Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[Marcus_surfer]

Its quite rare to get such low temperatures combined with the strong winds here. We are at -1.9C with a 35-40mph gusty wind making it feel more like -10c.

Edited February 12, 2021 by Marcus_surfer

[andymusic]

[Gavla]

4 minutes ago, andymusic said:

I'd bank that, at least looking at that we would all see a period of snow!. How does the current radar compare to the charts...what's the best match so far?.

Fyi need to update my location I'm Neath/ Coventry (work)

Edited February 12, 2021 by Gavla

[andymusic]

7 minutes ago, Gavla said:

I'd bank that, at least looking at that we would all see a period of snow!. How does the current radar compare to the charts...what's the best match so far?.

Fyi need to update my location I'm Neath/ Coventry (work)

current radar looks ahead of the charts - might mean the front will get further east before fizzling out

[Gavla]

I thought it looked a bit earlier than expected. Just trying to figure out the track, maybe more marginal then?. Any radar links to see more of the precipitation out west of Ireland?

 

[bradymk]

ECM probably closest to current radar. Not surprising after the last event and it also is the model with it further east and arriving early morning (5/6am into south west)

[Jayfromcardiff]

5 minutes ago, bradymk said:

ECM probably closest to current radar. Not surprising after the last event and it also is the model with it further east and arriving early morning (5/6am into south west)

Hope it survives to give us heavy snow lol.

[AlexThe Great]

Looks as if it is beefing up nicely at the core,  if it survives and the rest develops in to heavier ppn is another thing......

[bradymk]

4 minutes ago, AlexThe Great said:

Looks as if it is beefing up nicely at the core,  if it survives and the rest develops in to heavier ppn is another thing......

Yep agree: Looking good at the moment but we know how quickly a front can fizzle out once it hits the cold. Fingers crossed! It’s faster then forecast at the moment. 

[AlexThe Great]

Wish I kept my mouth shut now, looks as if its losing intensity and heading more north westerly?? (Maybe pembroke will get this) , hopefully there is more progged ppn  further south destined for myself in central south wales

[bradymk]

ECM 18z is even faster bringing the front in. 4am to Pembrokeshire now. Arriving at Cardiff at 8am, previously 11am on 12z run...

[Panayiotis]

1 hour ago, AlexThe Great said:

Looks as if it is beefing up nicely at the core,  if it survives and the rest develops in to heavier ppn is another thing......

Models do have it intensifying when it gets over land so hopefully this happens when it gets here

[Jayfromcardiff]

Definitely arriving earlier, also doesn't appear to be weakening as much as I would have thought.

[Gez79]

Temp 0.5 , dew point -2.5 c wind 25mph , gusting 45 mph ! Waiting patiently for the front to push in 

[Jayfromcardiff]

25 minutes ago, Gez79 said:

Temp 0.5 , dew point -2.5 c wind 25mph , gusting 45 mph ! Waiting patiently for the front to push in 

Can't be far off, it's still -3 here.

Didn't expect this but there appears to be an upgrade!

Edited February 13, 2021 by Jayfromcardiff

[Fujita scale]

Coming in quicker though mild could push in quicker.... 

[Panayiotis]

It sure does look good, but the cold over Wales from around Swansea east can quickly deteriorate this front. Will be very curious to see how this pans out. 

[Jayfromcardiff]

We all know it's going to fizzle lol.

[blackrose73]

11 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

We all know it's going to fizzle lol.

If anything it's intensified a fair bit!

[Jayfromcardiff]

2 minutes ago, blackrose73 said:

If anything it's intensified a fair bit!

It does look too intense to fizzle out completely I have to admit.

[Lloyd1]

Heavy snow here now, powder aswell.

[JamesL]

14 minutes ago, Lloyd1 said:

Heavy snow here now, powder aswell.

Where is your location? You’ve not put it in your profile 

Thanks

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just now, JamesL said:

Where is your location? You’ve not put it in your profile 

Thanks

Do you think it'll fizzle out?

[Lloyd1]

Narberth Pembrokeshire 

[JamesL]

Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

Do you think it'll fizzle out?

It looks way too intense to fizzle 

Its also tilting NW-SE 

At this rate NI will struggle to get the snow and we will end up getting more