Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 5.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Hello Guys & Girls, First of all I just want to say a huge thank you to all of you for all the messages of support and the PM's you sent me, you are an ok bunch aren't you! So, thank you.

Hi Guys & Girls,  A short message from me while I still have the energy, my Mrs & I are both in our early 40's with asthma, we have made every effort to protect ourselves from from this e

Like most of us...just been for a weirdo walk by myself...foooooking STUNNING!! Never seen it so heavy... Roads covered, main bank road must be shut as it was impassable as I walked up there.  Interes

Posted Images

Morning all, -2 and a touch foggy, I have a lift into work this a.m, so hopefully I'll stay upright just walking round the corner.  Ungritted roads and pavements going to be very tricky.  Lets see what today delivers.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't think I've ever seen an ensemble chart like this before.

ens_image.thumb.png.8f6f504f8c68fd802722a10551797d75.png

Remarkable agreement all the way. Not to say it's right, just in agreement with itself.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Well we got the showers last night, got woken up by rain lashing against the window at one point. I guess it was always looking a bit marginal so no real surprise. Cracking update to the metoffice text forecast for tonight. Looking forward to seeing the views of the more knowledgeable posters in here as to tonight's snow chances.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Well we got the showers last night, got woken up by rain lashing against the window at one point. I guess it was always looking a bit marginal so no real surprise. Cracking update to the metoffice text forecast for tonight. Looking forward to seeing the views of the more knowledgeable posters in here as to tonight's snow chances.

Snow chances quite high for northwest england into the midlands!!!lets see how it goes next 24 hours!

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Euro4 shows snow lying by 9am tomorrow for most of the region apart from areas directly on the coast. Central Lancs the sweet spot, down towards G Man. Icon similar.

GFS however looks a bit marginal and shows dewpoints above freezing for some of us.

 

lots to keep an eye on! 

ICON: 

spacer.png
 

EURO4

spacer.png

spacer.pngGfs 

 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Euro4 shows snow lying by 9am tomorrow for most of the region apart from areas directly on the coast. Central Lancs the sweet spot, down towards G Man. Icon similar.

GFS however looks a bit marginal and shows dewpoints above freezing for some of us.

 

lots to keep an eye on! 

ICON: 

spacer.png
 

EURO4

spacer.png

spacer.pngGfs 

 

I'll take the Euro 4 please. Bin the others. 😁

Those dewpoints are bad for Western/South Western parts of the region on the gfs and I assume we would be looking at rain if these turn out to be correct and not just close to the coast.

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Dexter said:

I'll take the Euro 4 please. Bin the others. 😁

Those dewpoints are bad for Western/South Western parts of the region on the gfs and I assume we would be looking at rain if these turn out to be correct and not just close to the coast.

 

Yes possibly! 
 

Tbh I was surprised when I saw the GFS parameters , most other output looks ok, fingers crossed there’ll be an upgrade in time for the 06z.

The MetO app shows light snow from 4-8am with a temp of 0C , so UKV must be ok too. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Yes possibly! 
 

Tbh I was surprised when I saw the GFS parameters , most other output looks ok, fingers crossed there’ll be an upgrade in time for the 06z.

The MetO app shows light snow from 4-8am with a temp of 0C , so UKV must be ok too. 

GFS has negative DP either side of the chart you posted just that brief few hours it just rises like you say hopefully the GFS 6z up grades slightly 

C.S

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Yes possibly! 
 

Tbh I was surprised when I saw the GFS parameters , most other output looks ok, fingers crossed there’ll be an upgrade in time for the 06z.

The MetO app shows light snow from 4-8am with a temp of 0C , so UKV must be ok too. 

Yup i was really surprised as well mate!!everything seemed perfect then i seen the dew points ane thought that dont match lol!expected better!!

Link to post
Share on other sites
35 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Not a great update. The word rain used far too often. 
75CE8E31-F014-4891-AD9B-7F03E5584EDF.thumb.png.9fc42ebccbc60c101d301382f591b83d.png
 

Well the reality is, it's just not cold enough. You can have all the great synotopics but if the air is not cold enough then it's all a waste. 

Maintained from the start, any snowfall will be transient in nature and its been proven to be the case, at least some areas have kept a snowcover for more than 24 hours but they are the exception rather than the rule. 

With easterly winds about to develop, our snow risk will likely to diminish but again, the air from the east is not all that cold it would seem and if winds increase, it means more mixing so I'm not convinced we are looking at a particularly snowy outlook. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm looking forward to the rain streamer later, followed by an area of heavy rain! 🤣🤣🤣

12-574UK.thumb.GIF.bff0eefc7a72d78492872eca42490a84.GIF30-574UK.thumb.GIF.bfd6fb764c8864b064295ad04649b3b3.GIF

The coast needs true Arctic air in these setups simple as. My hope for this week is fading.

Thankfully longer term still looks good.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...