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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex. 68m asl
    1 minute ago, lawrenk said:

    Jan 87 for me hands down.

    I’ll never forget walking home from school the afternoon it kicked off when the first shower hit and they just got heavier and heavier thereafter. We were off school for at least a week and that was a time when schools didn’t shut just because there was 0.1mm on the ground.

    I can also vividly remember snow drifts several feet high on the sides of the A27 between Polegate and Lewes which I’ve never seen since.

    Jan 10 was pretty cool as well.

    Yeh, I agree ‘87 was the best.  My parents had a big garden and my sister always left her bike out (on the floor, not standing up) and it was lost until the snow started to melt - which was quite some time from memory.

    I went to do my paper round and the newsagent told me the papers hadn’t got through as the train lines were blocked

    Proper snow that, wonder if we will ever see the like of that again.  Now I’m chasing a few flakes

     

     

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    Morning all, I hope you are all well, and your Families are Virus free. Well it's great to be alive on the occasion of my 65th Birthday. Tbh, it feels pretty scary.  It is also vir

    A very good frost here in London Docklands down to -2C it is still -0.4C now this is colder than anything last winter. Winter is here 🙂   

    Still some time for corrections northwards. Since when was ICON the most reliable model? Let’s see what all the others have to say especially ECM. ICON is looking very nice re an easterly setting up a

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    Posted
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl

    You couldn't make it up, seriously, after days of freezing weather, with nothing on offer, I finally get some ppn, of the wet sort. Surely, at some point it's got to be our turn

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    Posted
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl
    9 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    I’m seeing a snow window on all models for our region, I’ll be shocked if some us of don’t see some snow from this easterly. A wintry looking FAX chart for Tuesday...

    AFF628AC-7485-4A4A-9F9A-282388451D84.thumb.png.16283cbb8719676f037bebab4489e9fd.png

     

     

    There'll be a warm core appearing from somewhere over us

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea

    Yikes the pessimism from some people in here is enough to make one want to cry.

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    Posted
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, Ice days, warm sunny days.
  • Location: Croydon. South London. 286 ft asl
    18 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    I’m seeing a snow window on all models for our region, I’ll be shocked if some us of don’t see some snow from this easterly. A wintry looking FAX chart for Tuesday...

    AFF628AC-7485-4A4A-9F9A-282388451D84.thumb.png.16283cbb8719676f037bebab4489e9fd.png

     

     

    Yep the GFS still has snow accumulating in my area👍

    image.thumb.png.2054bb5a3541aa218c177cb9df43f312.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
    42 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    I’m seeing a snow window on all models for our region, I’ll be shocked if some us of don’t see some snow from this easterly. A wintry looking FAX chart for Tuesday...

    AFF628AC-7485-4A4A-9F9A-282388451D84.thumb.png.16283cbb8719676f037bebab4489e9fd.png

     

     

    It’s touch and go mate. Dew points 0-2c and air temps 2-4c during daylight hours (GFS HRES). I wouldn’t rule out some wintry showers for sure. Particularly over the higher ground and away from the windward coasts. It wouldn’t take a huge upgrade to turn that from wintry showers to snow showers though. Let’s see if we can get a cheeky upgrade next few days 🤞🏻

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
  • Weather Preferences: The colder the better
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
    30 minutes ago, Southender said:

    It’s touch and go mate. Dew points 0-2c and air temps 2-4c during daylight hours (GFS HRES). I wouldn’t rule out some wintry showers for sure. Particularly over the higher ground and away from the windward coasts. It wouldn’t take a huge upgrade to turn that from wintry showers to snow showers though. Let’s see if we can get a cheeky upgrade next few days 🤞🏻

    wouldn't bother with the rest of the 18z

    one for the bin

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    Posted
  • Location: Barnehurst, near Bexleyheath, Kent
  • Location: Barnehurst, near Bexleyheath, Kent
    2 hours ago, smarklew said:

    The Telegraph today reported on an SSW occurring in the next fortnight and a Beast from the East 2 following. Thoughts? 🤞🏻🤞🏻

    Probably, but the Beast from the East will arrive in June knowing our luck 🙄

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    Posted
  • Location: Knaphill, Surrey (57m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, big storms and extreme weather
  • Location: Knaphill, Surrey (57m ASL)

    I know the weather apps (TWC, BBC & MetO) are renowned to be crap but none of them have any snow for my location next week. I keep looking for them to update but everyday nothing. Are they all wrong? I know they all use data in their apps that we have access to. Why don’t they see what we are seeing? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Cranbrook, Kent
  • Location: Near Cranbrook, Kent
    2 minutes ago, Mr.B said:

    I know the weather apps (TWC, BBC & MetO) are renowned to be crap but none of them have any snow for my location next week. I keep looking for them to update but everyday nothing. Are they all wrong? I know they all use data in their apps that we have access to. Why don’t they see what we are seeing? 

    They use historic runs, and the models are upgrading the forecasts at the moment.

    This should cheer you up;

     

    C5E0AF40-2192-41D0-B0E6-C93BBB1CC95C.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Knaphill, Surrey (57m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, big storms and extreme weather
  • Location: Knaphill, Surrey (57m ASL)
    2 minutes ago, loafer said:

    They use historic runs, and the models are upgrading the forecasts at the moment.

    This should cheer you up;

     

    C5E0AF40-2192-41D0-B0E6-C93BBB1CC95C.png

    Thanks loafer! Defo yes! I’m just looking for that confirmation in the ordinary gp tools. I’ve bored the wife stupid over the years with 10 day chart blizzards inbound most of which have never come to fruition. It’s just the usual 4-5 days worry that we’re chasing phantoms. I’ll feel better when the flakes are falling outside my window. 👍

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now

    Up to 81% chance of snow for London as a pessimistic southeasterner you can bet the 19% will verify😅😂

    graphe3_00000___-0.12574_51.5085_Londres-1.png

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON

    My dad died this morning, hope it snows to lift the gloom.

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
    8 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

    My dad died this morning, hope it snows to lift the gloom.

    Lassie my heart goes out to you I'm so sorry to hear this, there are bigger things than the weather 😞 I hope you will heal in time 🙏 

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now

    Great ECM in the medium term (for the SE atleast) with colder minus 8-9c uppers over us and an Easterly with a few spots over mainland Europe with even colder uppers than this and a similarly cold and expensive pool of air to our East to draw upon surely we would have more chance of a snowy streamer setting up rather than rain and sleet if this was anywhere close to verifying, let's hope its not an outlier op run!

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    Edited by Kentspur
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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
  • Weather Preferences: The colder the better
  • Location: Leigh on Sea
    24 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

    My dad died this morning, hope it snows to lift the gloom.

    Sorry to hear your news mate. Thoughts are with you and your family at this time.

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    23 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    Lassie my heart goes out to you I'm so sorry to hear this, there are bigger things than the weather 😞 I hope you will heal in time 🙏 

     

    6 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

    Sorry to hear your news mate. Thoughts are with you and your family at this time.

    Thanks for your kind words. something we all go through but I think i'm in shock at the moment, don't even know what day it is

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
    Just now, lassie23 said:

     

    Thanks for your kind words. something we all go through but I think i'm in shock at the moment, don't even know what day it is

    I really do feel for you especially at this time of the year, times a healer as they say I hope and pray for you 🙏

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    Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
    15 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

    I really do feel for you especially at this time of the year, times a healer as they say I hope and pray for you 🙏

    Yes time has proved a healer when i lost my sister in 2008, you do have flasbacks to bad times though

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    Posted
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to Early October
  • Location: Live in central Gravesend work in NW Kent too now
    8 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

    Yes time has proved a healer when i lost my sister in 2008, you do have flasbacks to bad times though

    Keep trying to stay positive? I hope for an almighty surprise Thames&Kent streamers this January for us to enjoy 😊🤞❄🌨☃️

     

    2010 and Feb 2009 werent forecast to be anywhere near as good as they turned out to be so we live in hope for a nice surprise again

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
    1 hour ago, lassie23 said:

    My dad died this morning, hope it snows to lift the gloom.

    I'm sorry for your loss Lassie. My thoughts are with you at this difficult time. 

    Stay strong 

     

     

    Trying yo lighten the mood. It does look as though (hopefully) this crud will clear later today and we may see some sunshine... 

    The EURO4 is finally picking up on snow showers from tomorrow afternoon. I'm still not convinced by the high res models this morning on amount of rain its showing not as snow. Some at the depths of night are showing rain even inland with dew points looking around 0 and temps 1 at best.. Any heavier showers would almost definitely be of snow away from coasts 

    21010315_0200.thumb.gif.7ba68ac7189cea1ed208b568d6e8e38d.gif

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    Last night I was surprised to see dew points held up above 2c around 2.1c here currently.. Although it has now started to drop off. 

    21010320_0200.gif

    Edited by Surrey
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    Posted
  • Location: Shorne West, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Sun in summer, Snow in Winter
  • Location: Shorne West, Kent

    Well the BBC forecast until Tuesday is underwhelming to say the least for the SE.

    No mention of any wintriness whatsoever now stating stronger Easterly winds and a little less cold !!

    Showing temps between 4 & 6c. That’s a shade below normal.

    Either the models are wrong or the Beeb ?

     

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