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Model Output Discussion - Staying cold into the new year

Battleground Snow
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Paul
Message added by Paul,

Please stick to discussing the model output in this thread. For more general chat , please use the winter/cold weather/snow chat, banter, moans and ramps thread. 

For local cold/snow and weather related chat, please head over to the Regional Area.

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markw2680 Accomplished

markw2680

Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
Posted
4 minutes ago, ALL ABOARD said:

We're going from the fridge into the freezer this run.. 

 

Look at that cold ready to drop.. 

 

No mixing on this one. 

 

407182115_gfsnh-0-180(3).thumb.png.195ab6da294b626f956dc52ccdc44eb7.png

Summed it up in one small sentence 

fridge to freezer!!

even the ecm which isn’t as good imagine those charts last winter, think we are being spoilt tbh. The thought of snow streamers setting up from the east.

whichever way we look at it for the time being it looks like staying cold and possibly getting colder

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seabreeze86 Accomplished

seabreeze86

Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
Posted

Oh my that some serious cold coming down from the north . The pub run is always my favourite  

D76E90B1-49CB-459A-BE2E-B676EC73028C.png

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Mucka Maestro

Mucka

Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester
Posted

Cold enough?

gfs-9-210.png?18

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Matt H Accomplished

Matt H

Posted
  • Location: Cambridge
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, heat, sunshine and thunderstorms. Anything severe.
  • Location: Cambridge
Posted

On the other hand these GFS parallel runs are about as welcome as a fart in a lift at the moment, hope it stops messing around tomorrow and comes into line with the GFS.

996F4240-2FC9-48C7-A23C-DEF26D14B287.png

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chris55 Accomplished

chris55

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted
15 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Some small minus 10 pools popping up now too, shows how cold can develop in situ in these set ups

 

Screenshot_20201229-221201.png

Was just about to post that exact chart. Home grown cold (well France grown cold, but don’t let brexit get in the way )

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Man With Beard Maestro

Man With Beard

Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
Posted
17 minutes ago, Eskimo said:

Not many substantial differences between the 12z and 18z at day 6. 

image.thumb.png.207fc96e1ca73c8a93d77d8f57cda550.pngimage.thumb.png.1d05aaf797d9a546f8485f30910dd387.png

Cold pool developing in situ on 18Z. Makes sense to me - it's what often happens in an easterly in winter. Much better snow chances as a result.

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Mucka Maestro

Mucka

Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester
  • Popular Post
Posted

Exactly the type of flow a polar could appear in.

gfsnh-0-228.png?18

Not that we need to ramp this run anymore 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
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Posted

Incoming...

gfsnh-0-222.thumb.png.b96f07cfa0a74e565daf5d96ff09ef5c.pnggfsnh-1-222.thumb.png.5fedec452d81ff1e0d62100642d58b91.png58c1bb87dd0895dd4b8b4b8d.thumb.gif.be96f4dd4d66044ea70cce95f5f505a4.gif..BOOM.

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seabreeze86 Accomplished

seabreeze86

Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Popular Post
Posted

Naf it it’s been a rubbish year I’m BOOMING this 

 

BOOOOOMMMMMMMM

711E5B84-37E0-4E41-9A01-06AAB7191059.png

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Weathizard Accomplished

Weathizard

Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
Posted

I almost don’t want to look because it’s like reverse Santa Claus, every time we have a crazy pub run, I wake up in the morning and Krampus has been and stole my pub run  

1EEBD32D-92D9-4BB8-B037-4545D09E13FA.png

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phil nw. Maestro

phil nw.

Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Popular Post
Posted

We are seeing modelling of Arctic continental air, a rare source these days. With love from N. Siberia via Scandinavia. 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Popular Post
Posted

First from the east,then from the north thanks to the high retrogressing into Greenland 

day ten and we hit the bullseye

gfsnh-0-240.thumb.png.d42a475116b0c6751772c54404daa03c.pnggfsnh-1-240.thumb.png.0fc9d321ecda61be51ed82924c30d3ec.pngtumblr_neisecRGRk1qk6v3ao5_400.thumb.gif.d0a8f4d767843c9d8245fbcaf50ae898.gif

stunning output.

 

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chris55 Accomplished

chris55

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted
6 minutes ago, Mucka said:

Exactly the type of flow a polar could appear in.

gfsnh-0-228.png?18

Not that we need to ramp this run anymore 

Is that a ...Low...or...Bear either would be epic  

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