Cold Spell Discussion

[Weather-history]

 

[reef]

32 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

 

Extremely jealous. Today is a rather grim anniversary here as it marks 10 years since we last had measurable lying snow in December. 10 years!

Mind you, it'll be 8 years next month since we last had more than 1cm in any month!

[Plantravel]

I haven’t joined the forum, just viewed from afar to date. Love reading the views here.

Not sure where to post this....but a little confused with the latest BBC long term weather.

These two forecasts have very different long term patterns.... can only assume that the prognosis for cold has changed.

Ben Rich goes for a plunge from the North with cold uppers, and yet Stav Danaos goes for approaching low pressure from the south with a sleet/ snow to rain event.

These forecasts look to be for a similar period??

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000qr12/weather-for-the-week-ahead-31122020

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/55503185

Any views as to what might have happened?

[Weather-history]

Happy New Year!

 

 

[Skullzrulerz]

11 hours ago, Plantravel said:

I haven’t joined the forum, just viewed from afar to date. Love reading the views here.

Not sure where to post this....but a little confused with the latest BBC long term weather.

These two forecasts have very different long term patterns.... can only assume that the prognosis for cold has changed.

Ben Rich goes for a plunge from the North with cold uppers, and yet Stav Danaos goes for approaching low pressure from the south with a sleet/ snow to rain event.

These forecasts look to be for a similar period??

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m000qr12/weather-for-the-week-ahead-31122020

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/55503185

Any views as to what might have happened?

A warm welcome to you

regarding the forecast they are sometimes a bit behind the model forecasting and will take time to update 

I would usually take a look at the Model Output Discussion to see the latest trend though there's a fair amount of uncertainty due to the SSW and pattern

[E17boy]

Morning peeps

Happy new year all just a quicky can confirm we have got snow flurries here in Walthamstow NE London am I so happy to see the first winter flakes about time for us starved South Easteners, Hsve a lovely day all.

regards

[birdman]

It was much colder than forecast here in West Oxon last night at -4 ! 

It's currently 2 and very very grey. Was hoping for a sunny New year's day walk oh well! Have a good one whatever you're doing

[Weather-history]

Made an attempt of a superslomo of the heavy snow that fell this afternoon

 

 

[summer blizzard]

We now have the synoptics and the precipitation, do we have any news on uppers and dew points and when they will be most conducive. 

[AmatuerMet1963]

As some posters say here the BBC seems to have a problem concerning next 8 days or so. So many changes to forecasts must leave even the general public confused. Only a few days ago, We was told the high pressure North of us would decline a little, letting in two, not one - but two Arctic low pressures to sit right over the UK, leading to more volatile weather than as now.   These never materialized, instead they changed their minds to Easterly Airflow, with no sign of their Low pressures sitting over The UK with northerly winds.  

Now we have a completely different scenario, of a cold front coming in from the North West, however its a weak affair.  However looking at the GFS against the ECM models this coming week. They are not in any agreement this week, not until roughly the end of the week, when both go for a disappointing South Westerly and BBC talking of milder temperatures up to 8%C especially in Southern Areas. All the media is talking "Beast from the East", but on Windy site even by next Saturday there is a very slack situation in far East regions. But plenty of snow this week for Germany and Austria, central Europe around Wein.   But Beast Of the East remains off the cards in my estimation for the foreseeable future, If South Westerlies are climbing back into the UK. Northerlies may return by the 12th January.  But again GFS and ECM seem divided on tracks, weather and any confidence to give really any hard and fast facts.

The BBC didn't even get the forecast right for Lancashire  last week.  No snow or anything was forecast In Lancashire or parts of Manchester and Bolton.  What happens we get three days of overnight snow leading to 3 inches in Wigan and ice, which we shouldn't have even had, but was a great bonus. These heavy snow showers that went on for 5 days straight, came off the Irish Sea. Why the BBC didnt pick these up sooner is a joke.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

bbc gone useless, the 'symbols' as reliable as a flea, just gives me white cloud, every hour every day, most of the time

[Weather-history]

Longest period I have seen snow on the ground here since early January 2010 and I don't mean a pile of snow from clearing a path nor the remains of a snowman and everything else is clear, actual snow still on ground 

[geordiekev]

Normally this time of year I visit some Eastern European country as a treat in case we don't get snow where I live.
Most times, the weather gods deliver snow at home whilst I'm away. Thank God nobody told them about lockdown

 

Edited January 9, 2021 by geordiekev