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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion


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Posted
  • Location: Chepstow Wales
  • Location: Chepstow Wales

Wow wasn't expecting that, Stav doing the forecast just now and showed 2 possible snow events for Saturday and then Sunday and all of South East of Wales and Cardiff and further north are covered in snow. Keep an eye out for updates from the Met. 

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Posted
  • Location: Chepstow Wales
  • Location: Chepstow Wales
39 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Wow wasn't expecting that, Stav doing the forecast just now and showed 2 possible snow events for Saturday and then Sunday and all of South East of Wales and Cardiff and further north are covered in snow. Keep an eye out for updates from the Met. 

Sunday starts with a widespread frost. Much of the UK probably remains cold and dry but there will be wintry showers in the northeast. There is also the likelihood of outbreaks of rain in south western England and Wales which could be preceded by sleet or snow. 

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Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

12Z UKV pushes the front further into North Wales again on Saturday, so expect it is likely to be a bust for us in the South.

image.thumb.png.5680c13466fe5d05a7339d4f8c756d79.png

Maybe more luck on Sunday, will have to wait and see!

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Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly

The warning covers Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Merthyr Tydfil, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Powys, Rhondda Cynon Taf, Torfaen and Wrexham.

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Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
4 minutes ago, Loadsa2000 said:

The warning covers Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Merthyr Tydfil, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Powys, Rhondda Cynon Taf, Torfaen and Wrexham.

Can't see any snow myself unfortunately. Unless it trends South.

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Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire
  • Location: Pembrokeshire

I think Saturday will be just wet for anyone in the south/south west, maybe a little back edge snow in the SE as the cold air digs in behind.  Mid wales northwards and higher ground in the SE could do well.  

Then it all depends how much cold air we can get in place before any precipitation arrives on Sunday.  Better chances for those of us near the south coast I think, but will be interesting to see how much we can get before the inevitable change back to rain.

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Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
5 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Saturday and Sunday all due to change though, updates tomorrow for definite. 

Screenshot_20210128_160208_de.wetteronline.wetterapp.jpg

Screenshot_20210128_160225_de.wetteronline.wetterapp.jpg

Which model is this based on please? 

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Posted
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, wind and summer storms
  • Location: Cwmbach, Aberdare, Mid Glamorgan
Just now, Bartlett High said:

Acme model

Lol

 

so just purely made up? 

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Posted
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and very cold.
  • Location: porth (Welsh valleys)
5 minutes ago, Bartlett High said:

Acme model

Beacons and hills further north only i would say 

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Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
46 minutes ago, andymusic said:

image.thumb.png.8e06fbf651c42ae55c7b472646204968.png

image.thumb.png.46787c6e0abe5013d8f8d2a72f55cbf8.png

Exactly want we wanted.All we want now is stalling of the front. We don't want precipitation midday as forecasted we need a slowing down of the front.

,

Edited by keithlucky
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Posted
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
40 minutes ago, JamesL said:

Which model is this based on please? 

To me that looks like the 06 euro 4 model. I think its a 50-50 call for saturday but im not getting down if we miss it because we have so many more chances in the next few weeks.

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Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
16 minutes ago, andymusic said:

harmonie gets there further south in the end too for saturday

image.thumb.png.54db03bfe17c8c91838b4fc4eaa2a9d9.png

image.thumb.png.d50f4d94a6e09bb116f4066844f5cbc8.png

image.thumb.png.b5141751d7a052790f3ccf04ef7b3b1b.png

GFs shows front stalling ,so ifdown south rain/sleet should turn back to snow before sliding away. south east

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Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL

Recent meto video forecast goes for mid Wales to North for the snow and rain for South and west Wales but there is the possibility it may shift north or south but that's where they think it will end up at mo

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Posted
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in Winter / Thunderstorms + Heat in Summer
  • Location: Blackmill, S Wales

ECM has snow further South on Saturday:

image.thumb.png.843b8277a6f4da78f564770140e9de6a.pngimage.thumb.png.0826e21caa6e2c01e0d27d05c67fb353.png 

Sunday looking good too:

image.thumb.png.6c264b7dfb5609e194c04f1451f6a9aa.pngimage.thumb.png.d1c9686b33fde0caae3570fe680e9c73.png 

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