Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[goosey007]

2 minutes ago, mattrout92 said:

UKV Extended looking cracking this morning too, a few exciting days of model watching to go!

.    . .     

wow thats a big difference.....that says 15 cm  for my local, area  cant see it but plenty on the cards over next 10 days ...

 

keep the updates coming matt!! be interesting to see how this evolves

[mattrout92]

1 minute ago, Lloyd1 said:

After reviewing the chart types in some depth the ECMWF seems to be very consistent in forecasting this cold spell continuing, bringing a strong risk of heavy snow Thursday / Friday. The GFS has been all over the shop, last night it was giving me temps of around 11degress for weekend coming but has now changed it’s mind. Attached is the current ECMWF by the ‘windy’ app. 
 

 

Historically, the GFS always struggle to model the Atlantic against a block over the UK, it often doesn't get it nailed till 24-48 hours before the event. What is interesting though is there is beginning to be a consensus that the cold will last beyond this week, and the Atlantic will keep trying to win bringing repeating risks of snow to our area as it does so!

[goosey007]

BBC showing heavy snow and chance of showers all day .....but met office nothing for today .....who will be right as massive difference.

I think it will be bbc as it already snowing very very lightly now....going to be hit and miss ..some may get very lucky if they hit a big shower

 

 

 

Edited February 8, 2021 by goosey007

[mattrout92]

17 minutes ago, goosey007 said:

BBC showing heavy snow and chance of showers all day .....but met office nothing for today .....who will be right as massive difference.

I think it will be bbc as it already snowing very very lightly now....going to be hit and miss ..some may get very lucky if they hit a big shower

 

 

 

Same here, very odd! Would love it to be correct, but would be very surprised if it was too!

[Lloyd1]

This can't be right surely haha looking at the maps and video forecast I cant see any showers stretching down Pembrokeshire. 

Edited February 8, 2021 by Lloyd1

[Marcus_surfer]

Can report some snizzle is falling here

[Lloyd1]

This will be exciting whatever way it goes, the Met Office is going completely against BBC and other forecasts, predicting the Atlantic to smash its way through. Who will be the winner of this do you think?

 

Please bare in mind, I'm the furthest West so you guys will be more in with a shout of serious snow further East if temps lift slightly. 

[Cymro]

Can we all agree one thing? For the sake of sanity? Automated weather app forecasts are about as useful as Gareth Davies’ kick last minutes of yesterday’s game against ireland. Don’t worry about them they are hopeless! 

Edited February 8, 2021 by Cymro

[Marcus_surfer]

1 minute ago, Cymro said:

Can we all agree one thing? For the sake of sanity? Automated weather app forecasts are about as useful as Gareth Davies’ kick last minutes of yesterday’s game against ireland. Don’t worry about them they are hopeless! 

I  agree. My location is saying heavy snow showers on BBC app but its dry as a bone, there has been some very light snizzle from the thicker clouds that just went by

[Loadsa2000]

i can officially say i haven't got a clue what is going on with weather forecasts

[Pembroke Dangler]

These showers are looking stronger and more organised in the midlands could be right you know the Beeb app just a surprise of a few flakes will do until the main event later in the week 

[SnowStorm(Jamie)]

6 minutes ago, Cymro said:

Can we all agree one thing? For the sake of sanity? Automated weather app forecasts are about as useful as Gareth Davies’ kick last minutes of yesterday’s game against ireland. Don’t worry about them they are hopeless! 

Indeed, Id still be cautious of any front making it into Wales at this stage, the ECM and UKV do look promising at the moment. The apps chop and change like no tomorrow as they are fed new data. Liam Dutton did a good write up on his Facebook page with regards to this cold spell and he mentioned the weather apps.

Just recently had a few tiny flakes here.

 

[Hywel]

Few short snow flurries this morning, currently -2 and sunny

[keithlucky]

16 minutes ago, Cymro said:

Can we all agree one thing? For the sake of sanity? Automated weather app forecasts are about as useful as Gareth Davies’ kick last minutes of yesterday’s game against ireland. Don’t worry about them they are hopeless! 

What a tw____ nearly lost us the game.

[RhysWales]

Work in the centre of Newport right on the side of the Usk. Flakes blowing around all morning but turning into a more steady flurry now!

[soupsurfer7]

Flurries here now just outside Newport 

[shunthebartlett92]

Wouldnt get too excited by these showers folks. Not really settling here near birmingham The wind is blowing the snow around but if anything, we had a dusting this morning which has completely melted.

[Jayfromcardiff]

So snow is looking likely Thursday night?

[mattrout92]

13 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

So snow is looking likely Thursday night?

Looking good at the moment mate. ECM, GEM and UKV currently on board. Even the met office app says yes, although wouldn't take that too literally at the moment.

 

[snefnug]

Nice snowy walk with Sibyl the springer spaniel this morning in the Chestnut groves.  Biting wind mind and it took 40 minutes for my hands and feet to get warm.  Now a very teeny layer of bobble snow, and little floaty beads of snow.

[AlexThe Great]

Dandruff in the wind in briton ferry !

[mattrout92]

Light snow blowing in the wind here too

[DavidS]

Light snow / snow grains, blowing about in the wind. Not expecting anything more substantial  than this today.

[keithlucky]

41 minutes ago, RhysWales said:

Work in the centre of Newport right on the side of the Usk. Flakes blowing around all morning but turning into a more steady flurry now!

A bit of train forming could get a dusting.

[andymusic]

snowing here