South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[Daniel*]

1 minute ago, Polaris said:

@Daniel* Frankly you’re sounding like a mouthpiece for ‘Yes it will snow” 

Come back to me in 4 days and let’s see whose right. 
 

Happy to put hands up if I’m wrong but I doubt it 

Oh don’t worry I will 

[Jackski4]

@Polaris @Daniel* 

 

hug it out guys 

[Tim Bland]

5 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

London snow shield you mean lol!
 

And @Polaris frankly you’re misleading members you‘re sounding like a mouthpiece for beeb remember few days before BFTE they said chilly and wintry showers? I’ve had a look at ECM dew points et al they’re looking much favourable than they did, and it’s highly likely on Tuesday-Wednesday parts of SE will see snow, higher ground favoured for accumulation. 

ECM is dry though?  I think it’s missing some convection,  but it will be very hit and miss and there’s no signs of anything widespread for our region unfortunately

[Polaris]

1 minute ago, Jackski4 said:

@Polaris @Daniel* 

 

hug it out guys 

All good here @Jackski4 

Here we are well into this cool/cold spell and still nothing materialised despite models and TV forecasts 

I know where my moneys at over the next 5 days 

[Dami]

I think the cloud broke up here. 

well the rain did, don't see anything falling.

[Polaris]

6 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Oh don’t worry I will 

Hope to be provedwrong, I want snow as much as the next. 
 

See you in 4 days then once your locale is covered

Edited January 2, 2021 by Polaris

[Jackski4]

@Polaris judging by the gfs uppers @54 to 60hrs for our region you may well be eating your words! Or some snow

[MAF]

22 hours ago, Paul Sherman said:

Sounds like a distant thunderstorm over the Sea in the Mad Discussion again lots of Booms again so all is good in the hood

probably basil brush is about .... boom boom

[alexisj9]

2 minutes ago, Dami said:

I think the cloud broke up here. 

well the rain did, don't see anything falling.

Hmmm, does the radar say it's raining?

If so could be evaporative cooling, just not sure if there's anything heavier to reach the ground.

[Polaris]

Just now, Jackski4 said:

@Polaris judging by the gfs uppers @54 to 60hrs for our region you may well be eating your words! Or some snow

I hope so mate 

I was suppose to have snow - 22nd Dec - 24th Dec then 31st Dec all on GFS T54 - T106 

Still waiting.... 

[MAF]

6 minutes ago, Polaris said:

All good here @Jackski4 

Here we are well into this cool/cold spell and still nothing materialised despite models and TV forecasts 

I know where my moneys at over the next 5 days 

lottery tickets????  

[SMU]

Significant upgrade on 12z GFS as the -8c isotherm is modelled about 100 Miles further south

This is Weds night but Tues is the same

[SMU]

Temps have crashed here 1.9c 

[Polaris]

1 minute ago, MAF said:

lottery tickets????  

No need for lottery Tickets, just look at the snowless days the Models look set for T60 - T90 T106 

= Nada 

[Jackski4]

1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

Significant upgrade on 12z GFS as the -8c isotherm is modelled about 100 Miles further south

This is Weds night but Tues is the same

Your phone never has charge

[Daniel*]

GFS 12z brings colder pool -8C uppers further south earlier risk in SE Monday evening that would be snow inland for London dew points look unsupportive in far SE.

[MAF]

@Polaris hence my 'lottery tickets' post. chances look zero in the foreseeable to me  

Edited January 2, 2021 by MAF

[Radiating Dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Temps have crashed here 1.9c 

Same here, now just 2.4c.

[Number 23]

I'm only really interested in a jackpot spell, so not really too worried about what happens next week either way. If anything falls then it'll be a nice bonus. 

But a dusting will feel like the weather equivalent of taking a fiver out of the fruit machine when you already put four quid in

 

[MAF]

1 minute ago, Number 23 said:

I'm only really interested in a jackpot spell, so not really too worried about what happens next week either way. If anything falls then it'll be a nice bonus. 

But a dusting will feel like the weather equivalent of taking a fiver out of the fruit machine when you already put four quid in

 

i lost a tenner and found a fiver, still looking for the fiver

[Methuselah]

9 minutes ago, Polaris said:

Hope to be provedwrong, I want snow as much as the next. 
 

See you in 4 days then once your locale is covered

Maybe it's my imagination (it has been know to play tricks!) but, despite 4 'upgrades' per day since who knows when, projected Uppers during the early part of next week still seem to be -6 or -7C... Quietly goes and bangs head on wall!

[loafer]

In my view the SE has the potential for quite a lot of snow Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.

The models have been consistent with SEly winds and the upper temps and dew points are sufficient and improving run by run.

[Hurricane Debby]

9 minutes ago, Number 23 said:

I'm only really interested in a jackpot spell, so not really too worried about what happens next week either way. If anything falls then it'll be a nice bonus. 

But a dusting will feel like the weather equivalent of taking a fiver out of the fruit machine when you already put four quid in

 

Great analogy !!

[Eagle Eye]

No Sleet for me unless to the North West it Crumples or to the South West it comes up North East

[NewEra21]

4 minutes ago, loafer said:

In my view the SE has the potential for quite a lot of snow Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.

The models have been consistent with SEly winds and the upper temps and dew points are sufficient and improving run by run.

Yep, everyone in the SE and EA are at the least in the game during this period. And we all know once showers and streamers set up, it can turn into something no one saw coming.