Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[freeze for all]

42 minutes ago, Loadsa2000 said:

I always thought it was going to be marginal this week. According to yesterdays met forecast it was a dry day and night but ended up with a covering. Compare the met and BBC forecasts and look out of the window and you can get three different outlooks.

Its next weekend that its all supposed to happen

I know they are not that accurate but gives you an idea what could happen from Thursday from another source

This is the week forecast from the met office for wales

Wales weather forecast

Sunday 3 Jan - Thursday 7 Jan

Headline:

Cloudy with bright spells and showers. Breezy and cold.

Today:

Cloudy day with a few bright spells for the southwestern areas. Scattered showers, especially in eastern and northern parts of the country will ease a little during the afternoon. Feeling cold. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Tonight:

Remaining cloudy into the evening with a few showers across eastern parts of the country. Patchy frost and risk of ice on higher ground overnight. Remains cold, turning breezy. Minimum temperature -2 °C.

Monday:

A rather dry and cloudy start with some sunny breaks, especially in west. Showers arriving in the east through the morning and then spreading south later. Moderate wind easing overnight. Maximum temperature 7 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Mostly dry and largely cloudy on Tuesday and Wednesday, but with sunny spells and a few showers. Turning wet with hill snow on Thursday. Remaining cold throughout.

Meto forecast, So the same as every other winter but just from the NE not west, wet miserable and cold ish

 

Edited January 3, 2021 by freeze for all

[keithlucky]

Nice gfs chart for next Friday Lp moves south out of Iceland driving cold air south across UK.Atm Iceland is 3 c day temperatures by Thursday -4 c ,so no marginal snow.worth Watching.

[Coilspring]

Had a little covering of snow last night, enough to throw snowballs with the dogs at 3am lol. Hope more to come. 

[SLAMMER]

1 hour ago, Coilspring said:

Had a little covering of snow last night, enough to throw snowballs with the dogs at 3am lol. Hope more to come. 

Dedication

[foggybrynna]

Hiya all is the beast from the east off

[freeze for all]

13 minutes ago, foggybrynna said:

Hiya all is the beast from the east off

In the near future yes, its more of a wimper than a beast but after that who knows, all depends what happens with the ssw

[Ian Ballinger]

27 minutes ago, foggybrynna said:

Hiya all is the beast from the east off

More of a cat than a beast

[Bartlett High]

Mostly dry and chilly week ahead with overnight frosts ......fine by me.

[A Frayed Knot]

Cold until the weekend with no snow, milder next week going by the latest weather on BBC.

[dbaloo]

4 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Cold until the weekend with no snow, milder next week going by the latest weather on BBC.

Best to take it all with a pinch of salt/grit at the moment...effects of the ssw could go either way..it may plunge us into narnia or it may lead to milder conditions

[Loadsa2000]

44 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Cold until the weekend with no snow, milder next week going by the latest weather on BBC.

and here's the met office for wales

Monday 4 Jan - Friday 8 Jan

Headline:

Cold and often cloudy with showers, some wintry.

Today:

Generally cloudy with some scattered showers throughout the day, these wintry at times bringing some snow, mainly over the hills. The far southwest of the country is likely to see some sunshine during the morning. Feeling cold with brisk winds. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Tonight:

Similar conditions continuing as it remains cloudy and windy across the country, with scattered showers. Clear spells possible in the south during the evening. Feeling colder than of late. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Tuesday:

Dry and cloudy for most, with the odd shower possible in some areas. The best of any sunny spells will be in the south. Breezy and feeling cold. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Mostly dry on Wednesday, with some showers and light winds. Some wet and possibly wintry weather on Thursday. Largely dry on Friday with possible ice and freezing fog. Remaining cold.

[Loadsa2000]

And the UK following above

Saturday 9 Jan - Monday 18 Jan

Showers will affect the southeast initially on Saturday with light rain and hill snow moving into northern Scotland through the day, but most areas should stay dry with some sunny spells as any patchy freezing fog slowly clears. Confidence is low from here on, but a shift to more unsettled conditions is likely through Sunday and into next week as high pressure moves to the southwest of the UK and allows periods of wetter and at times milder weather to move in. Intermittent periods of rainfall and strong winds are expected, especially in the north of the country, though colder spells are likely between these. Southern areas will see more settled conditions, staying drier, clearer and calmer. Temperatures will probably be slightly below average overall, with frosts possible in places.

Covers all bases so they haven't really got a clue

[Loadsa2000]

1 hour ago, Loadsa2000 said:

and here's the met office for wales

Monday 4 Jan - Friday 8 Jan

Headline:

Cold and often cloudy with showers, some wintry.

Today:

Generally cloudy with some scattered showers throughout the day, these wintry at times bringing some snow, mainly over the hills. The far southwest of the country is likely to see some sunshine during the morning. Feeling cold with brisk winds. Maximum temperature 6 °C.

Tonight:

Similar conditions continuing as it remains cloudy and windy across the country, with scattered showers. Clear spells possible in the south during the evening. Feeling colder than of late. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Tuesday:

Dry and cloudy for most, with the odd shower possible in some areas. The best of any sunny spells will be in the south. Breezy and feeling cold. Maximum temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Mostly dry on Wednesday, with some showers and light winds. Some wet and possibly wintry weather on Thursday. Largely dry on Friday with possible ice and freezing fog. Remaining cold.

one hr later

Monday 4 Jan - Friday 8 Jan

Headline:

Cold overnight, with wintry showers and icy conditions.

This Evening and Tonight:

Staying windy and cloudy across much of the country tonight, though clear spells are possible at times. Scattered wintry showers will affect most areas through the night. Cold, with widespread frost and a risk of icy conditions. Minimum temperature -3 °C.

Tuesday:

Dry and cloudy for most, with the odd shower possible in some areas. The best of any sunny spells will be in the southwest. Breezy and feeling cold. Maximum temperature 4 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Mostly dry on Wednesday, with some showers in the north. A very cold start on Thursday, then dry and bright before evening rain. Largely dry on Friday, with icy conditions.

This is less than 5 days and it changes

Edited January 4, 2021 by Loadsa2000

[Loadsa2000]

4 minutes ago, Loadsa2000 said:

I know not accurate but this is what GFS showing Friday

 

[A Frayed Knot]

1 hour ago, Loadsa2000 said:

 

Believe it when I see it mate, be nice if it did happen. 

Let's just wait and see. HIGH HOPES Loved that programme. 

[Pembroke Dangler]

1 hour ago, Loadsa2000 said:

 

Now wouldn’t that be something huh the Swansea Snow shield moving north over Brecon allowing the snow to batter us here in the snow desert lol

[andymusic]

3 hours ago, Loadsa2000 said:

 

love to see this happen but Dancing Derek has given nothing for friday as yet - meto are saying the same also - we'll have to see if gfs have this right come friday

Edited January 4, 2021 by andymusic

[Fujita scale]

2 minutes ago, andymusic said:

love to see this happen but Dancing Derek has given nothing for friday as yet - meto are saying the same also - we'll have to see if gfs have this right come friday

Andy, GFS, we know it is not going to happen

JK

[Jayfromcardiff]

Just now, andymusic said:

love to see this happen but Dancing Derek has given nothing for friday as yet

There's a couple of people next door and they're part of the Mormon community, one from Canada and another from the US. The Canadian was explaining the blizzard they had years ago when the snow was higher than the cars lol and that this weather isn't even cold to him.

[andymusic]

1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

There's a couple of people next door and they're part of the Mormon community, one from Canada and another from the US. The Canadian was explaining the blizzard they had years ago when the snow was higher than the cars lol and that this weather isn't even cold to him.

feels cold enough up here Jay - defo nip in the air

[LJ1224]

Just now, andymusic said:

feels cold enough up here Jay - defo nip in the air

Absolutely freezing tonight. Definitely feels the coldest it's been, but the wind chill could be a factor. It's not particularly windy, but as you say, there's definitely a nip.

[dbaloo]

I think surprises aplenty over the next few weeks...If you have studied the mod thread today then compared to yesterday most of the toys have been put back in the pram and they are playing nicely again so I always take that as a sign that things are heading the right way again

[andymusic]

3 minutes ago, dbaloo said:

I think surprises aplenty over the next few weeks...If you have studied the mod thread today then compared to yesterday most of the toys have been put back in the pram and they are playing nicely again so I always take that as a sign that things are heading the right way again

just waiting for the effects of this ssw to be shown fully in the models lol

[Coilspring]

48 minutes ago, dbaloo said:

I think surprises aplenty over the next few weeks...If you have studied the mod thread today then compared to yesterday most of the toys have been put back in the pram and they are playing nicely again so I always take that as a sign that things are heading the right way again

There's been some right old fisticuffs in there last day or so.

[keithlucky]

5 hours ago, Loadsa2000 said:

 

Interesting fax chart coming out Wednesday.There's a cink  the front forming on the front  reinvigorating it .Lots of snow over Wales possible Friday.With -10 Uppers and with North Atlantic cooling down fast nothing marginal in this event. Last week we were unlucky Iceland was +3 so we had not cold air to draw on,Friday temp in Iceland -4.c day time max.

Edited January 4, 2021 by keithlucky