[Had Worse]

12 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

What have you actually edited here? Or too many words in that can’t be mentioned

I was trying to share a post off the mod thread but it kept saying it couldn't be found.  The post was there but wouldn't copy.

[Chris.R]

As mentioned, the latest WRF now shows the precip reaching Merseyside again like it was showing yesterday. Max rates for Merseyside around 3.2 mm/h. This is very promising.

Also  shows the small front Monday morning especially in the north.

[cheshire snow]

53 minutes ago, russwirral said:

Wrf has the snow over cheshire and mersey side tomorrow

 

I still think theres a chance we will get something tomorrow... alot of forecasts have been off recently

Have to agree most models have moved this north today not sure on amounts probably light at patchy with been at the Northerly point of PPN

Edit see @Chris.R has updated 

C.S

[More Runs Needed]

7 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

As mentioned, the latest WRF now shows the precip reaching Merseyside again like it was showing yesterday. Max rates for Merseyside around 3.2 mm/h. This is very promising.

Also  shows the small front Monday morning especially in the north.

That's interesting but MetO and ECM have been bullish on this being alot further south and WRF has been changing

[carl1980]

No weather warning for ice tonight I find strange,just been to Morrisons,the car park was like an ice ring roads icy

[Spah1]

4 minutes ago, carl1980 said:

No weather warning for ice tonight I find strange,just been to Morrisons,the car park was like an ice ring roads icy

Couldn’t agree more. Everything frozen over.