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South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 01/09/2020 Onward

Mapantz

By Mapantz
in Regional

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Sun is out now. 

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Cleeve Hill Aficionado

Cleeve Hill

Posted
  • Location: Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham. 300 M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, the very hot and the very cold.
  • Location: Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham. 300 M ASL
Posted

Some lying snow in Bishops Cleeve but now all gone, but Cleeve Hill 300 metres asl had 5 cm and holding on well. 

B9BC4C80-7EED-434F-9F6D-0C59EF92E7E8.jpeg

F85D9F2A-B2A5-406E-897C-D4274980BD75.jpeg

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Climate_Eyes Enthusiast

Climate_Eyes

Posted
  • Location: Cranleigh, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, snow and ice. The usual.
  • Location: Cranleigh, Surrey
Posted

Moderate steady rain here on the far eastern reaches of Hampshire, but the temperature has started to dive and every so often there's snowflakes in the mix. 

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That ECM Maestro

That ECM

Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth
Posted

Drove up to Salisbury plain just to see some snow must be mad. very nice to see tho.

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Smokeone Apprentice

Smokeone

Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Cold. Thuderstorms
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
Posted

Rain with sleet and very wet snow mixed in here.

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iceman1991 Enthusiast

iceman1991

Posted
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
  • Location: nw hampshire salisbury plain
Posted
4 minutes ago, That ECM said:

Drove up to Salisbury plain just to see some snow must be mad. very nice to see tho.

Should of come round mine would of gave you a nice cup of warm mulled cider

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Smokeone Apprentice

Smokeone

Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Cold. Thuderstorms
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
Posted
3 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

A few more upgrades further north and game on for Wednesday?

444.png

Rather keep it further south for us as I know it will be rain if further north haha. 

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kumquat Seasoned

kumquat

Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
Posted (edited)

GFS 12Z has a bit of interest for tomorrow lunchtime:

spacer.png

Edit. Icon similar:

spacer.png

Edited by kumquat
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MidnightSnow Rising Star

MidnightSnow

Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Harsh Frosts & Heavy Snow
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
Posted
12 minutes ago, Smokeone said:

Rather keep it further south for us as I know it will be rain if further north haha. 

Yeah but doesn't it usually correct southwards? Could be wrong about that though. Looks pretty good right now.

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Jayfromcardiff Experienced

Jayfromcardiff

Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
Posted
18 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Yeah but doesn't it usually correct southwards? Could be wrong about that though. Looks pretty good right now.

I doubt this will be nailed down until tomorrow night. I had a look earlier and the BBC were expecting the snow to go as far north as the Midlands.

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Leon1 Seasoned

Leon1

Posted
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snowy winters, hot and sunny summers with thunderstorms!
  • Location: Bath, Oxford
Posted
7 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

GEM takes the middles ground between GFS and ECM Weds eve with 10cm in the south..dare is say south of the M4

C3782AC5-3A8C-4AD7-8A49-1D669C2C5836.png

E0EA16AF-C579-4417-B925-BA1A2C97C3D1.jpeg

 

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Smokeone Apprentice

Smokeone

Posted
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Cold. Thuderstorms
  • Location: Fareham, Hampshire.
Posted
56 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Yeah but doesn't it usually correct southwards? Could be wrong about that though. Looks pretty good right now.

Yeah normally it does. Keeping a keen eye on the charts over the next 24 hours.

 

26 minutes ago, Leon1 said:

 

This looks better. Shame it’s GEM.

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted (edited)

Some colder air would be nice! Have peaked @ 5.4°C at: 13:06, with the air in from the North we still have a DP 0.8°C. Appreciate the air is cooler, but cold, hmmm well not so sure...With the rotation over Hampshire having pulled away now down over the channel, and cloudy skies, even now it's 2.4°C, and unless it clears is unlikely to creep much lower...

image.thumb.png.ed718a854a700f84c4fa867a90347e5b.png

Edited by Dorsetbred
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Ventnor Viking Enthusiast

Ventnor Viking

Posted
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Anything other than drizzle
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
Posted

Just had an hour of Snow on the southern tip of the Isle of Wight in Niton. Surprised really, the temps dropped right off and the light rain turned to snow so overall fairly pleased. 

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted
1 hour ago, Leon1 said:

 

Zoom in on that and it it is very much to the north and the east of the area, avoiding Cornwall, Devon, large parts of Somerset and a swathe of the south coast, but hey it's a forecast..and we know how often they go awry..

image.thumb.png.2336909d2d90e009d7b36e3a985470fa.png

Who knows, but I'm not banking on that doing overly much down here, but that's Ok...I'm sure at some point the direction will change and then things may well take a turn...enjoy and keep posting the pictures..

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted
10 minutes ago, Ventnor Viking said:

Just had an hour of Snow on the southern tip of the Isle of Wight in Niton. Surprised really, the temps dropped right off and the light rain turned to snow so overall fairly pleased. 

Quite often the IOW turns up trumps, again very much the direction and seemingly the height in the middle of the island comes in to play, as it often does with storms and twisty things that are often found to the NE of the island towards Pompey..

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Isleofwightsnowgal74 Contributor

Isleofwightsnowgal74

Posted
  • Location: Isle of Wight
  • Location: Isle of Wight
Posted
12 minutes ago, Ventnor Viking said:

Just had an hour of Snow on the southern tip of the Isle of Wight in Niton. Surprised really, the temps dropped right off and the light rain turned to snow so overall fairly pleased. 

Rain in Shanklin glad u saw some though!

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Bristawl Si Maestro

Bristawl Si

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Posted (edited)

I know weather apps on phones norm not great, but mine is showing snow for 6 til midday tom morn. BS34

Edited by Bristle boy
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Ventnor Viking Enthusiast

Ventnor Viking

Posted
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Anything other than drizzle
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
Posted
12 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Rain in Shanklin glad u saw some though!

Thats a shame you didnt get to see any, its fairly high up here, about 300 ft asl so that probably made the difference. 

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Ventnor Viking Enthusiast

Ventnor Viking

Posted
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Anything other than drizzle
  • Location: Ventnor, Isle of Wight
Posted
15 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

Quite often the IOW turns up trumps, again very much the direction and seemingly the height in the middle of the island comes in to play, as it often does with storms and twisty things that are often found to the NE of the island towards Pompey..

Definitely, It can be a blessing and a curse, the south of the Island is quite hilly so that makes a big difference in both summer and winter. 

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

A light dusting over Mendip today and it settled on cars and grass slightly in Shepton Mallet first thing.

 

Wednesday looks interesting but I will be in Wiltshire mid week so I really need an event below 100m 

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chris55 Accomplished

chris55

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Smokeone said:

Yeah normally it does. Keeping a keen eye on the charts over the next 24 hours.

 

This looks better. Shame it’s GEM.

I’m learning GEM is actually right up there with EC, UKMO and GFS up to 120h in fact I think it was the most accurate model recently. 
 

Don’t discount it  

 

From Matt H on Twitter re GEM short range, not related to our region just highlighting GEM as a worthwhile model.

57826D24-917C-4B67-A471-7DC3351134A3.thumb.png.7c066d95c25f30fcad7f0fa8dda8e716.png

Edited by chris55
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Wiltshireweatherwatcher Aficionado

Wiltshireweatherwatcher

Posted
  • Location: Westbury, Wilts and Lulworth, Dorset
  • Location: Westbury, Wilts and Lulworth, Dorset
Posted
16 minutes ago, chris55 said:

I’m learning GEM is actually right up there with EC, UKMO and GFS up to 120h in fact I think it was the most accurate model recently. 
 

Don’t discount it  

 

From Matt H on Twitter re GEM short range, not related to our region just highlighting GEM as a worthwhile model.

57826D24-917C-4B67-A471-7DC3351134A3.thumb.png.7c066d95c25f30fcad7f0fa8dda8e716.png

Agree, most definitely shouldn’t rule out the GEM solution at short range. Alas there isn’t cross model agreement for this system on Wednesday. Too far north we get a soaking, too far south we get nothing. Be a brave person to call this one right now. I think we’ll need to wait another 24 hours for more certainty.

Friday looks interesting as well according to the latest ECM run.

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