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Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    36 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Any more chances of snow this week? Looks mild on the forecast.

    Look above Jay

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    12z Oh look it’s a beast,  Gonna hit the south east,  It’s a stonker, quite a feast If it hits the South east!    18z Ok look a Kent clipper It will be brutal, 

    Seems to be dying out here now. Definitely a nice surprise though. This last month has been incredibly difficult for me as my mum passed away two days before Christmas. So these snow events have reall

    Looking good Wales !! Have to confess I've always had a soft spot for the Welsh, they were very very welcoming to Poles after World War 2.( I'm polish heritage). I used to go a place called

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    Posted
  • Location: Rhayader, Powys (200m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Should be seasonal!
  • Location: Rhayader, Powys (200m asl)

    -9.3 recorded on the garden weather station last night, coldest night for several winters. Couple of inches of lying snow certainly helped! 

    IMG_20210125_080034.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs
  • Location: Gorslas 178m abs

    -8.7 here absolutely wonderful 😁😁

     

    What's the chances the front tomorrow doesn't make inroads and produces snow for Wales?  Cold air is pretty entrenched?? 

     

    Today has gone from being 5/6 degrees to 1/2 degrees widely. Tomorrow from being 7/8 to being 3/4. 

    The mild spell is at best close to seasonal norm mid week. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan, South Wales
  • Location: Llanharan, South Wales

    was -5.7 when I looked this morn in Llanharan

    our road still covered in snow 

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly. South Wales
  • Location: Caerphilly. South Wales

    I got heavy snow forecast for Caerphilly in early hours before the rain. Anyone think the snow could last longer?

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    33 minutes ago, hmarkd1974 said:

    I got heavy snow forecast for Caerphilly in early hours before the rain. Anyone think the snow could last longer?

    Says light snow on mine tomorrow morning. It'll be temporary no doubt.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    mainly hill areas tomorrow around 450m - 500m

    image.thumb.png.db5bd49009326e5c6e7d5b5d7d6c184c.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackwood 230m asl
  • Location: Blackwood 230m asl

    I'm personally looking at the weekend as a more favourable chance of significant snow..I may be wrong as I have only briefly skimmed the models this morning so please feel free to correct me if I have interrupted these wrong!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    10 minutes ago, dbaloo said:

    I'm personally looking at the weekend as a more favourable chance of significant snow..I may be wrong as I have only briefly skimmed the models this morning so please feel free to correct me if I have interrupted these wrong!!!

    no you could be right - bbc countryfile forecast for next weekend flagged up a possible "wintry event" - so we'll see - based around ecm model i think

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    16 minutes ago, andymusic said:

    no you could be right - bbc countryfile forecast for next weekend flagged up a possible "wintry event" - so we'll see - based around ecm model i think

    Mentioned it yesterday channel LP attack SWales on the weekend.

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    1 hour ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Says light snow on mine tomorrow morning. It'll be temporary no doubt.

    its gone from mine now

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)

    Just been down Bridgend/Tondu helping my parents with some moving and still quite a bit of snow about, streets are still snow/icy on the roads and difficult to drive on. They must of had about 3inch down there Sunday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    1 hour ago, Loadsa2000 said:

    makes you laugh weather warning for ice in my area but not on the forecast off the met

    Caerphilly mountain was fine to drive over this morning, decent amount of snow left.

    I'm surprised that there's quite a bit left at home too considering the sun has been out all day.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl

    We'll find out how bad the Euro4 model is.  For a good few runs yesterday and the 0z it was saying snow then it dropped it this morning but its back in the 12z. I dont think it has a chance and its on a island with itself with this. I think its been very poor this winter.

    euro1.JPG

    eruro2.JPG

    euro3.JPG

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
    23 minutes ago, snowy36 said:

    We'll find out how bad the Euro4 model is.  For a good few runs yesterday and the 0z it was saying snow then it dropped it this morning but its back in the 12z. I dont think it has a chance and its on a island with itself with this. I think its been very poor this winter.

    euro1.JPG

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    Agree Snowy, its been poor for a while. However I've noticed in the last few days that the rainfall/snowfall parameter on WeatherOnline shows different to what other websites showing Euro4 have.

    For example - Look at this from Weather.Us, same run, same time as above. (The chart is for 3h total snowfall). It shows some light snow in inland higher areas which will be from when the precipitation first comes in tomorrow but nothing extensive like the WeatherOnline chart.

    273122375_Screenshot2021-01-25at18_25_45.thumb.png.cecd8c76c089790528877722309b5077.png

    Therefore I think disregard the WeatherOnline one at the moment and use https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr-hd/wales/significant-weather/20210126-0300z.html

     

    Either way - tomorrow I think expect some light snow or sleet for areas inland further east as the precipitation first comes into the colder air (7am ish). This turning to rain as the milder upper air then filters in. BBC has sleet for Cardiff at 7-9am and 1/2c  before milder and all rain later.

     

    Edited by bradymk
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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl

    Thursday is when the colder weather starts to influence the weather. The front has stalled .then starts moving south.with rain turning back to sleet/snow 

    Screenshot_20210125-191819_Chrome.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Cwmbran. South East Wales 300ft ASL
  • Location: Cwmbran. South East Wales 300ft ASL
    20 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

    Thursday is when the colder weather starts to influence the weather. The front has stalled .then starts moving south.with rain turning back to sleet/snow 

    Screenshot_20210125-191819_Chrome.jpg

    Does that show the front stalling over north Wales ...Manchester area? Everywhere below that would be rain tho would it?? Could it push back south west into Wales?

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    ECMWF showing this for the weekend, it's being showing it on and off for the last few days!

    594433269_Screenshot2021-01-25at19_57_46.thumb.png.0d8ca44481bc94becee430290a4aef69.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    3 minutes ago, mattrout92 said:

    ECMWF showing this for the weekend, it's being showing it on and off for the last few days!

    594433269_Screenshot2021-01-25at19_57_46.thumb.png.0d8ca44481bc94becee430290a4aef69.png

    All nighter if that happens 🤣. I think some of us may see an hour or so of snow tomorrow morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
    25 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    All nighter if that happens 🤣. I think some of us may see an hour or so of snow tomorrow morning.

    UKV says not unless you live on ground > 500m unfortunately

    image.thumb.png.579d2d2de076fbd7d87b0ddaa8e3f04a.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    2 minutes ago, mattrout92 said:

    UKV says not unless you live on ground > 500m unfortunately

    image.thumb.png.579d2d2de076fbd7d87b0ddaa8e3f04a.png

    Fingers crossed for Saturday. Just need all models to come on board.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

    Some light showers about this evening. One just brushed west of Cardiff through Dinas Powys. -0.5c here.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontardawe, Neath-Port Talbot 78m asl
  • Location: Pontardawe, Neath-Port Talbot 78m asl

    Ice day here....best snow we have had since 2010, where I live anyway... here's a time-lapse taken from Pontardawe Golf Club yesterday..... 

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