South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[Jackski4]

4 minutes ago, Sheldon Cooper said:

Anyone fancy an Easternly

No how about a Southernly Jet

Ooh ooh me me!

[Southender]

13 minutes ago, Sheldon Cooper said:

Anyone fancy an Easternly

No how about a Southernly Jet

An Easterly from Siberia absolutely. One from Turkey not as much!

[Eagle Eye]

5 minutes ago, Southender said:

An Easterly from Siberia absolutely. One from Turkey not as much!

I heard they do nice Food there though. 

Edited January 1, 2021 by Sheldon Cooper

[Reefseeker]

2 hours ago, Daenerys said:

We had a slight scattering  of snow earlier in Epsom but literally for a few mins

 

Same here in Surbiton around 1.30pm when it sort of snowed then turned to sleet then rain all in the space of 5 minutes!

Happy New Year to all of the Netweather community:)

 

[PLANET THANET]

6 minutes ago, Southender said:

An Easterly from Siberia absolutely. One from Turkey not as much!

had enough turkey over christmas 

[Number 23]

46 minutes ago, 80sWeather said:

Jan 2013 one of my favourite cold spells as most of the snow happened over the weekend.

 

Feb 91 would be my pick for this month if I could. 

Not so long as to make the current covid situation much worse, loads of convective showers. Marvel at it, then get back to normal. Perfect easterly in my book. 

[Zak M]

Gloomy day today, with some on-and-off rain. Currently 3c.

I tried out some more night-time timelapses. ISO 2,500/F2.8

The Sandy Heath Mast shows up in the distance pretty well.

[Froze were the Days]

4 hours ago, Paul Sherman said:

Really wish I could get excited about the next 2 weeks but I am just not seeing thing falling into place for us and I hope I am wrong. There is still lots of BOOMS going on in the Mod Discussion but to be fare there has been Booms since about the 10th December none which have produced anything yet. 

I will update around 730pm the chances for Monday, Tues and Wednesday from the Models for Snow chances in the SE Quadrant and this will include todays 12z Models.

 

Agree again...ECM 12z makes a meal of trying to get to a 'proper' easterly in and doesn't get there with a lot of flaffing around with short waves/troughs and ends with LP close to the south west which is again no use to us here in the south east and have my doubts we will see much in the working week 4th-8th certainly if you live anywhere near the coast, so the hunt goes on.

Edited January 1, 2021 by Froze were the Days

[Paul Sherman]

Yep 12z Models still not reading from the same sheet as the BOOM Boys in the Model Thread Discussion

Monday still at 20%

Tuesday still at 20%

Wednesday is at 0%

And remember the earlier days in the week are pulling off 7 Models now so again am not getting excited for our little corner of the world at this stage

Still time for upgrades as we are T60 From the start of the East or North Easterlies

[SLEETY]

Think im packing in model watching if we dont get some snow next week.

First time we get an easterly in the depth of winter for years ,and temp still forecast between 4-6c utterly pathetic ,with snow forecast mainly on hills.

Coastal kent would get buried in these type of set-ups years ago with the showers moving West to give most areas in SE a decent covering.

If we cant get decent snow from these synoptics then whats the point anymore.

 

[DAVID SNOW]

Its all gone Ben Hur and snowstorms in 10 days , gotta love the MAD  thread.

[Chertseystreamer79]

19 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yep 12z Models still not reading from the same sheet as the BOOM Boys in the Model Thread Discussion

Monday still at 20%

Tuesday still at 20%

Wednesday is at 0%

And remember the earlier days in the week are pulling off 7 Models now so again am not getting excited for our little corner of the world at this stage

Still time for upgrades as we are T60 From the start of the East or North Easterlies

Yep...generally we should easily be able to have some more snow symbols showing up by now on meto.

Still time but predominantly a dry week ahead. It's just not quite falling for us and everything BOOM is always 9/10 days away. 

 

Still in the game though.

[Southender]

1 minute ago, SLEETY said:

Think im packing in model watching if we dont get some snow next week.

First time we get an easterly in the depth of winter for years ,and temp still forecast between 4-6c utterly pathetic ,with snow forecast mainly on hills.

Coastal kent would get buried in these type of set-ups years ago with the showers moving West to give most areas in SE a decent covering.

If we cant get decent snow from these synoptics then whats the point anymore.

 

It is very frustrating. Unfortunately the N.Sea is like a bath at the moment in relative terms. Plus the Easterly isn’t the true Siberian Express we all crave. It’s origins are the med then travelling across again a relatively mild continent. Net result is a wintry mix rather than Narnia unfortunately. Let’s just pray for some big upgrades over the weekend 

[fatyido]

Looks like some beefy showers moving in from the wash, all of rain I suspect ?

[MAF]

5 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Think im packing in model watching if we dont get some snow next week.

First time we get an easterly in the depth of winter for years ,and temp still forecast between 4-6c utterly pathetic ,with snow forecast mainly on hills.

Coastal kent would get buried in these type of set-ups years ago with the showers moving West to give most areas in SE a decent covering.

If we cant get decent snow from these synoptics then whats the point anymore.

 

never been one to watch the models. the confusion of so much information thrown out by them takes the fun out of forecasting for me. 3 - 5 days ahead is all i look at now.

[john mac1]

3 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Its all gone Ben Hur and snowstorms in 10 days , gotta love the MAD  thread.

 

[Southender]

1 minute ago, fatyido said:

Looks like some beefy showers moving in from the wash, all of rain I suspect ?

Yep. Dew points way too high.

[SLEETY]

3 minutes ago, Southender said:

It is very frustrating. Unfortunately the N.Sea is like a bath at the moment in relative terms. Plus the Easterly isn’t the true Siberian Express we all crave. It’s origins are the med then travelling across again a relatively mild continent. Net result is a wintry mix rather than Narnia unfortunately. Let’s just pray for some big upgrades over the weekend 

It so annoying when  you look back and see how similar set-ups gave loads of snow in our region in years gone by,with Kent and Essex plastered in Snow.I was a kid in the 80s and grew up thinking it would always be snowy in the Winter with sledging for weeks and ice-skating and big drifts on the downs lasting for weeks,now just a wintry mix in the depth of winter seems to be the best we can hope for,with the continent not cold enough to mix out the origins of the air from the Med

So unless the air comes straight from siberia,any other type of Easterly is pointless then

[stainesbloke]

6 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

It so annoying when  you look back and see how similar set-ups gave loads of snow in our region in years gone by,with Kent and Essex plastered in Snow.I was a kid in the 80s and grew up thinking it would always be snowy in the Winter with sledging for weeks and ice-skating and big drifts on the downs lasting for weeks,now just a wintry mix in the depth of winter seems to be the best we can hope for,with the continent not cold enough to mix out the origins of the air from the Med

So unless the air comes straight from siberia,any other type of Easterly is pointless then

Yes, it’s very frustrating if you want snow but there were easterly patterns like this in the 80’s, too. Unfortunately, Europe isn’t cold at the moment, otherwise there’d be very different conditions. Am holding out hope for a slow-burning build up to a decent cold and snowy spell, as there’s a good 2.5 months left to achieve something exciting/memorable. 

[smarklew]

The Telegraph today reported on an SSW occurring in the next fortnight and a Beast from the East 2 following. Thoughts?

[Essexfish]

4 minutes ago, smarklew said:

The Telegraph today reported on an SSW occurring in the next fortnight and a Beast from the East 2 following. Thoughts?

SSW taking place now. Split of Vortex looks likely. Beast from the East is one of many possibilities but definitely not a certainty at this range.

[80sWeather]

2 hours ago, Number 23 said:

Feb 91 would be my pick for this month if I could. 

Not so long as to make the current covid situation much worse, loads of convective showers. Marvel at it, then get back to normal. Perfect easterly in my book. 

I can vaguely remember winter 78/79 being aged 5 but picking an all time cold spell then I’d be inclined to agree with Feb 91.

13 Inches of level snow and daytime maxes of -5.

Amazing to think that after 30 years we’d still not see anything as severe since.

[lawrenk]

Jan 87 for me hands down.

I’ll never forget walking home from school the afternoon it kicked off when the first shower hit and they just got heavier and heavier thereafter. We were off school for at least a week and that was a time when schools didn’t shut just because there was 0.1mm on the ground.

I can also vividly remember snow drifts several feet high on the sides of the A27 between Polegate and Lewes which I’ve never seen since.

Jan 10 was pretty cool as well.

[Freeze]

Why is it that the temps always climbs to the daily max at this time of night? Fr here anyway, it's been 1-2c most of the day and as soon it hits around 8-9pm starts to shoot up, currently 3.5c

 

[Paul Sherman]

My 3 are easy as well

1. Jan 10th to Jan 14th 1987 - 25 foot drifts and 34cm of level snow. People actually were Skiing down the A127 and food supplies took 2 days to get through to us with most villages cut off in Eastern Essex. The Sea froze over in Leigh On Sea and lowest temp got down to -20c

2. Feb 1991 as a 19 year old had just started work and we were sent home at 12 Noon that day in Central London by the time I got to Upminster the snow line was upto the Platform from the Tracks. Incredible cold with -5c daytime highs and -18c at night

3. Nov 30th to Dec 2nd 2010 - 36cm of level snow but only 10 foot drifts with this one as the winds were not gale force whipping up drifts in open areas. Lowest Temp got down to -18c on one of the nights that followed with freezing fog forming. Snow was still on the ground on Xmas Day 2010 from this Snowfall a full 3 1/2 weeks later. The Sea once again froze over at Leigh On Sea