Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[RhysWales]

1 minute ago, bradymk said:

Temp rising from -0.3c to 0.7c here now. Sod’s law the band will arrive now and it will be too warm after all!

Well something's just been falling here according to the car's windscreen... but I saw no flakes...!

[hmarkd1974]

2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Do you think it'll hit us?

Well it’s getting heavier here now

[Jayfromcardiff]

2 minutes ago, hmarkd1974 said:

Well it’s getting heavier here now

Yep and settling!

[Snowguy]

Snowing now getting heavier

now sleet

Edited January 2, 2021 by Snowguy

[bradymk]

8 minutes ago, Snowguy said:

Snowing now getting heavier

now sleet

Nice. Where are you snowguy? Still hopeful the next bit coming along will hit majority of Cardiff. 

Hope it stays intact though!

Edited January 2, 2021 by bradymk

[Snowguy]

3 minutes ago, bradymk said:

Nice. Where are you snowguy? Still hopeful the next bit coming along will hit majority of Cardiff. 

Hope it stays intact though!

In the North West of Cardiff, light snow here now, what are you thoughts on tonight?

[The4Seasons]

It looks to be petering out guys. Hopefully the heavier stuff can keep its intensity. However I think it will decay :-/. 

[RhysWales]

Right, you lot can have this bit currently over Monmouthshire, then Newport can have the lump over Birmingham later 

[Marcus_surfer]

Widespread ice here im suprised there are no ice warnings out after todays rain.

[RhysWales]

1 minute ago, The4Seasons said:

It looks to be petering out guys. Hopefully the heavier stuff can keep its intensity. However I think it will decay :-/. 

Think you may be right! 

[bradymk]

2 minutes ago, Snowguy said:

In the North West of Cardiff, light snow here now, what are you thoughts on tonight?

Not too sure - Hoping for a dusting. North and north west Cardiff most likely. Think our best chance in Cardiff is the band approaching Pontypool now. If that misses or peters out, then probably nothing as I don’t think the band behind will hit currently.

Although winds may change and change the trajectory of this as we go through the night. 

Hopefully plenty more chances in the next few weeks either way!

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just now, bradymk said:

Not too sure - Hoping for a dusting. North and north west Cardiff most likely. Think our best chance in Cardiff is the band approaching Pontypool now. If that misses or peters out, then probably nothing as I don’t think the band behind will hit currently.

Although winds may change and change the trajectory of this as we go through the night. 

Hopefully plenty more chances in the next few weeks either way!

I had a look online at the forecasted trajectory of the snow and it shows it going right over the SE.

[ancientsolar]

look at that long finger heading into Brecon intensifying,. quite a dumping up there,. and the trajectory seems to gradually turn it slightly more Southerly as it follows the curves of the wind

[RhysWales]

First few flakes here. Right on the edge of stuff a few miles north. Sooo close.

[A Frayed Knot]

Snowfall good here now with large flakes and getting heavier. 

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just about to hit here again.

Snowing again but not settling much.

Edited January 2, 2021 by Jayfromcardiff

[DeepSnow]

Its going further south than I expected, hopefully can get some of it here!!

[RhysWales]

Yep, now coming down steadily! Flakes getting bigger 

[bradymk]

8 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

I had a look online at the forecasted trajectory of the snow and it shows it going right over the SE.

I hope so. Just checked the models, the first 18z is out - icon has this for now.

10pm

And then this 1am

so perhaps still a decent chance later on too. Will see what Arpege Harmonie and GFS have.

[bradymk]

2 minutes ago, RhysWales said:

Yep, now coming down steadily! Flakes getting bigger 

That’s a good sign given your location! Hoping for the same here.

[Loadsa2000]

5 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Just about to hit here again.

next biggy about 11.30

[DeepSnow]

1C here with light sleet now, typical the temp had to rise lol need some heavy stuff for it to turn to snow this low down.

[danthetan]

If you look at the satellite for cloud you can see to my untrained eye a small low pressure system responsible for the precipitation moving in SW direction. The heavier stuff seems to be on the NW side of this. 

[bradymk]

Very Light rain here in Cardiff 1c. ARGH!

[RhysWales]

6 minutes ago, bradymk said:

That’s a good sign given your location! Hoping for the same here.

Yeah, was all snow  Eased off again but gave enough of a sprinkling to add to the rooftop frost!