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Posted
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
    1 hour ago, blackrose73 said:

    I'm not normally this downbeat, but it has to be said, this cold spell has been pants for Wales! We may get a little snow on Saturday but probably not much before milder air floods in. Where I live it's been cold, windy, dry and not even that sunny. No frost or freezing fog because of the wind, which wasn't quite strong enough to blow many of those snow showers affecting the east of England this far west, just one or two on Monday. Altogether a bit of a yawn!!

    I didn't think much of this so called cold snap last weekend , i just couldn't see anything interesting happening. 

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    12z Oh look it’s a beast,  Gonna hit the south east,  It’s a stonker, quite a feast If it hits the South east!    18z Ok look a Kent clipper It will be brutal, 

    Seems to be dying out here now. Definitely a nice surprise though. This last month has been incredibly difficult for me as my mum passed away two days before Christmas. So these snow events have reall

    It's coming down now.   VID_20201230_154431.mp4

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    Posted
  • Location: Ogmore Vale (500ft / 150m)
  • Location: Ogmore Vale (500ft / 150m)
    17 minutes ago, Cymro said:

    Are you sure you haven’t had frosts? Remember the air is dry so might not be visible but that doesn’t mean it’s not below freezing. My garden has been frozen solid and hasn’t once thawed since Sunday. A noteable cold spell but not for snow but constant low temperatures. 

    This is pretty standard affair for easterlies in Wales IMO. But much better than rain and mild mush! 

    I didn't say temperatures were not below freezing. The humidity has been low as a result of low dew points, coupled with the wind has resulted in no noticeable frost, where I live at least. Plenty of ice around though. I agree with it being better than mild mush but it seemed likely we could have managed a snowy breakdown. Alas, not to be.

    Edited by blackrose73
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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
    13 hours ago, andymusic said:

    harmonie midday saturday

    image.thumb.png.4b6bda39a8ebfcde40ae13b477dc20b2.png

    One last hurrah from this cold spell.Front stalls.Snow lasts for a few hrs.Most of the heavier precipitation stays out west.Sweet spot anywhere in west Wales 2 to 4cms.Hope I'm wrong but High pressure weakening the front as it pushes east.

     

    Edited by keithlucky
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    Posted
  • Location: Briton Ferry / Llansawel
  • Location: Briton Ferry / Llansawel

    Just checked netweather radar upon waking up , had dark blue ppn over where i live for an hour and checked outside and it is bone dry ! The easterly winds Must be evaporating the snow.  Has Anybody else had any settling or seen any ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

    A Shower pushed in a few hours ago but evaporated before hitting the ground here

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    Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
    6 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Some very light snow here. BBC are avoiding showing tomorrow's weather forecast I wonder why.

    They did show earlier light snow and said 1-2cm across Wales tomorrow, then ITV wales showed the snow and said 3-4cm tomorrow, all depends how quickly it fizzles out against the cold.

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    11 minutes ago, DeepSnow said:

    They did show earlier light snow and said 1-2cm across Wales tomorrow, then ITV wales showed the snow and said 3-4cm tomorrow, all depends how quickly it fizzles out against the cold.

    The icon still looks decent this morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Nr. Caernarfon, NW Wales.
  • Location: Nr. Caernarfon, NW Wales.

    Yes the icon looks good and even has a weak L "a low" over N Wales on this chart!

     

    overview_20210212_00_037.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    3 minutes ago, Ian Price said:

    Yes the icon looks good and even has a weak L "a low" over N Wales on this chart!

     

    overview_20210212_00_037.jpg

    Quite a bit of heavy snow through the spine of Wales on that chart!

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

    Taken some snapshots of tomorrow from almost all the models. I would say overall an upgrade for tomorrow this morning compared to yesterday.

    All vary the position of precip and intensity. Really hoping something like ICON or Arome come off with a good snow event for many of us to finish the cold spell.

    ICON

    BEAE80A2-BACA-49DD-BEE3-B468116ED520.thumb.png.b5cdb61cc9b5899b8e133d3e7cee451b.png

     

    Arpege

    53D735F0-89DE-4B0C-99EC-2E41A79074AE.thumb.png.137681eb190876bb925cced2f0d71974.png
     

    HARMONIE

    CE42AB9C-D308-48E9-B64A-DABDBEB19EB8.thumb.png.9a34e3ca7d30cac62ff1583402683462.png

     

    AROME

    2D80AF57-F913-4FA9-AB9B-89D5C7288F33.thumb.png.64e21fd6ef3e30a5d76e31eb3e7c60c9.png

    GFS

    E1517474-4D8E-4C73-9AE2-83840315C468.thumb.gif.511ea5a15ec6a4525c508735ac0ff883.gif

    EURO4

    99589660-49B3-4676-9077-D36BD93D22F0.thumb.png.3b57b8a10586332c9e05643622dccaa5.png

    ECM

    us_model-en-330-0_modez_2021021200_36_4855_13.thumb.png.ae996d9602f3e13c50a3f3c369410953.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    Latest UKV for tomorrow:

    image.thumb.png.c10ee93075312323cd4f95663b102355.png.    image.thumb.png.7db37b3877652ad5f6173a8bab0977a8.png.      

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    Posted
  • Location: Newport South East Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards in winter Hot and sunny in summer...other is simply boring!!
  • Location: Newport South East Wales

    hopefully we continue to see upgrades through the next 12/24 hours ....:-)  been up and down this one! looks like 2-4 cm across majority of wales at the moment

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    Posted
  • Location: Newport South East Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards in winter Hot and sunny in summer...other is simply boring!!
  • Location: Newport South East Wales
    1 hour ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

    Quite a bit of heavy snow through the spine of Wales on that chart!

    5cm an hour more or less over us in this chart jay lol...cant see that being correct lol

    ps if there is any substance to it met office warnings should tell at 11am today!

    Edited by goosey007
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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow & Sunshine!
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL

    Theres certainly a swing in favour today of a period of falling snow for Wales tomorrow going by 0z data. My guess is if this is continued to be shown they may extend their warning further south and east across Wales....we will see.

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

    Forecast for me tomorrow...

    332288424_Screenshot2021-02-12at10_11_38.thumb.png.1adf64d15e0ba36baafb9286b09d743f.png

     

    Yes please!

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    Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
    22 minutes ago, mattrout92 said:

    Forecast for me tomorrow...

    332288424_Screenshot2021-02-12at10_11_38.thumb.png.1adf64d15e0ba36baafb9286b09d743f.png

     

    Yes please!

    Mine is similar, this reminds me of a few weeks ago when they backtracked to match the other models.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

    After a good 00z set, just to show that the uncertainty is still high for tomorrow, the short range models Arome, Arpege, Harmonie and ICON have all downgraded compared to 00z outputs. GFS not great too.

    All part of the rollercoaster as normal and I'm sure what actually happens will still be slightly different to the models anyway. UKV looks good though as per Matts post. ^

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow & Sunshine!
  • Location: Swansea - 60m ASL
    26 minutes ago, bradymk said:

    After a good 00z set, just to show that the uncertainty is still high for tomorrow, the short range models Arome, Arpege, Harmonie and ICON have all downgraded compared to 00z outputs. GFS not great too.

    All part of the rollercoaster as normal and I'm sure what actually happens will still be slightly different to the models anyway. UKV looks good though as per Matts post. ^

    Latest Met Office warnings are out, doesnt seem like they believe anything really accumilating on low ground in the south.

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
    6 minutes ago, SnowStorm(Jamie) said:

    Latest Met Office warnings are out, doesnt seem like they believe anything really accumilating on low ground in the south.

    Yeah a little bit underwhelming. But they did the same thing a couple of weeks ago only to change their mind and put a warning out on the day itself, so let's hope for a repeat performance!

    Edited by mattrout92
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    Posted
  • Location: gwynedd
  • Weather Preferences: Snow/blizzard
  • Location: gwynedd

    How likely is the snow to stick around coastal areas tomorrow? Or is it inland areas only that will see snow sticking?

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    Posted
  • Location: Port Talbot
  • Weather Preferences: Storms and snow.
  • Location: Port Talbot

    Come on weather gods, just one last hurrah. That's all we ask. Then less rain, that would be nice, eh. 

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      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-05-13 09:41:14 Valid: 13/05/2021 0600 - 14/05/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - WEDS 13TH MAY 2021 Click here for the full forecast

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