Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[andymusic]

Just now, keithlucky said:

If we had the heavy pp which was forecasted and is still forecasted we have a good covering.

sheffield and yorkshire have nicked it all lol

[dbaloo]

Missed out today in the South but I willing to sacrifice it for 3 ft of battle ground snow at the start of next week

[andymusic]

1 minute ago, dbaloo said:

Missed out today in the South but I willing to sacrifice it for 3 ft of battle ground snow at the start of next week

depends where the battle ends up - but yes 3ft plus is much better than a sprinkling

[helly in her wellies]

Had to pop out earlier, plenty of snow coming down between Llyn Ogwen and Capel Curig...shame we don't have the same at home! 

[keithlucky]

31 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

If we had the heavy pp which was forecasted and is still forecasted we have a good covering.

What really weird the pp isn't moving just sitting there ,or is the radar bust just lol.

Edited January 8, 2021 by keithlucky

[andymusic]

gfs parallel giving wales the 30cms we all deserve

[Cymro]

I think today is case in point that the 'Harmonie Snow Predictions' for Wales are at best Cachu Tarw! We woke up to a dusting and have had some light flurries, but if you would believe the harmonie, we were actually least favoured in West Wales to have anything, yet it looks to me that West Wales did far better than most of South Wales for precipitation. 

The harmonie model has burnt my hopes far too many times for me to even consider taking it seriously any more. 

Ymlaen at Narnia Wythnos nesaf - falch o weld y Gogledd yn cael tipyn o eira cofiwch!

Edited January 8, 2021 by Cymro

[andymusic]

10 minutes ago, Cymro said:

I think today is case in point that the 'Harmonie Snow Predictions' for Wales are at best Cachu Tarw! We woke up to a dusting and have had some light flurries, but if you would believe the harmonie, we were actually least favoured in West Wales to have anything, yet it looks to me that West Wales did far better than most of South Wales for precipitation. 

The harmonie model has burnt my hopes far to many times for me to even consider taking it seriously any more. 

wasn't just the harmonie that got it wrong - the bbc and meto screwed up too - so something prevented all that potential wintriness from moving south west as it should have

Edited January 8, 2021 by andymusic

[dbaloo]

18 minutes ago, andymusic said:

gfs parallel giving wales the 30cms we all deserve

See I said it was coming

[Cymro]

14 minutes ago, andymusic said:

wasn't just the harmonie that got it wrong - the bbc and meto screwed up too - so something prevented all that potential wintriness from moving south west as it should have

That's not strictly true of the Met Office to be fair they haven't made much of this snow at all in forecast and the warning for most of Wales away from high ground was for ice, so I think the metoffice were pretty close to the mark. Agree with the BBC still indicating snow moving south. 

It's currently snizzling here but nothing more than that. 

[freeze for all]

32 minutes ago, Cymro said:

That's not strictly true of the Met Office to be fair they haven't made much of this snow at all in forecast and the warning for most of Wales away from high ground was for ice, so I think the metoffice were pretty close to the mark. Agree with the BBC still indicating snow moving south. 

It's currently snizzling here but nothing more than that. 

Totally agree with u I think meto have been spot on for wales, if u also read the matrix on the warnings that came out they were all unlikely or low impact which has been right. What I will say about this cold spell tho is it came in like a lamb, left like a lamb and didn't change in the middle either lol. We had a few clear days which was excellent but most of it has been grey skies and temps around 3-4c so tbh I'm glad to c the back of it and hope for something better further on down the line

Edited January 8, 2021 by freeze for all

[keithlucky]

18 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

Totally agree with u I think meto have been spot on for wales, if u also read the matrix on the warnings that came out they were all unlikely or low impact which has been right. What I will say about this cold spell tho is it came in like a lamb, left like a lamb and didn't change in the middle either lol. We had a few clear days which was excellent but most of it has been grey skies and temps around 3-4c so tbh I'm glad to c the back of it and hope for something better further on down the line

You can,t have there app lol. Go to there precipitation in your area, ,or go to other threads precipitation app is useless.

Edited January 8, 2021 by keithlucky

[PsychedelicTony]

Snowed on and off since lunchtime here. Some heavyish. Total accumulation? 0.0cm

[Gee]

Onto the next chance which is building, but again 10 plus days away so not holding out for much...but hoping for a good few inches! Will be about time for us all.

10 days of snow dances coming up.

If by the end of January nothing comes, then on a personal note I will be looking forwards more than 10 days away, to a warm spring and hot summer. With it the end of lockdown and BBQs a plenty with friends and family we haven't been able to see for pretty much a year. 

[freeze for all]

7 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

You can,t have there app lol. Go to there precipitation in your area, ,or go to other threads precipitation app is useless.

I have got the app but never take notice of the precipitation anymore, none of them r any good but the best I find is xc weather but that has its moments as well. Its all live radar for me

[suxer]

1 hour ago, andymusic said:

wasn't just the harmonie that got it wrong - the bbc and meto screwed up too - so something prevented all that potential wintriness from moving south west as it should have

That's a good point what prevented it from moving south???

[Cymro]

31 minutes ago, suxer said:

That's a good point what prevented it from moving south???

More than likely the topography of Wales sucking all energy out of the front and pressure high to the south west. 

[Hywel]

Snow falling most of the day here, its pretty deep now added to yesterdays and last weeks snow falls

[Bartlett High]

The valleys 2010....be nice to see scenes like this again......maybe soon?

[Cwmbran Eira]

This would do nicely 

Edited January 8, 2021 by Cwmbran Eira

[Cwmbran Eira]

11 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

GFS P snow depths Weds AM

From a fairly ordinary chart 

 

[Coilspring]

2 hours ago, Cwmbran Eira said:

 

Is that Wednesday in 10 days time? Everything is in 10 days time. Never materialises though.

[Cwmbran Eira]

6 hours ago, Coilspring said:

Is that Wednesday in 10 days time? Everything is in 10 days time. Never materialises though.

Ye, will probably be cold rain. 

[valley blue_501]

7 hours ago, Coilspring said:

Is that Wednesday in 10 days time? Everything is in 10 days time. Never materialises though.

No that's Wednesday 13th January.... the date is on the chart. 

Very unlikely to happen even so.

Looks wet and a slight warm up for mid week. With cold air close by to our north east.

[beatpete]

Naomi Claire Williams

WWW.FACEBOOK.COM

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The Inland sea in valley, never seen or heard anything like it

Mad..