Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Autumn 2020 onwards


Paul

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256
3 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

You seem confident using the term Snow showers??

I would say dewpoints are likely to be too high for much of the eastern parts of the country tomorrow. Not so on Monday, but then there's an absence of ppn... 

  • Like 8
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
22 minutes ago, JoeShmoe said:

Yeah will be a real shame if we are on the wrong side of marginal but it’s usually -10c uppers needed here when it’s an easterly but we can hope ! Especially as looks like potential for lots of showers / streamers next few days ..

I stayed along Pilrig St for many years and my observation of the necessary deep cold for easterlies to produce the goods was an 850hpa temp of -8°C or below. Bit more leaway maybe!

  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
21 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

The exact location of the showers not worth taking as 100%, likely to change from run to run but latest wrf nmm 2km (likely that front on the fax chart) as winds start to turn to the east brings snow showers in from early morning image.thumb.gif.fdb40c932b54405cc6bad00dd2228760.gif 

✅ list

temperatures will be near freezing like recent days

well in the sub 528 dam air 

850 hpa around -6 getting colder from time to time 

Again the only thing that will likely alter the precip now and again will be the dewpoints which at worst look to be +3 in the North Sea but it’s whether those will come on land the majority of the time ?‍♂️ And any heavier precip will help bring the dewpoint down so I don’t think it will be a huge issue.

I can guarantee it rains in my location..

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Home: Glenrothes, Fife Work: St Andrews, Fife
  • Location: Home: Glenrothes, Fife Work: St Andrews, Fife

Thanks @CatchMyDrift I remember living in Toronto where 540 dam was a reasonable indicator of snow. Here I’m looking for sub 520 on the Fife coast (depending on the set up of course). The joys of the maritime climate. 

Anyway as others have said not cold enough for snow on the immediate east coast tomorrow I suspect. A ‘wintry mix’ at best I think! 

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Dundee
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunderstorms, gales. All extremes except humidity.
  • Location: Dundee
30 minutes ago, metallikat34 said:

Good analysis! I am not sure dew points will be an issue, but any "warm" air at 925 to 850 will be crucial to surface precipitation type. One good thing is that the trend has been colder with these streamers off the North Sea over the past 5-7 days. I suspect (although I can't verify) that SST's and accompanying North Sea air is trending colder than average right now. That region has been in a pretty dominant northeast/east flow for a good 7 days now, which is probably starting to impact the background atmosphere state.

Will probably need to watch the orientation of the that developing surface trough in the wee hours of Sunday morning. Will make a big difference in how the orientation of the winds off the water. 

 

Current sst anomalies. Still a bit on the warm side in the North Sea as of 30th December.

 

E9D5207F-FB5A-429A-A5F3-E02C9B50AD8F.png

9CFE38E9-BE78-4951-A30C-269054D1A1D0.png

Edited by Norrance
Added correct map.
  • Like 8
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: NH7256
  • Weather Preferences: where's my vote?
  • Location: NH7256
5 minutes ago, Norrance said:

Current sst anomalies. Still a bit on the warm side in the North Sea.

E9D5207F-FB5A-429A-A5F3-E02C9B50AD8F.png

And even more so to the north!  Hmm, how's the sea ice doing? Oh right....

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Morningside, Edinburgh (98m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, and lots of it
  • Location: Morningside, Edinburgh (98m ASL)
37 minutes ago, Norrance said:

Current sst anomalies. Still a bit on the warm side in the North Sea as of 30th December.

 

E9D5207F-FB5A-429A-A5F3-E02C9B50AD8F.png

9CFE38E9-BE78-4951-A30C-269054D1A1D0.png

They are still warmer than average for sure. But trending cooler it seems. The anomaly was warmer in the last few weeks of December. In any case, it's actually probably better to have a slightly warmer North Sea. Adds more moisture to the low levels!

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Denny. (75m ASL)
  • Location: Denny. (75m ASL)
18 minutes ago, Mair Snaw said:

Its snawing its snawing live on the telly box thing West brom has snaw and i can see it...

I was just about to post Brum has snaw and I have frost.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl

@Cheggers coming down at a fair old speed too... epic stuff who needs a lamppost

I cant even get a frost currently  

Edited by Mair Snaw
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...