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Model Output Discussion - Staying cold into the new year


Message added by Paul,

Please stick to discussing the model output in this thread. For more general chat , please use the winter/cold weather/snow chat, banter, moans and ramps thread

For local cold/snow and weather related chat, please head over to the Regional Area.

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Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
Just now, Allseasons-si said:

What!!!,...at 48 hrs

In general. Most on here say take no notice ect.

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
14 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

GFS upgrades the eastern cold pool T48 Also weakens the mediterranean 'finger'

clearly see that for Mon night! much betta

gfs-1-102.png?18

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Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Just now, Battleground Snow said:

Regular GFS at 96.... 850s pushing -8 or -9 over centre of the country

 

gfs-1-96.png

I think this 850s saga is done!!!its edged  over to the ukmo all the way through!!what a chart!!

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
18 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Hit me with an even colder 72 hour chart from the normal op?

Here you go Shaky

gfs-1-72.thumb.png.5e1ca227714079a818d26822f97690db.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

@sheikhy is that a -10 850 over your house

35784811-DA57-4BF4-8628-99B4B7FA856E.png

@sheikhy's got his own snow blower so he will be creating his own cold pool

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Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

My house in Coventry! 

Lol definitely colder uppers early on . Good news

24A59C22-D668-49B0-87B7-A45D315671AF.png

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
2 hours ago, sheikhy said:

I bet my bottom dollar that the ecm is wrong after 192 hours!!it wont pan out like that!!!model of the day today goes to ukmo!!!2 things to look out for on 18z is continuation of the upgrade on the easterly and the greenland high between 144 and 216 hours with trough dropping south cleanly!!!!

ECm is nearly always wrong in fl,and was a mild outlier at the end,surprise surpise looks like the bbc forecasts are also wrong showing rain all next week and temps of 6c,what models do they look at,

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Posted
  • Location: Heckmondwike, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Heckmondwike, West Yorkshire
1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

Come on para drop that low!

168

 

gfsnh-0-168 (1).png

I think I speak for most on here when I say this low is doing my head in. It really is toying with us. 

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