Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

[keithlucky]

32 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Another close but no cigar can this one deliver weird right on the edge.Snow seems to occur in heavier bursts .Seems the heavy precipitation turns to snow around 3am then turns back to sleet lol.We need to keep an eye on Ireland tonight to see what type ofl.pp They get tonight. To see if they get snow and this front got know warm sector as it comes into Wales tonight.

Snowing in southern ireland now.A lot of precipitation heading out way,

[Jayfromcardiff]

3 minutes ago, keithlucky said:

Snowing in southern ireland now.A lot of precipitation heading out way,

Thoughts on Wednesday's warning? Are the met office exaggerating?

[Jackfrost]

Just now, Jayfromcardiff said:

I won't be staying up that's for sure.

Come on, I think we both know you will. 

Just reminiscing over past snow events, and does anybody remember the late season snowfall of March 11th, 2004? It was the day of the Madrid train bombings, if that jogs anyone's memories. It's one that never gets mentioned these days. I was 13 at the time but I'd just started taking basic weather records, and I recorded 17 cm of level snow.

[dyl232]

Knew we wouldn’t get anything in north wales. It’s just aint cold enough yet for it. 

[Jayfromcardiff]

1 minute ago, Jackfrost said:

Come on, I think we both know you will. 

Just reminiscing over past snow events, and does anybody remember the late season snowfall of March 11th, 2004? It was the day of the Madrid train bombings, if that jogs anyone's memories. It's one that never gets mentioned these days. I was 13 at the time but I'd just started taking basic weather records, and I recorded 17 cm of level snow.

Depends how late it's arriving haha, didn't get enough sleep last night but luckily I'm off work all week.

I don't remember that snow event to be honest, I was 11 at the time.

 

I can't find anything to support Wednesday's warning.

[keithlucky]

1 minute ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Thoughts on Wednesday's warning? Are the met office exaggerating?

As I earlier sleet to snow to sleet winds have now switched to Northerly slightly colder direction Watch Ireland tonight Jay to see what type of Pp they get Jay.

[Jackfrost]

8 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Thoughts on Wednesday's warning? Are the met office exaggerating?

I don't think they're exaggerating so much as covering themselves. Most of the output we've seen suggests fairly light precipitation not getting that far north at all, so for them to issue a warning covering an area stretching from Cornwall to Norfolk and Powys and Kent, and mentioning the possibility of 10-15 cm in places, suggests they might be privy to data that we aren't just yet.

[Jayfromcardiff]

20 minutes ago, Jackfrost said:

I don't think they're exaggerating so much as covering themselves. Most of the output we've seen suggests fairly light precipitation not getting that far north at all, so for them to issue a warning covering an area stretching from Cornwall to Norfolk and Powys and Kent, and mentioning the possibility of 10-15 cm in places, suggests they might be privy to data that we aren't just yet.

Fingers crossed things firm up later tonight. Like you say maybe they're expecting a more substantial area of snow.

 

I've just had a look on the BBC website and it looks like an area of snow will hit midday Wednesday and last most of the day.

Edited December 28, 2020 by Jayfromcardiff

[freeze for all]

42 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:

Thoughts on Wednesday's warning? Are the met office exaggerating?

I think its more of an ice warning issue than snow warning  

It just doesn't feel cold out

Edited December 28, 2020 by freeze for all

[legritter]

24 minutes ago, Jackfrost said:

I don't think they're exaggerating so much as covering themselves. Most of the output we've seen suggests fairly light precipitation not getting that far north at all, so for them to issue a warning covering an area stretching from Cornwall to Norfolk and Powys and Kent, and mentioning the possibility of 10-15 cm in places, suggests they might be privy to data that we aren't just yet.

Hi to the gang in wales  ,yes this warning certainly came out of the blue. Latest fax chart for wednesday as updated , if this feature takes the path which is predicted wales and my area could see a reasonable layer of snow .But at 36/48 hrs out i will wait till tonights fax updates ,best of luck wales ,cheers legritter, winscombe   west mendip .

[andymusic]

latest harmonie suggests precip over ireland on wednesday morning - moving in our direction possibly?

 

 

[Pembroke Dangler]

33 minutes ago, andymusic said:

latest harmonie suggests precip over ireland on wednesday morning - moving in our direction possibly?

 

 

Looks likely to be an unclosed shortwave heading in from the north west sliding in 

[andymusic]

Brecon Beacon mountain forecasts has snow/sleet moving back in for tonight around 8pm/9pm - euro 4 has snow for tomorrow morning through Wales north to south - and the West Wales dangler seems to be busy throughout the coming days on a lot of output - so lots to keep us busy with for now plus the warning from the meto for wednesday 10am to thursday 6am for snow and then ice

Edited December 28, 2020 by andymusic

[freeze for all]

Snow/sleet at beacons doesn't bold well for the rest of us so cold rain it is 

[andymusic]

tuesday morning

[goosey007]

3 minutes ago, andymusic said:

tuesday morning

Hi Andy is this moving south ? Look to be in business with this 

 

[A Frayed Knot]

Interesting, let's see. As it's going to be a cold week we are bound to see some potential at some point. Last night was a massive disappointment in all terms especially with that yellow warning. 

[andymusic]

1 minute ago, goosey007 said:

Hi Andy is this moving south ? Look to be in business with this 

 

yes i think so - euro 4 has something similar moving north to south through Wales - good time too

[snefnug]

A slight dusting in the valley, but a fair bit over the tops this morning.  

[andymusic]

2 minutes ago, snefnug said:

A slight dusting in the valley, but a fair bit over the tops this morning.  

lovely pics - I'm sure with current model output a lot of us if not all will get to see scenes like that once again - after the last major fall being Feb/March 2018

[goosey007]

2 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

Interesting, let's see. As it's going to be a cold week we are bound to see some potential at some point. Last night was a massive disappointment in all terms especially with that yellow warning. 

Yes it was I live near risca and only light rain but looked on the cards to be fair.....my partners family in brynmawr had a few centimetres......

[andymusic]

how's that for a double dangler in west wales right now on radar

gfs 12z picking up tonight/tomorrow's snow

could be wed meto warning gfs has picked up on now

Edited December 28, 2020 by andymusic

[DeepSnow]

3 minutes ago, andymusic said:

how's that for a double dangler in west wales right now on radar

gfs 12z picking up tonight/tomorrow's snow

could be wed meto warning gfs has picked up on now

Fingers crossed a lot more of us will be able to join in on the fun with this one

[keithlucky]

4 minutes ago, andymusic said:

how's that for a double dangler in west wales right now on radar

gfs 12z picking up tonight/tomorrow's snow

could be wed meto warning gfs has picked up on now

Yes streamer developing nicely could be interesting slowly drifting east.

[RhysWales]

4 hours ago, Jackfrost said:

Come on, I think we both know you will. 

Just reminiscing over past snow events, and does anybody remember the late season snowfall of March 11th, 2004? It was the day of the Madrid train bombings, if that jogs anyone's memories. It's one that never gets mentioned these days. I was 13 at the time but I'd just started taking basic weather records, and I recorded 17 cm of level snow.

Remember this well! Was my GCSE year and yielded my first snow day of my comp years! Really intense snowfall and would have left us buried if it had gone on much longer.

 

Thursday afternoon IIRC and we had a virtually identical event exactly two weeks later. Then 20c or something a day or two after it! After a few years of virtually no snow too.