Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[LJ1224]

I suppose I should be used to the disappointment and little chance of snow living in Port Talbot. Hope some of you get some snow soon!

[Cymro]

RHYBUDD / WARNING

Cadwch bant o'r 'Model Thread'

Keep away from the 'Model Thread' 

 

Mae'n llwm iawn yno ar hyn o bryd! 

It's very bleak in there at the moment! 

[LJ1224]

 

[beatpete]

This evenings view on my local walk. Whilst the Swansea snow shield is holding strong, further up the Swansea Valley the higher parts have plenty of snow. I'd image it will be topped up over the coming days even if tomorrows system misses us.

[andymusic]

4 minutes ago, beatpete said:

This evenings view on my local walk. Whilst the Swansea snow shield is holding strong, further up the Swansea Valley the higher parts have plenty of snow. I'd image it will be topped up over the coming days even if tomorrows system misses us.

what a cracking landscape pic - well done mate

snow was probably from the dangler last night

Edited December 29, 2020 by andymusic

[keithlucky]

46 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:

Looks like that north west area of Wales near Bangor will get pasted the next few hours going by radar. Enjoy. 

Streamer building lets hope somewhere in Wales gets some snow.

[Marcus_surfer]

More rain which we don't need. Flooding might become an issue if these streamers keep coming 

[Pembroke Dangler]

2 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:

More rain which we don't need. Flooding might become an issue if these streamers keep coming 

Yeah I think the Irish Sea needs to drop another few degrees which since last week has, it was 10oC now it’s down to 9oC we need to shave another couple of degrees off it down to about 7 this will do two things 1. It will stop the colder air getting modified as it comes in from the north and 2. Less precipitation but with the right depth of cold still enough to produce lake effect snow. We can but dream lol 

[dyl232]

1 hour ago, Deep Snow please said:

Looks like that north west area of Wales near Bangor will get pasted the next few hours going by radar. Enjoy. 

I can confirm it’s just rain

[keithlucky]

1 hour ago, Marcus_surfer said:

More rain which we don't need. Flooding might become an issue if these streamers keep coming 

Streamer developing more pp than yesterday.

Edited December 29, 2020 by keithlucky

[Snowguy]

Is there any chance of these showers reaching the valleys/ Cardiff area?

I don’t know why it’s attached  what keithlucky said sorry

1 hour ago, keithlucky said:

 

[freeze for all]

3 minutes ago, Snowguy said:

Is there any chance of these showers reaching the valleys/ Cardiff area?

I don’t know why it’s attached  what keithlucky said sorry

 

A slight chance but hopefully it won't cos we don't need anymore rain 

[Snowguy]

2 minutes ago, freeze for all said:

A slight chance but hopefully it won't cos we don't need anymore rain 

True, do you fancy our chances of snow in South Wales over the coming days? Thursday is showing some potential.

[freeze for all]

2 minutes ago, Snowguy said:

True, do you fancy our chances of snow in South Wales over the coming days? Thursday is showing some potential.

I honestly don't c anything worth getting excited about this week cos temps are to high, after that is anyone's guess 

[Cymro]

Lovely, beautiful, heavy...Sleet for the third night in a row...ahhh! Sigh! 

[dyl232]

If only

 

Edited December 30, 2020 by dyl232

[Jackfrost]

Dare I say it, that system might be far enough north over Ireland for it to bring light and patchy precipitation to South Wales, south of around the Heads of the Valleys, if it continues on its current path. Still touch-and-go, though.

Edited December 30, 2020 by Jackfrost

[Jayfromcardiff]

59 minutes ago, Jackfrost said:

Dare I say it, that system might be far enough north over Ireland for it to bring light and patchy precipitation to South Wales, south of around the Heads of the Valleys, if it continues on its current path. Still touch-and-go, though.

Won't it be rain anyway? We know the drill by now haha.

[Jackfrost]

12 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Won't it be rain anyway? We know the drill by now haha.

Yes, or a "wintry mix", a phrase I've come to hate this week. Hah

It'll be worth watching the radar to see how accurate the Met Office and BBC forecasts have been though, and I suppose it's not totally, 100% out of the question that we get a small surprise tomorrow. That happened on Feb. 9th, 2007 when a system that was due to go through the English Channel came quite a bit further north than forecast. There'd been heavy snow the day before and that second system brought a second consecutive day of heavy, settling snow. Not a bad event at all in the middle of what was a very mild and wet winter.

Edited December 30, 2020 by Jackfrost

[Jayfromcardiff]

3 minutes ago, Jackfrost said:

Yes, or a "wintry mix", a phrase I've come to hate this week. Hah

It'll be worth watching the radar to see how accurate the Met Office and BBC forecasts have been though, and I suppose it's not totally, 100% out of the question that we get a small surprise tomorrow.

That's true, the models still haven't pinned this one down 100%. Any idea when it'll arrive in Wales if it does at all?

[Jackfrost]

1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

That's true, the models still haven't pinned this one down 100%. Any idea when it'll arrive in Wales if it does at all?

Well, it's moving much slower than it would in a zonal set-up due to it skirting around the edge of a cold block, so if anything were to come of it I wouldn't expect it to make its presence felt any earlier than 10-11. Definitely not worth staying up the entire night for!

[PsychedelicTony]

Its all sleet, hail and mostly RAIN here near Rhyl. 

Car temp says 1c

Edited December 30, 2020 by PsychedelicTony
Add temp

[A Frayed Knot]

Temps haven't fallen enough in low parts of South Wales to get snow we need dew points lower to be honest and a kick up the weeble with some wind. - 0.1 here and for some reason my bin is frozen and my car on the drive is totaly frozen over and cannot open the door. Let's get the cold in and then the fun begins. It's going to go colder for deafinate.. If not bring on a lovely spring and hot summer. My ideal love of the weather in the UK

[Jackfrost]

12 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Temps haven't fallen enough in low parts of South Wales to get snow we need dew points lower to be honest and a kick up the weeble with some wind. - 0.1 here and for some reason my bin is frozen and my car on the drive is totaly frozen over and cannot open the door. Let's get the cold in and then the fun begins. It's going to go colder for deafinate.. If not bring on a lovely spring and hot summer. My ideal love of the weather in the UK

Wet bulbs are still too high in Wales, I'm guessing because we're on the western edge of the low pressure (that was once Storm Bella) still influencing our weather.

I said earlier I'd make a basic map of what can be expected tomorrow, based on the assumption that there's any precipitation around to begin with. Here it is, and even this might be a bit too optimistic. (The line across the Beacons is the northern extent, and sorry to anyone further west - I'm not familiar enough with the geography over there to make a prediction, but my general guess would be mostly rain):

Edited December 30, 2020 by Jackfrost

[Cymro]

Icy out there this morning. Definitely is getting colder now! It’s weird as the temps here haven’t passed 4 degrees since Sunday Morning but the showers have kept low minima at bay, not this morning though, hopefully things will improve from now on. 

Edited December 30, 2020 by Cymro