South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[john mac1]

1 minute ago, Southender said:

If this transpires next week with an almost perfect Thames Streamer flow and -7/-8c uppers, I will be launching toys  

Up the o’s!!

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Southender said:

If this transpires next week with an almost perfect Thames Streamer flow and -7/-8c uppers, I will be launching toys  

If the Uppers are -7 or -8 we need a much slacker flow and showers to form pretty much overhead before they stream WSW into the London Area. If the Flow is stronger and showers form where they usually do around 35-50 miles off the coast the air will get mixed and we will see wintry showers. This one is not a done deal as ECM has been consistently showing since its runs 3 or 4 days ago (eg none have shown anything over wintry showers)

Guess what its gunna be on a knife edge lol

[Southender]

Just now, john mac1 said:

3 minutes ago, Southender said:

If this transpires next week with an almost perfect Thames Streamer flow and -7/-8c uppers, I will be launching toys  

Up the o’s!!

Expand  

Congrats on your cup final win John. DVD release soon?

We were awful last night. Just as I thought we had turned a corner. National league beckons...

[Speedbird]

4 minutes ago, Southender said:

If this transpires next week with an almost perfect Thames Streamer flow and -7/-8c uppers, I will be launching toys  

Would be touch and go for us, due to the close proximity to the estuary - further inland, such as Basildon/Brentwood would be much better placed 

 

[Southender]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

If the Uppers are -7 or -8 we need a much slacker flow and showers to form pretty much overhead before they stream WSW into the London Area. If the Flow is stronger and showers form where they usually do around 35-50 miles off the coast the air will get mixed and we will see wintry showers. This one is not a done deal as ECM has been consistently showing since its runs 3 or 4 days ago (eg none have shown anything over wintry showers)

Guess what its gunna be on a knife edge lol

Agreed. -10 uppers and I’d be confident. As you say it’s going to be knife edge for us on the coast with DP’s potentially a spoiler. Never simple is it!

[Southender]

...meanwhile in some parts of the West Midlands they are sitting looking out of their windows at 15-20cm+ of snow that has fallen in the last few days. Share the love weather gods

[Biggin]

46 minutes ago, Nimbusman said:

Quick question for the more technical  minded members...

considering we are under low pressure (albeit very slack) we have seen very little precipitation falling over our region. Have we been stuck in a pocket of drier air or is it to do with upper air flow? Aside from the disappointment of not seeing falling snow was just wondering if there’s a meteorological reason behind it? Be great to learn and understand why it panned out the way it has? TIA

I thought I saw we were under 1002 / 1004 Mb? Quite high low pressure if you know what I mean .....

[MAF]

2 minutes ago, Biggin said:

I thought I saw we were under 1002 / 1004 Mb? Quite high low pressure if you know what I mean .....

or low high pressure   

[john mac1]

17 minutes ago, Southender said:

Congrats on your cup final win John. DVD release soon?

We were awful last night. Just as I thought we had turned a corner. National league beckons...

My friend used to play for you. It’s very sad what’s happening there. Really do hope you get out of it.

[Biggin]

2 minutes ago, MAF said:

or low high pressure   

[Stu_London]

Not hopeful of anything today: 

70% Chance it stays dry

30% Chance it rains

0% Chance it snows

 

[huntso]

Up here in the north of this region we don't seem to do that well. Too often a Green oasis, but we did get a slight covering a week or two ago.

Better luck this winter perhaps, must be our turn one day, strangely though an Easterly isn't that great for us.

[Sweatyman]

23 minutes ago, Southender said:

...meanwhile in some parts of the West Midlands they are sitting looking out of their windows at 15-20cm+ of snow that has fallen in the last few days. Share the love weather gods

Yep nothing in Brum but 30 miles away a wonderland

[Vesuvius]

33 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

Would be touch and go for us, due to the close proximity to the estuary - further inland, such as Basildon/Brentwood would be much better placed 

 

Yes in some cases a small number of miles can make all the difference.  I used to live in Prittlewell and getting the train to London there were noticeable higher amounts in places like Rayleigh and Billericay. Much prefer the 87/91/10 scenarios where everywhere gets clobbered. 

[TSNWK]

Why are my local council in Orpington Kent salt spreading the pavements in the high street and high traffic areas....

[Stu_London]

1 minute ago, TSNWK said:

Why are my local council in Orpington Kent salt spreading the pavements in the high street and high traffic areas....

they need to spend their budget - otherwise it wont be there next year

[Sparky68]

15 minutes ago, huntso said:

Up here in the north of this region we don't seem to do that well. Too often a Green oasis, but we did get a slight covering a week or two ago.

Better luck this winter perhaps, must be our turn one day, strangely though an Easterly isn't that great for us.

It might settle on the flood waters at The Dolphin!

[huntso]

1 minute ago, Sparky68 said:

It might settle on the flood waters at The Dolphin!

Just been out and everywhere is inundated, Earith and Low Rd closed.

[pureasthedriven]

5 minutes ago, TSNWK said:

Why are my local council in Orpington Kent salt spreading the pavements in the high street and high traffic areas....

Ice, I’d imagine. Tonight’s effort has all the hallmarks of a drizzle/snizzle layer, quick clearance and clear skies. But let’s hope Yamkin’s infiltrated! 

[Sparky68]

4 minutes ago, huntso said:

Just been out and everywhere is inundated, Earith and Low Rd closed.

It's the same all the way back towards Brampton, Port Holme is basically a huge lake

[Sparky68]

[alexisj9]

I still think it's further north it's still in Wales not below it, and even going further up Wales a little now.

[Jackski4]

11 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

I still think it's further north it's still in Wales not below it, and even going further up Wales a little now.

It is definitely further north than the current bbc graphics say it should be right now.??

[Biggin]

23 minutes ago, Sparky68 said:

Wow Gonna have that for screen saver if ok... til I replace it with a snow one

[Biggin]

Just a teaser........