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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Round up of the 12z Models

    Monday Showing as 0%

    Tuesday Showing as 46%

    Wednesday Showing as 15%

    Gathering strength that Tuesday could be our best shot at something wintry to low levels and more of the population and this is the highest risk we have had - Need to get it upto around 70% though

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    Morning all, I hope you are all well, and your Families are Virus free. Well it's great to be alive on the occasion of my 65th Birthday. Tbh, it feels pretty scary.  It is also vir

    A very good frost here in London Docklands down to -2C it is still -0.4C now this is colder than anything last winter. Winter is here 🙂   

    Still some time for corrections northwards. Since when was ICON the most reliable model? Let’s see what all the others have to say especially ECM. ICON is looking very nice re an easterly setting up a

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash Green, NW Kent
  • Location: New Ash Green, NW Kent
    1 hour ago, John Stevens said:

    Some comparison made on the MAD thread at the moment with Feb 86 cold spell... I don’t recall much of that winter, with the exception of the exceptionally cold temperatures in Florida that January that contributed to the Space Shuttle Challenger exploding just after lift off on the 28th January...I was living in Haywards Heath at the time and vaguely a few very snowy days that possibly closed  the schools.. can anyone else add any details?

    Hi John, I remember the winter of '86 well, it was dominated by a 'Dirty High' throughout - i.e. mainly dry but cloudy through Jan and Feb. Many ice days, occasional light granular snow. It is rarely talked about on here, especially compared to '81, '84 and '87 because it did not produce memorable heavy snow events, however it did involve severe prolonged cold and could be argued that it kicked off a political debate about cold weather payments which eventually led to the Winter Fuel Allowance.

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    1 minute ago, Spraggyy said:

    Small snow shower here in headcorn 

    Thats the band edging back NW

    & just to add southampton seeing snow earlier 

    34F2B616-4DCF-4EFA-9255-20991EA48E47.thumb.png.38830cafaafd24bc82e134ea946c0641.png

    8835B1D3-C34D-48A1-BAD6-8F05AEBDB55B.thumb.png.963a8572670502790f31e6ad2749353e.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Headcorn
  • Location: Headcorn
    1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

    Thats the band edging back NW

    & just to add southampton seeing snow earlier 

    34F2B616-4DCF-4EFA-9255-20991EA48E47.thumb.png.38830cafaafd24bc82e134ea946c0641.png

    8835B1D3-C34D-48A1-BAD6-8F05AEBDB55B.thumb.png.963a8572670502790f31e6ad2749353e.png

    Thought it might of been ! Friend in Sutton valance said it was heavy for 2/3 mins but it’s stopped now for both of us 

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    Just now, Spraggyy said:

    Thought it might of been ! Friend in Sutton valance said it was heavy for 2/3 mins but it’s stopped now for both of us 

    Thats your snow for Winter done.

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    Posted
  • Location: Burgess Hill, West Sussex. 44m asl
  • Location: Burgess Hill, West Sussex. 44m asl

    Fingers crossed for Tuesday 🤞 ☃️

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood Kent asl 63m
  • Weather Preferences: cold and hot in summer
  • Location: Strood Kent asl 63m

    Heavy snow at West Brom 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frost and snow
  • Location: Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
    1 minute ago, chelsea01 said:

    Heavy snow at West Brom 

    Yeah was watching that football game, that snow just makes you oh so jealous 😂

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    Posted
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl

    Watching the west brom v arsenal game, heavy snow, and here, in northiam, I have sleet, I can't stand sleet, it's like the weather is trying to mock me, it's like the weather gods are saying, its almost perfect, but not quite, and I can't be bothered to go lower or higher

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Just wanted to add the 06z ENS for GEFS V 12z ENS for GEFS

    ( 06z First )

    DEB356B4-1E41-4E9B-9280-1C972AFA895A.thumb.png.19f6dc4fe818c3aec0201fb85940ffb4.png252B800B-693C-48B5-A062-219CD8C7E0BD.thumb.jpeg.037dfb60dea7c8a3fe292eaa24e92483.jpeg

    The key timleline is Tues Eve ( 12z T60 - 72 ) which was 66-78 on the 06z

    Look at the increase in -9s & top end -8s !

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    Posted
  • Location: Cambridge
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, heat, sunshine and thunderstorms. Anything severe.
  • Location: Cambridge

    Evening all, I don’t post much in this thread but I always enjoy reading everyone’s posts. We’ve hardly had a flake of snow so far here in Cambridge since this cold spell started, hopefully that’ll change next week once the easterly wind kicks in. It’s always hard to see other parts of the UK always doing so well with the snow whilst hardly any of us here in the East/South-East see anything yet again. So far the only snowfall we’ve had here was surprisingly back in early December but I forgot to post a photo back then. However, we have had some lovely winter sunsets and frosts here recently and that’s always great (I can’t remember whether I posted a photo previously). Hope everyone manages to see some snow next week, we deserve it to be our turn around here soon.😊

    100829FB-1FBF-4141-A5E6-D26B186773A6.thumb.jpeg.35d02fa6e7295e554af773c968eaa597.jpeg3EE2A79E-308E-4DEA-A1AD-F4DDA0C6C1FC.thumb.jpeg.a2cbcd4c2e73588b296ec55801eaa6d5.jpegCEB566C3-B632-483D-AFBF-3AA74DA8186A.thumb.jpeg.7fc47471db18a4240df15336622ba00c.jpeg

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
    56 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    Kent streamer written all over FAX chart into Tuesday the twig often excites !

    5B88CFE3-DFEA-43A7-9FCF-EF800CA0999F.thumb.jpeg.ecba860db5df974d93033243cd080a21.jpeg

    That wind redirection on the isobars to me looks close to a Thames streamer rather than a Kent clipper (just East  and Mid Kent) better for NW&W Kent possibly SE London🤞

    Edited by Kentspur
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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now

    How about 24cms of snow on 12th Jan😅 im guessing two outlook use the GFS run?

     

    FWIW they also show smaller amounts of snow earlier this week but rain also for my location anyway 

    Screenshot_20210102-204908_Samsung Internet.jpg

    Screenshot_20210102-204938_Samsung Internet.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Headcorn
  • Location: Headcorn
    7 minutes ago, Binsey72 said:

    With this moving NW , anyone getting snow from it ?

    17918767-1BC0-4A02-8429-88289A948F37.jpeg

    Had a brief snow shower just ahead of it for a few mins, the better half has just popped to the shops as it’s about to reach us so she might get a bit sleety lol 

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    ICON T27 10pm tomorrow changed over to some reds already now

    E3921013-ACD5-4742-8488-D4A418C92160.thumb.png.7d1ff731a827acdb0635f3027491904f.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
    10 minutes ago, Binsey72 said:

    With this moving NW , anyone getting snow from it ?

    17918767-1BC0-4A02-8429-88289A948F37.jpeg

    It seems to be fizzling out - if it is snow it will die before it gets to me. If not, it is rain.

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    Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
    1 hour ago, Daniel* said:

    Kent streamer written all over FAX chart into Tuesday the twig often excites !

    5B88CFE3-DFEA-43A7-9FCF-EF800CA0999F.thumb.jpeg.ecba860db5df974d93033243cd080a21.jpeg

    Just got to hope it's the right side of marginal now, everyone cross your fingers.

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    Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
    36 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    Just wanted to add the 06z ENS for GEFS V 12z ENS for GEFS

    ( 06z First )

    DEB356B4-1E41-4E9B-9280-1C972AFA895A.thumb.png.19f6dc4fe818c3aec0201fb85940ffb4.png252B800B-693C-48B5-A062-219CD8C7E0BD.thumb.jpeg.037dfb60dea7c8a3fe292eaa24e92483.jpeg

    The key timleline is Tues Eve ( 12z T60 - 72 ) which was 66-78 on the 06z

    Look at the increase in -9s & top end -8s !

     

    16 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    ICON T27 10pm tomorrow changed over to some reds already now

    E3921013-ACD5-4742-8488-D4A418C92160.thumb.png.7d1ff731a827acdb0635f3027491904f.png

    Icon is very dry for Mon - Weds? Why aren’t these Models picking up any precip / streamers? Surely we have 13c difference between sea surface and uppers 🤔

    9C923524-35D3-43B7-8FD6-3F95360D373E.png

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

     

    Icon is very dry for Mon - Weds? Why aren’t these Models picking up any precip / streamers? Surely we have 13c difference between sea surface and uppers 🤔

    9C923524-35D3-43B7-8FD6-3F95360D373E.png

    Im not sure GFS is picking up > so is the ECM now

    Lets wait till tomorrows 12s with the Euro 4 : Harmonie etc.

    The fax chart is very good though for Tues

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

     

    Icon is very dry for Mon - Weds? Why aren’t these Models picking up any precip / streamers? Surely we have 13c difference between sea surface and uppers 🤔

    9C923524-35D3-43B7-8FD6-3F95360D373E.png

    They suck at picking out streamers etc..ive had numerous surprise snowfalls from the east when the high res models have failed to pick them up.. 

    Take tonight for example that stuff over Kent the only model really right with it is Arpege and its got it right turning to snow.. Some people now reporting its falling as snow 

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    DP - 0.3 temp 1c pretty much there now all we need is the PPN! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sittingbourne Kent
  • Location: Sittingbourne Kent
    31 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    That wind redirection on the isobars to me looks close to a Thames streamer rather than a Kent clipper (just East  and Mid Kent) better for NW&W Kent possibly SE London🤞

    I believe for a Thames streamer we would need a NE wind direction.

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