South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[Joanne Swann]

2 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

Well here (10 miles in from the coast in E Sx) I’m looking forward to lamp post watching tomorrow night in the “hunt for sleet” competition. 

Oh sounds fun, who can get the most sleet 

[Biggin]

11 minutes ago, Joanne Swann said:

i lost no money just got cold  running down the garden with a ruler, im sure loads of other people cheated 

Moi ????

[Joanne Swann]

6 minutes ago, Biggin said:

Moi ????

now i didn't mention you  

[BLS]

Just my opinion but I will only trust that ecm run if the gfs follows in the next couple of runs, to me that’s shifted it to far south but just my opinion 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

So pathetic down here!

[abruzzi spartan]

4 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

So pathetic down here!

Yes but what about the weather?!

[Jackski4]

Seems like some of the guys in the model thread get overly excited when they see a good chart at day 10 then overly disappointed when it doesn’t verify. I think calmness is in order..

 

We are still in a good position here, we need to all look for what we want to see each run but not throw toys if we don’t on one run.

[pureasthedriven]

58 minutes ago, pureasthedriven said:

Quoting myself here, apologies, but this app has been showing this for tomorrow and Thursday for the last five days. Not interested. Hopefully wrong but still interested to know what drives the ‘predictions’ (yes, I know they change like the wind, yes I know they’re no substitute for high-res short term models and yes, I know it’s not the best way to try and forecast the weather). But, if the ECM + everything vs Harmonie and a scrap of GFS is correct on this for tomorrow/Thurs, then not without note. 

Ooh, hang on! Sorry, will stop now. Annoying. But a glimmer... 

[Polaris]

1 minute ago, pureasthedriven said:

Ooh, hang on! Sorry, will stop now. Annoying. But a glimmer... 

It’s said this all Day, since 5 this morning 

Dont put to much faith in an iPhone weather app. My elder aunt has been more reliable than that app. 

[pureasthedriven]

5 minutes ago, Polaris said:

It’s said this all Day, since 5 this morning 

Dont put to much faith in an iPhone weather app. My elder aunt has been more reliable than that app. 

No, I really don’t. I’m sure you can read my cynicism in the posts. Obviously they’re responding to the fluctuating outcomes presented by the models, not leading the way... But even so, I’m still curious to know what they’re responding to. 

[pureasthedriven]

8 minutes ago, Polaris said:

It’s said this all Day, since 5 this morning 

Dont put to much faith in an iPhone weather app. My elder aunt has been more reliable than that app. 

That’s tomorrow evening, btw. 

[Eagle Eye]

You can see the Polar Air rushing down an Easternly Shift Pushing It From Scandanavia Bringing Some More cold air. 

[Rob Deacon]

1 hour ago, Sheldon Cooper said:

2 Months left of Winter Or so still. 

and March has often given the goods, think as resent as 2018

[WxHerts]

I'm not entirely sure where it's coming from but the map on MO's site actually shows more interest on Friday morning as opposed to Thurs...many hours of light snow through the small hours, with temperatures widely sub zero! I've heard that they use some extended form of UKV for this but again I'm not entirely sure.

[Jackski4]

What time is the 18Z GFS run? Thanks 

[Southender]

Just now, Jackski4 said:

What time is the 18Z GFS run? Thanks 

From around 9:30pm mate

[Speedbird]

3 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

What time is the 18Z GFS run? Thanks 

.

Edited December 29, 2020 by Speedbird
duplicated post

[Jackski4]

@Speedbird @Southender  Thank you guys. I’m far less knowledgeable than a lot of you when it comes to the models I tend to just let other people interpret them. I’m just here to spread the joy !  

[Shere Khan]

I’m still feeling optimistic for central/eastern Kent on this run. The north downs (lenham heath/Challock. I’m currently planning on chasing this through the north downs around the areas above collecting snow depths. Obviously depending on the next set of runs. Will be uploading pics on here tomorrow night as I go..?

[3cats]

Just checked the app for Redhill and all forecast of snow for Tomorrow/Thu & Afro has vanished

Shall I just give up hope now...

[snowspotter]

4 minutes ago, 3cats said:

Just checked the app for Redhill and all forecast of snow for Tomorrow/Thu & Afro has vanished

Shall I just give up hope now...

My phone app looks alright . These things change quicker than a Day 10 chart

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

1 hour ago, abruzzi spartan said:

Yes but what about the weather?!

What about it ?

 

suppose it’s better than the previous winters of mild muck.

[SLEETY]

wish people would stop using apps for snow forecasts,better to use an actual realtime weather radar or just look out the window

[abruzzi spartan]

3 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

What about it ?

 

suppose it’s better than the previous winters of mild muck.

Whoosh

[Tom Quintavalle]

2 hours ago, Joanne Swann said:

I was remembering the snow cup we had here a few years ago, if I didnt do well in the even a hole in the mud filled up with snow didn't help my result  the met have given me  sleet for friday what a lovely gift 

Sssh Jo, don't mention the Snow Depth Cup!!

I got blamed for jinxing our Snow chances, back then.

Did you ever manage to find your white stilettos, in the Snow?

Regards,

Tom.