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Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    Arperge shows this for tomorrow

    image.thumb.png.6726010a00f58771282185bd15dbd7f7.png

    Harmonie has the front dying out before it reaches most of us and 12Z UKV also keeps us dry tomorrow. Who knows what will happen but I'm not confident we will see much tomorrow, still time for a backtrack though.

    It's currently ECM, ICON and Arperge vs all the other models

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    12z Oh look it’s a beast,  Gonna hit the south east,  It’s a stonker, quite a feast If it hits the South east!    18z Ok look a Kent clipper It will be brutal, 

    Seems to be dying out here now. Definitely a nice surprise though. This last month has been incredibly difficult for me as my mum passed away two days before Christmas. So these snow events have reall

    It's coming down now.   VID_20201230_154431.mp4

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
    4 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

    Caerphilly in the warning for snow tomorrow but they ain't in the warning area strange? 

    Screenshot_20210212_155951_com.android.chrome.jpg

    maybe it's caerphilly as the "area" which spans up towards heads of the valleys

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    Posted
  • Location: Briton Ferry / Llansawel
  • Location: Briton Ferry / Llansawel

    Whatever happens , I am looking forward to the thrill of the chase and the radar watching!❄☃️🙏

    Edited by AlexThe Great
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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    2 minutes ago, AlexThe Great said:

    Whatever happens , I am looking forward to the thrill of the chase and the radar watching!❄☃️🙏

    Probably won't be much of a chase mate, more than likely a bit of light snow and that's it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Briton Ferry / Llansawel
  • Location: Briton Ferry / Llansawel
    4 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Probably won't be much of a chase mate, more than likely a bit of light snow and that's it.

    I'd be happy with any accumulation -however small, so my young kids can play in the garden. We shall see.🤷🏻‍♂️

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    Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan

    I fear it will be dry for most of us tomorrow but I’d love to be wrong 

    In the mean time I’ll share some pics of my parents house in N Kent who had around 8-9” of powder snow by yesterday morning 

    Today the snow has blown and cut off a couple of hamlets close by on the N Downs 

    FDDCDF37-1C95-42F2-A456-9CCE008D37E1.jpeg

    8D8BF981-6792-44C6-A041-38A9DE215137.jpeg

    8988FC40-DD49-4A5D-9882-0BEBE65A6F34.jpeg

    C703697D-5038-467F-8803-4630066F048C.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea
  • Weather Preferences: snow, snow and more snow
  • Location: Swansea

    i can't believe that after the present cold spell we're not going to get a snowy breakdown if only for a few hours before it turns back to the usual mild yuk we get all the time.  Just 1 or 2 days of snow would have been great but no, we can't even summon that here.  But look, once this piddly front passes through and introduces mild weather, look what we get.........tons of rain again.  God i hate the bloody gulf stream with a vengeance.

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    Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

    Hardest frozen ground in many a year as we ve got very little snow-covered which seems to be just evaporating in the extreme dry SE strong persistant winds.

    BItter bitter bitter.

    -3.0c already.

    Could be a little snow tomorrow but it will just dry out,air hasn t been this dry for ages.

    Edited by Snowyowl9
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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

    ECM an upgrade on this mornings run.

    Front comes in early to the south west (around 5am), light at first. It then moves in for most of Wales, reaching a line of Cardiff to Denbigh around 11am. Turns heavy in the west but also more marginal around 10am-midday. Heavy Precipitation then transfers east, crossing all areas but starting to ease as it does so. 

    Widely 1-3cm, perhaps a little more on higher ground in the mid and west. Hardly St Davids Day 2018, but still some snow to end the cold spell for most. 


    Very cold and very dry here again this evening. Temp -1c DP -6c, perfect conditions the last few days for allowing snow to settle quickly if it does happen and its not sleet!!

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    4 minutes ago, bradymk said:

    ECM an upgrade on this mornings run.

    Front comes in early to the south west (around 5am), light at first. It then moves in for most of Wales, reaching a line of Cardiff to Denbigh around 11am. Turns heavy in the west but also more marginal around 10am-midday. Heavy Precipitation then transfers east, crossing all areas but starting to ease as it does so. 

    Widely 1-3cm, perhaps a little more on higher ground in the mid and west. Hardly St Davids Day 2018, but still some snow to end the cold spell for most. 


    Very cold and very dry here again this evening. Temp -1c DP -6c, perfect conditions the last few days for allowing snow to settle quickly if it does happen and its not sleet!!

     

    Fingers crossed mate, any charts?

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    Slight improvement on the latest UKV compared to previously, but it's flip flopping up and down more than a yo-yo!

    image.thumb.png.c57129c8da63f504ed9c2cdc7abf3ff9.png

    Tomorrow will be a nowcast event

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
    32 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Fingers crossed mate, any charts?

    Here you go mate. Ye fingers crossed, as Matt says very much a nowcast event. The precip comes in earlier on ECM which I think would be better for us overall.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.
  • Location: Pembrokeshire / Carmarthenshire / Wales. 205m ASL.

    Edrych ymlaen...

    0B807C70-5EA7-44AB-A041-C5F9A32E6ACB.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    4 hours ago, mattrout92 said:

    Arperge shows this for tomorrow

    image.thumb.png.6726010a00f58771282185bd15dbd7f7.png

    Harmonie has the front dying out before it reaches most of us and 12Z UKV also keeps us dry tomorrow. Who knows what will happen but I'm not confident we will see much tomorrow, still time for a backtrack though.

    It's currently ECM, ICON and Arperge vs all the other models

    Gfs upgrade a wider band of snow

    Screenshot_20210212-202029_Chrome.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    1 hour ago, bradymk said:

     


    Very cold and very dry here again this evening. Temp -1c DP -6c, perfect conditions the last few days for allowing snow to settle quickly if it does happen and its not sleet!!

     

    Other side of the mountain

    Temp -1.8  DP -6.6 feels like -8 in other words freezing

    Edited by Loadsa2000
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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    4 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

    Gfs upgrade a wider band of snow

    Screenshot_20210212-202029_Chrome.jpg

    We need front to stall there.

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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    Just now, Ian Ballinger said:

    So I can expect something in Porthmadog 

    We all get snow

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

    Dewpoint now sunk to -8C. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    UKV 18Z looking like this for tomorrow, little bit better than the 15Z

    UKV.thumb.gif.57dcf5b039388f7dfb89f030020a65d6.gif

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    37 minutes ago, mattrout92 said:

    UKV 18Z looking like this for tomorrow, little bit better than the 15Z

    UKV.thumb.gif.57dcf5b039388f7dfb89f030020a65d6.gif

     

    I'm guessing accumulation is probably less than 1cm?

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