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Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    2 hours ago, LJ1224 said:

     

     100 miles adjustments west and Wales are in the mix.Already some adjustments Saturday could be interesting.

    Screenshot_20210113-110301_Chrome.jpg

    Edited by keithlucky
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    12z Oh look it’s a beast,  Gonna hit the south east,  It’s a stonker, quite a feast If it hits the South east!    18z Ok look a Kent clipper It will be brutal, 

    Seems to be dying out here now. Definitely a nice surprise though. This last month has been incredibly difficult for me as my mum passed away two days before Christmas. So these snow events have reall

    Looking good Wales !! Have to confess I've always had a soft spot for the Welsh, they were very very welcoming to Poles after World War 2.( I'm polish heritage). I used to go a place called

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    5 hours ago, keithlucky said:

     100 miles adjustments west and Wales are in the mix.Already some adjustments Saturday could be interesting.

    Screenshot_20210113-110301_Chrome.jpg

    We need to push precipitation west we can do it lol.After all the to do in model thread panic ,of me God ! flush my head down the toilet.The models show a N easterly flow setting in the end of next week with snow at times no worries about what type pp, The flow is from the baltic .with average temperatures of -5c atm.

    Screenshot_20210113-165731_Chrome.jpg

    Edited by keithlucky
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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    yep - gfs 12z and next week we become part of scandinavia - the new brexit lol

    image.thumb.png.eb4ceb50ce0853f128a905788e31ec2e.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
    2 hours ago, keithlucky said:

    We need to push precipitation west we can do it lol.After all the to do in model thread panic ,of me God ! flush my head down the toilet.The models show a N easterly flow setting in the end of next week with snow at times no worries about what type pp, The flow is from the baltic .with average temperatures of -5c atm.

    Screenshot_20210113-165731_Chrome.jpg

    With temps forecast around 7c there is no chance of snow Saturday for our part of the uk

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    Posted
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and very cold.
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)

    Derek's forecast tonight about as exciting as a fart in a spacesuit tbh for the next week anyway. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    5 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Not a chance of snow all week and to be honest doesn't look that promising for next week.

    next week a long time in "weather time" - by the general model scheme of things the greeny high should be well in place by next week and then things will open up again to the cold properly

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    Posted
  • Location: Chepstow Wales
  • Location: Chepstow Wales
    25 minutes ago, Bartlett High said:

    Derek's forecast tonight about as exciting as a fart in a spacesuit tbh for the next week anyway. 

    Dont you mean wet fart in a milk bottle. Next week is the time to get our hopes up. Also I don't like Dereks forecast. Its like watching wet paint dry. Nosda shami 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and very cold.
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
    10 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

    Dont you mean wet fart in a milk bottle. Next week is the time to get our hopes up. Also I don't like Dereks forecast. Its like watching wet paint dry. Nosda shami 😂

    Yes, Behnaz much better.....especially with those uppers!😁

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    121903750_842539802982900_26408542326946
    M.FACEBOOK.COM

    The wintry theme looks set to continue for parts of the UK into next week 🌨️❄️ Here's the latest 10 Day Trend with a look at the weather a little...

     

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    3 minutes ago, andymusic said:
    121903750_842539802982900_26408542326946
    M.FACEBOOK.COM

    The wintry theme looks set to continue for parts of the UK into next week 🌨️❄️ Here's the latest 10 Day Trend with a look at the weather a little...

     

     

    4 hours ago, andymusic said:

    yep - gfs 12z and next week we become part of scandinavia - the new brexit lol

    image.thumb.png.eb4ceb50ce0853f128a905788e31ec2e.png

    Very interesting outlook Andy just need a bit of luck to be in the sweet spot come middle of the week ,this N easterly has be caused by strat warming ,this looks like a 3to 5 day event with this L.P. Sitting and supplying outbreaks of snow at times Across Uk Can the strat warming over North Russian next weekend, cause Hp over The Baltic  to then take over.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bassaleg, west of Newport- 35M ASL
  • Location: Bassaleg, west of Newport- 35M ASL

    Well a fortnight ago, I was full of optimism about our chances through January - but really we should have known better. The way models have trended and look going forward, we're now probably waiting on some sort of further stratospheric impact, otherwise this could end up being the most frustrating winter in a while - was it Feb 2012 there was an easterly that seemed to just stop at the border? So close, but so far. Still, least it looks like the north and east of the UK are in for some fun tomorrow and Saturday. Not jealous. Not jealous at all. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
    27 minutes ago, andymusic said:
    121903750_842539802982900_26408542326946
    M.FACEBOOK.COM

    The wintry theme looks set to continue for parts of the UK into next week 🌨️❄️ Here's the latest 10 Day Trend with a look at the weather a little...

     

    Looks like the north and east of the uk should do well from that forecast but not us unfortunately 

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL

    Fascinating today, we've got highs of 9 or 10c with rain and about 150 miles away they have highs of 1c and heavy snow. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly, South Wales. 175m ASL

    Have to admit that things look a bit underwhelming at the moment after the excitement of a few days, especially the further south and west you are in the UK (and that includes Wales). However, it's worth remembering that historically Wales has tended to benefit more than most other places from the scenarios being modelled.

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    Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL

    Quite glad of a snow break at the moment, and happy that other parts of uk getting snow.  We will no doubt get some again before winter is over.

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl

    Another polar vortex split today another vortex split n a week expect world weather to be crazy vortex smashed to pieces.

    Screenshot_20210114-192527_Chrome.jpg

    Edited by keithlucky
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    Posted
  • Location: Bedlinog
  • Location: Bedlinog

    Honestly I despair with some people. Just been reading in the moaning thread and the amount of 'winters over,  ' next winter for snow' is unreal. It will all probably change in a few days. How can you predict something that is constantly changing? One thing I have learnt the last few weeks is that reading the models is a complete waste of time and your life. People read what they want into them. Basically if its forecast over 5 days away it will probably change. 

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    7 hours ago, Coilspring said:

    Honestly I despair with some people. Just been reading in the moaning thread and the amount of 'winters over,  ' next winter for snow' is unreal. It will all probably change in a few days. How can you predict something that is constantly changing? One thing I have learnt the last few weeks is that reading the models is a complete waste of time and your life. People read what they want into them. Basically if its forecast over 5 days away it will probably change. 

    Nobody can predict no more than 3 days in advance unless  you got a big fat HP sitting on the UK.Even the met are saying may turn colder Thursday lol 

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    The models have been quite poor for our region over the last few days, but I still think we have a good chance of something like this around the last week of January/ first week of Feb

    GFS6Z.thumb.png.946cdb00fad42e0ac1b1174e176737f2.png

    GFS6ZDepth.thumb.png.1c91d73cc9b7ecd62d2f0f21e965470e.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea South West Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in winter Warm Sunny Summer
  • Location: Swansea South West Wales
    27 minutes ago, mattrout92 said:

    The models have been quite poor for our region over the last few days, but I still think we have a good chance of something like this around the last week of January/ first week of Feb

    GFS6Z.thumb.png.946cdb00fad42e0ac1b1174e176737f2.png

    GFS6ZDepth.thumb.png.1c91d73cc9b7ecd62d2f0f21e965470e.png

    Oh if only this was this weekend coming as it’s to far out to be sure but fingers crossed 🤞 

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    Posted
  • Location: Cwmbran - 667 ft asl
  • Location: Cwmbran - 667 ft asl

    Very cold today. Caught me by surprise as I haven’t been keeping up with the forecast lately. 
    Another notable factor is how calm it is, not a breath of wind. Been looking into the garden for a good 10 minutes (avoiding work) and, apart from the odd wren and black bird, not a thing has moved. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    37 minutes ago, Weather roller-coaster said:

    Do you think winter is going to be a nother bust again been for my local walk in the park daffodil are in bud already 

    can't say that - we have until march even april can produce notable snow events and usually the coldest month of all february to get through yet

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    1 minute ago, andymusic said:

    can't say that - we have until march even april can produce notable snow events and usually the coldest month of all february to get through yet

    That's true and we all remember that blizzard on 1st March.

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